
I loaded some @ 0.22 and 0.235...what are the TP for this baby?
anyone???

The next bus is always on the way...
That's why the stock market is such a beautiful thing...

http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/VwAttachments/Att_98B2AB7EA878313B482576D7002D1B17/$file/YHL-Announcement_New_Release_27Feb2010.pdf?openelement
results out! div of 0.5 cts... looks gd!

prospects look good but also depends on overall market sentiments... below is CIMB recent report:
Maintain Outperform; target price raised to S$0.47 from S$0.44.
record order book this year and its FY09 net profit is expected to reach new heights.
We keep our Outperform rating as we believe 2010 will be an even better year. We
have upgraded our FY10-11 EPS estimates by 7-8% to factor in higher contract-win
expectations. Accordingly, our target price rises from S$0.44 to S$0.47, still based
on 10x CY11 P/E, at the lower end of its mid-cycle multiples. We expect stock
catalysts from the announcement of significant contract wins.
YNH had a•
contracts. We highlight five major projects which we believe YNH could win,
including Singapore Sports Hub, Downtown Line, Jurong rock cavern and Oman
Airport Terminal Building. Based on our estimates, if YNH meets our expectations,
its order book at end-2010 could breach the S$600m mark.
Order book can scale new heights. YNH is bidding for more than S$1bn worth of•
competition in the construction sector are likely to put pressure on project fees and
hence margins. We expect YNH’s gross margins to dip, mitigated by a strong
Construction sector growth slowing.
construction sector, thanks to S$24bn and S$35bn worth of contracts awarded in 2007
and 2008. Growth in this sector has started to decelerate, growing only 13% yoy in
3Q09, down from 24% and 19% in the first two quarters. This downshift is expected to
continue in 2010, as fewer contracts would be dished out. As at end-Oct 09, only
S$17bn of contracts had been awarded, while expectations for the full year are S$18bn-
20bn. The projection for 2010 is S$15bn-17bn. Despite the lower growth rates, we
believe that contractors with strong market positioning can still do well, such as YNH,
More than S$1bn worth of contracts up for grabs.
management, we believe YNH is bidding for contracts worth more than S$1bn. We
believe it stands a chance of winning some of these projects in 2010. These include: Marina Costa Expressway.
win, YNH is awaiting the outcome of the last MCE contract, C482. Project C482 is
considerably complex and management estimates that YNH’s participation, if awarded,
could yield contract fees of S$60m-80m. Considering the fact that YNH is involved in
every other underground MCE project, we believe it stands a very good chance of
capturing this contract. YNH expects a contract award to be made known by 1Q10. Singapore Sports Hub.
the world has been delayed again and again. However, in Nov 09, newswires reported
that the winning bidder, Singapore Sports Hub Consortium (SSHC), has sent out
request-for-proposals for debt financing to some banks. Construction is expected to
begin in 1Q10 and will take about four years to complete. We believe YNH can win
work for this project for two reasons: 1) YNH has a long-standing working relationship
with Dragages Singapore, the leading member of SSHC; and 2) extensive involvement
in the MBS IR. We believe its track record would make a difference to its bid. The
contract for the Sports Hub could be worth S$150m-180m. Downtown Line, stage 2.
stage 2. The total contract value for the 12 stations is estimated at S$400m-500m.
Management expects to win 50% of these contracts, and in our view, this is a realistic
assumption. Having been involved in the construction of the Circle Line and more
recently MCE, YNH’s modular strutting systems have made their mark as the preferred
method for deep excavation support. Jurong rock cavern.
underground oil storage capacity on Jurong Island. Jurong rock cavern will comprise an
oil storage complex to be built at subterranean depths, and upon completion, will have
3m cubic metres of potential storage capacity. YNH is bidding for a contract that is
worth around S$60m. Oman airport terminal building.
steelwork for an airport terminal building in Oman, Middle East. This is a sizeable
project that is worth some S$200m. Counting the Delhi International Airport and
Bangkok’s Suvarnabhumi Airport as its previous projects, YNH has a strong case in its
bid, we believe. Order book.
YNH’s order book is estimated at S$670m-720m for FY10. Based on our estimates of
S$435m of revenue for recognition in FY10, its order book at the end of 2010 could
breach the S$600m mark. YNH is set to enjoy another busy year, with order book
Margins improving, but may dip.
were 24-30%, from participation in higher-value-added projects and improved operating
efficiencies. YNH was involved in bigger and more complex projects like the MBS IR
and MCE which commanded premium fees. However, going into 2010, a slowing
growth rate in the construction sector is likely to put pressure on project fees and hence
margins. Competition heating up.
competing for high-profile jobs like the MBS IR and Resorts World Sentosa integrated
resort. According to industry sources, several of these contractors depressed fees in [ 4 ] bids to win jobs and some eventually succeeded in their bids, at the expense of the
local players. We believe that prominent projects in 2010 like the SSH, JRC and DTL
will continue to attract bids from these foreign players. However, we believe that YNH
