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Gold & metals

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bsiong
    01-May-2013 08:43  
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bsiong
    01-May-2013 08:40  
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bsiong
    01-May-2013 08:38  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 4/30/2013

by Geoffrey Varner April 30, 2013


GOLD CLOSES APRIL DOWN 7.8 PERCENT

The Gold price was up again today adding to recent gains but is closing out its worst month since December 2011.  For the trading session, investors seemed reluctant to move much either up or down as they await a decision from the Fed and the ECB.  Richard Hastings, macro strategist at Global Hunter Securities said, “Now that the month is over, we can finally look at the gold phenomenon historically.”  In comparison, this month’s gold decline is mild compared to the collapse in October of 2008 when it fell roughly 18 percent.

U.S. stocks rose again seeing the S& P 500 Index reach another high.  The milestone is attributed to a gain in consumer confidence.  Gary Flam, of Bel Air Investment Advisors LLC in Los Angeles, said, “The market is at a high here and a lot of that seems to be driven by the faith in central bankers.”  The S& P 500 has gained 1.8 percent in April, it’s sixth monthly advance and the longest winning streak since September of 2009.

At 5:00 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,478.70, Up $8.80.
  • Silver, $24.37, Up $0.14.
 

 
bsiong
    01-May-2013 08:36  
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Gold Trade is Too Quiet

Daily Bars eliottWaves_gold_body_gold.png, Gold Trade is Too Quiet

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

  Commodity Analysis: No change – “After nearly retracing the entire 4/15 decline, gold reversed at the downward sloping line that connects the record high and February 2012 high (2/29/12 was a $105 down day high to low). That line provided support in late August 2012 (8/31/12 was $47 up day high to low) as well. If gold is headed lower over the next few weeks then it needs to stay below this line. Strength above would shift focus to the December 2011 low at 1522.”

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Short against 1500, for a new low, specifically the 2011 low at 1307.

 

LEVELS: 1405 1439 1448 1485 1495 1523

 
 
bsiong
    30-Apr-2013 22:13  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 4/30/2013

By  Ryan SchwimmerApril 30, 2013


TWO-DAY FED MEETING BEGINS

Gold and Silver prices gave up some gains in overnight trading,  joining U.S. stock futures as mostly flat this morning.  Investors are waiting to hear the result of a two-day Federal Open Market Committee policy meeting this week.  Expectations for the meeting are for the Fed to continue with the third round of quantitative easing, as unemployment and inflation rates are still missing the Fed’s targets.

“Paper Gold,” or the popular exchange-traded funds backed by the metal, continues to lose steam as outflows are  signaling that day-traders are losing interest.  Tim Riddell of ANZ Global Markets Research said, “From a technical point of view, although the rebound has been relatively solid, it appears to be a more sustained correction of the fall that we saw from late March.”  Many investors still believe the fundamental reasons for owning Gold are still very much intact, however, as evidenced by the extremely high demand for the physical product.  As popular as physical Gold has been, Silver coins and bars are even more scarce as demand has risen exponentially over the past few weeks.

At 9:23 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,471.60, Up $1.70.
  • Silver, $24.32, Up $0.08.
 
 
bsiong
    30-Apr-2013 08:55  
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Gold Inside Day Contributes to Trade Setup

Daily Bars eliottWaves_gold_body_gold.png, Gold Inside Day Contributes to Trade Setup

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Commodity Analysis: After nearly retracing the entire 4/15 decline, gold reversed at the downward sloping line that connects the record high and February 2012 high (2/29/12 was a $105 down day high to low). That line provided support in late August 2012 (8/31/12 was $47 up day high to low) as well. If gold is headed lower over the next few weeks then it needs to stay below this line. Strength above would shift focus to the December 2011 low at 1522.

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Short against 1500, for a new low, specifically the 2011 low at 1307.

 

LEVELS: 1405 1439 1448 1485 1495 1523

 

 
bsiong
    30-Apr-2013 08:54  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 4/29/2013

by Brandi Brundidge April 29, 2013


ONE ANALYSIS SHOWS GOLD’S LONG-TERM OUTLOOK IS SOLID



Precious Metals prices are on the rise today as the market anticipates this week the European Central Bank (ECB) will confirm their decision to reduce interest rates and the Federal Reserve will stay on course with its bond buying program for the U.S.  " Even as we think that Gold was in a bubble and prices could eventually come down, in the very near term with the FOMC (U.S. Federal Open Market Committee) and ECB meetings, the Gold market could come back on expectations there will be no early exit from quantitative easing from the Fed and interest rates will stay low in Europe," Danske Bank analyst Christin Tuxen said.  China is currently on holiday until Thursday for May Day celebrations, which may affect the price of Gold as they are the world’s second- largest buyer of the yellow metal.

Gold has held on strong most recently as prices have been volatile and committed investors have been right by its side continuing to purchase the safe haven asset.  " Depressed price levels were perceived as an attractive entry point by physical buyers and bargain hunters," ETF Securities said. " The longer-term fundamental outlook for Gold has not changed and appears robust in our view, despite the sharp falls seen in recent weeks."   Investors are seeking to purchase physical metals versus exchange-traded funds, which assisted Gold by pushing it up last week by 3%.

At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,478.40, Up $22.30.
  • Silver, $24.64, Up $0.79.
 
 
bsiong
    29-Apr-2013 22:10  
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Eric Sprott - Silver To Skyrocket Hundreds Of Dollars in Price
April 29, 2013 - 06:30:51 PDT

Eric Sprott - Silver To Skyrocket Hundreds Of Dollars In Price

You are not going to get those kinds of gains in other instruments. You are not going to get that owning bonds or (gene... Read More

 
 
bsiong
    29-Apr-2013 22:09  
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Should we all buy silver on May 1st? Twelve reasons I say, “dang straight!”
April 29, 2013 - 06:57:10 PDT

Should We All Buy Silver On May 1st? Twelve Reasons I Say, “Dang Straight!”

An effort has recently been launched on the Internet to get those who believe in “real money” to buy (physical) silver o... Read More

 
 
bsiong
    29-Apr-2013 21:56  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 4/29/2013

By  Geoffrey VarnerApril 29, 2013


WILL ECB CUT RATES?

It’s been five years since the onset of the global financial crisis, and since then, economies have been conditioned to rely upon their central banks for stimulus. The eurozone is in recession, and momentum is building for the ECB to cut interest rates this week. If the bank does cut rates, it would be the first time since July 2012. If they don’t cut rates, a cut in June is almost a certainty.Stephen King, global chief economist for HSBC in London, said,  “I would argue that the ECB should be thinking of easing policy whether they are currently is more debatable.” The main factor King sees is what is affecting Germany. Germany is being affected by weakness in Southern Europe and slowing growth in China as well as the depreciation of the Japanese Yen.

Gold added back more than one percent of its value in overnight trading as the U.S. dollar weekend against a basket of six major global currencies.  A weaker dollar often helps support commodity prices by making them cheaper for holders of other currencies.  At the same time, strong physical demand has encouraged one HSBC economist to write that India’s Gold “love affair” was likely to increase the volume of the country’s imports after the recent slump in prices. Gold isn’t the only metal on the rise Silver rose 2.3 percent while Platinum added 1.4 percent.

At 9:00 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,471.50, Up $15.40.
  • Silver, $24.25, UP $0.40.
 

 
Richardus
    28-Apr-2013 20:28  
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  Physical vs Paper. Where to buy physical bullion products in Singapore, and where to buy silver savings passbook account.

http://silverreport.blogspot.sg/2013/04/buying-silver-bullion-in-singapore.html
 
 
bsiong
    27-Apr-2013 17:14  
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Weekly Gold & Silver Market Recap – 4/26/2013