will survive the competition better than its peers. Unlike most local contractors, this
specialist contractor is a leader in its field, with an unrivalled capacity and track record
to show. We believe its margins will only dip marginally, mitigated by its strong
competitive position. Steel prices stabilising.
periods of stable steel prices, fluctuations in gross margins should be limited, but during
volatile times, margins can swing. YNH typically locks in raw-material supplies with
steel mills once a contract has been secured. The lead time between project tender and
award is typically three months. During periods of steel-price volatility, YNH’s
computation of its tender prices for contracts can differ materially from spot prices on
the dates the contracts are awarded. Thus, when steel prices are dropping, YNH’s
gross margins can improve as the actual cost of material is lower than the initial
expectations during the project tender. This was the case in 9M09 when the bulk of
revenue recognised was related to contracts awarded in FY08. Steel prices were
volatile in 2008, but have been stabilising since 2H09. As always, YNH walks a
tightrope balancing costs with competitive bids in the face of intensifying competition. Favourable project mix.
revenue in FY07-08 while specialist civil engineering made up 23-30%. The former
generally commands lower gross margins of 18-20% while the latter could generate
gross margins of up to 30%. A major portion of YNH’s revenue which would be
recognised in FY10 relates to specialist civil engineering projects in the pipeline.
Management expects more such projects to dominate the company’s topline as
sizeable MRT projects like the DTL come on stream in FY10. Given this mitigation, we
Maintain Outperform.
profit is expected to reach new heights. We believe FY10 will be equally exciting, if not
better. We have upgraded our FY10-11 EPS estimates by 7-8% to factor in higher
contract-win expectations. Accordingly, our target price has been upgraded from
S$0.44 to S$0.47, still based on 10x CY11 P/E, at the lower end of its mid-cycle
multiples. We expect stock catalysts from the announcement of significant contract
competitive position and a more favourable project mix.
which boasts a commendable track record and is a leader in its business segments.
possibly breaking its record of S$540m at end-3Q09.
expect gross margins to dip only slightly by 1-1.5% in FY10.
wins.
Yongnam in cold oom liao.... not much action and nothing much in news? anyone can share?
News just come in that construction will remain very buoyant in the next 2 to 3 years. Yongnam who has done mostly public projects, such as Circle Line MRT steel works and Marina Coastal Expressway contracts, will certainly benefit from the upcoming Downtown Line Stages 1 to 3. Expect more contracts to be awarded for Yongnam which is big player in structural works in Singapore, the second competitor is only 1/5 the size of Yongnam. My view is more upside for Yongnam...
S'pore construction demand for 2010 expected to reach S$21b-$27b
By Desmond Wong, Channel NewsAsia | Posted: 13 January 2010 1939 hrs
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SINGAPORE: Singapore's construction sector demand is expected to reach between S$21 and S$27 billion for this year.
The public sector is likely to be the main driver, contributing about two-thirds of the demand from civil engineering construction and subway-related projects.
Singapore's construction sector has seen demand slide since the boom times of 2008.
But the Building and Construction Authority (BCA) estimates that 2010 will be a better year.
With strong demand from public sector projects like MRT lines and civil engineering works, total demand for the construction sector is forecast to go as high as S$27 billion this year.
Senior Minister of State for National Development Grace Fu said: "Public sector works will include large infrastructure projects such as the Downtown Line Stage 3 and various major road works.
"In addition, the industry can look forward to more tendering opportunities in building projects. This will include the construction of new HDB flats to meet the ongoing demand for public housing."
The public sector is expected to contribute 65 per cent of construction demand this year.
Private sector construction demand is expected to be slightly more upbeat than last year, amounting to between S$7 billion and S$9.1 billion.
Private residential projects are also projected to increase gradually in tandem with the improved market sentiment. But analysts said as demand rises, there will be other risks.
Song Seng Wun, regional economist, CIMB-GK Research, said: "Basically, both the private sector and to some extent, the stimulus effects will still be adding on to the demand picture.
"So one of the bigger risks, other than material costs, would be labour costs for the coming couple of years if we see growth strengthen globally."
The BCA's three-year forecast also suggested that demand would slowly fall to between S$18 billion and S$25 billion until the end of 2012. This is because government stimulus is likely to slow down and the private sector begins to bear more weight on its own. - CNA/vm
It is too late to buy this stock. I know last year it was like 8 to 9 cents, so it has gone up more than 3 times wow.
Any possibility it will also have another year of record profits in 2010
samloh28 ( Date: 03-Jan-2010 15:00) Posted:
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