By  Nicholas WilseyApril 26, 2013


PHYSICAL BUYERS DRIVE GOLD MARKET

After last week’s Gold and Silver prices hit a two year low, physical buyers jumped on the opportunity to buy at the reduced market pricing. That buying of Gold and Silver gave prices a boost this week. On Monday, the Gold price recovered some of the ground lost after last week’s major price drop as expectations for the metal remain positive among many investors. “As the price moved over $1,400 per ounce, physical traders, on the expectation that Gold could possibly correct back higher, rushed into Gold.” MKS Group Senior Vice President Frederic Panizzutti said.  The demand for physical Gold along with continued support by central banks has helped buoy prices  over the last few sessions. One of the driving factors of the increase in the Gold price this week was the U.S. durable goods report, which was  lower than expected.“Overall, the weak tone of this report underscored the emerging narrative of a considerable slowing in economic growth momentum in March,” TD Securities senior economist Millan Mulraine said. Many economists blame the slowdown on the budget cuts that took place earlier in the year and believe businesses are being more hesitant due to the uncertainty in the economy. Gold climbed to its highest price in ten days during overnight trading on Thursday, hitting $1,447.66 an ounce. The increase is credited to a weaker dollar, firmer prices in other commodities and a ninth straight session of physical Precious Metals demand. Investors have also noted thatRussian and Turkish central bank purchases, as reported by the International Monetary Fund, increased in March. Daily outflows from exchange traded funds (ETF) are keeping the largest Gold backed ETF, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, at its lowest level since late 2009.

IS GOLD UNDERVALUED DUE TO ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY?

Gold’s price movement over the past few weeks has the market questioning whether the bull run is over. Compared to fiat money, the yellow metal continues to be undervalued, according to Hinde Capital CEO Ben Davies, who believes Gold has held its ground throughout history and is currently being pressured by paper money. Author Detlev Schlichter said, " After 40 years of relentless paper money expansion and in particular 25 years of Fed-led global bubble finance, the dislocations in the global financial system are so massive that nobody in power dares to turn off the monetary spigot and allow market forces to do their work, that is to price credit and to price risk according to the available pool of real savings and the potential for real income generation rather than according to the wishes of our master monetary planners." The continued easing in the major global markets is not the only sign of uncertainty that investors are taking note of. Volatility in equities markets remains as many experts have cut corporate earnings projections for the second quarter. Economists who initially forecasted a 6.2 percent increase at the beginning of April have  scaled back their predictions to 5.5 percent expansion  in the coming quarter. “The earnings season has been enough to hold stocks where they are in light of some less than hoped for macro data,” Federated Investors Inc. fund manager Lawrence Creatura said. “Time will tell if it will remain enough as we move through what’s a seasonally more difficult time.” In Europe the debt crisis is spreading to the eurozone’s stronger economies now,according to German industrial giant Daimler, maker of Mercedes-Benz autos and trucks. Daimler said it is feeling the effects of the crisis in Germany, signaling the spread of the problem from the smaller countries to the eurozone’s economic powerhouse. High Frequency Economics chief economist Carl B. Weinberg said, “The EU has made Europe a much more cohesive economy, which is good when things are going up, but when things are going down the multiplier is very strong. An outgoing tide lowers all ships.”

At 5:00 pm (EDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1463.70, Down $0.80.
  • Silver, $24.04, Down $0.21.
 
 
bsiong
    27-Apr-2013 00:05  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 4/26/2013

By  Ryan SchwimmerApril 26, 2013


GDP MISSES MARK GOLD ON TRACK FOR WEEKLY GAIN

The Gold price spiked briefly this morning after the release of the first quarter U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) report. Economists expected to see 3.0 percent growth, and  investors were disappointed with a 2.5 percent reading. U.S. stock futures added to losses on the news. One potential result of this report is the continuation of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program, which has historically been a boon to Precious Metals prices.

In overnight trading,  Gold rose over the $1,485 per ounce mark. IG Markets Ltd. chief market strategist Chris Weston said, “The prospect of emerging market central bank buying and strong physical demand has put a bid in the market and reminded everyone that it’s not all about speculators.” The U.S. dollar fell against a basket of currencies and only added to those losses after the GDP report was released. Gold is on track for a five percent weekly gain after the recent selloff saw the price down by 11 percent.

At 9:16 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,469.40, Up $4.90.
  • Silver, $24.12, Down $0.13.
 
 
bsiong
    26-Apr-2013 09:05  
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Albert Edwards' Bleak Crystal Ball Reveals Gold Above $10,000 - S& P At 450 - And Sub-1% Bond Yields
April 25, 2013 - 06:37:09 PDT

Albert Edwards' Bleak Crystal Ball Reveals Gold Above $10,000 - S& P At 450 - And Sub-1% Bond Yields



Just because some of the C-grade financial " pundits" out there may have been confused that Albert Edwards was turning bu... read more
 
 
bsiong
    26-Apr-2013 09:03  
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Drop In Gold Pricing Triggers Rush To Buy!
April 25, 2013 - 14:16:15 PDT

Drop In Gold Pricing Triggers Rush To Buy!



Gold’s biggest drop in three decades caused what has become an ongoing global rush into physical gold. Reports are still... read more
 

 
bsiong
    26-Apr-2013 09:01  
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5 Factors That Will Push Silver to $250 an Ounce
April 25, 2013 - 12:05:00 PDT

5 Factors That Will Push Silver to $250 an Ounce



Silver will outperform gold. I believe silver will trade down 16:1 ratio to gold…Your return will be 300% more. If you h... read more
 
 
bsiong
    26-Apr-2013 08:58  
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QUICK MARKET COMMENTARY
                         



(Posted: April 24, 2013)

 

 

 
 
bsiong
    26-Apr-2013 08:39  
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Gold Reaches 20 Day Midpoint, Former Trendline in Play

Daily Bars eliottWaves_gold_body_gold.png, Gold Reaches 20 Day Midpoint, Former Trendline in Play

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

 

Commodity Analysis: Gold has reached the 20 day midpoint (1465) and top of the rising wedge (connect the tops of 4/16 and 4/22. Of note as well is the downward sloping line that connects the record high and February 2012 high (2/29/12 was a $105 down day high to low). That line provided support in late August 2012 (8/31/12 was $47 up day high to low). The line is at about 1477 on Friday.

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Triggered short at 1459, stop is above 4/15 high (1495), target is new lows and specifically the 2011 low at 1307

LEVELS: 1367 1405 1439 1477 1495 1523

 
 
bsiong
    26-Apr-2013 08:38  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 4/25/2013

by Brandi Brundidge April 25, 2013


PRECIOUS METALS PRICES RECOVERING ON EUROPEAN CONCERNS



Today Gold has seen its biggest gain of 2013 as the market anticipates the European Central Bank’s announcement of plans to cut interest rates.  “Rate cut speculation ahead of next week's ECB meeting and the prospect of continued ultra loose US monetary policy following more weak economic figures in the eurozone and the US are lending buoyancy to the Gold price," Commerzbank AG wrote in a note. 

New York billionaire investor John Paulson confirmed Wednesday he is bullish for Gold.  He acknowledges the recent price drop has brought some concern to the yellow metal however, he believes that in the future, the safe haven asset could provide a powerful hedge against inflation.  Paulson is better known as an influential hedge fund manager whose confident decision to invest in the housing market in 2007 earned him his wealth. 

At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,469.70, Up $43.50.
  • Silver, $24.43, Up $1.49.
 
 
bsiong
    26-Apr-2013 08:37  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 4/25/2013

by Geoffrey Varner April 25, 2013


GOLD RISES TO 10 DAY HIGH PHYSICAL BUYING SURGES

Gold climbed to its highest price in 10 days during overnight trading, hitting $1,447.66 an ounce. The increase is credited to a weaker dollar, firmer prices in other commodities and a ninth straight session of physical Precious Metals demand. Investors have also noted that Russian and Turkish central bank purchases, as reported by the International Monetary Fund, increased in March. Daily outflows from exchange traded funds (ETF) are keeping the largest Gold backed ETF, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, at its lowest level since late 2009.

Physical buying of Gold is increasing around the world, and not just in India and China, the top Gold consuming countries. Analyst Jonathan Barratt said, “In Australia, we had a queue outside one of our bullion houses about half a kilometer long and I haven't seen something like that for years." In another sign of increased Gold demand, the U.S. Mint has suspended sales of 1/10 oz Gold American Eagle coins. So far this April, the Mint has sold 175,000 ounces of Gold American Eagle coins, putting it on pace to challenge its record sales set in December 2009. Year to date demand for the 1/10 oz Gold Eagle coin is up over 118 percent compared to the same period last year.

At 9:14 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,450.20, Up $23.90
  • Silver, $23.66, Up $0.73.
 
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