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Gold & metals

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bsiong
    09-May-2013 09:32  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/8/2013

By  Ryan SchwimmerMay 8, 2013


DR. DOOM: “HUGE RALLY IN RISK ASSETS” AHEAD

Precious Metals prices have recovered yesterday’s losses, thanks to a weaker U.S. dollar and  physical demand continuing to stay strong. Sharps Pixley said in a note, “Given the reduction of tail-risk in Europe, the rising labour market in the U.S. and the low inflation rate, investors prefer equities to Gold in the near term,” though many investors still like the portfolio balance Precious Metals offer.

U.S. stock futures are pointing to a  higher open on Wall Street, continuing their record run. Surprisingly, New York University economics professor Nouriel Roubini, known as “Dr. Doom,” does not believe that stocks are in a bubble, but did warn of a major selloff. Roubini believes there is a “huge gap between sentiment on Wall Street and the main street,” and noted that a still-weak U.S. economy could lead to a “huge rally in risk assets” such as Gold.

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,469.00, Up $17.70.
  • Silver, $24.02, Up $0.13.
 
 
bsiong
    08-May-2013 14:12  
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“The Bull Market is Very Much Intact” for Gold - World Gold Council
May 07, 2013 - 06:37:30 PDT

“The Bull Market Is Very Much Intact” For Gold - World Gold Council

Marcus Grubb, managing director of investment at the World Gold Council, told Lauren Lyster of The Daily Ticker at the M... Read More

 
 
bsiong
    08-May-2013 14:09  
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Gold – You Better Hold It
May 07, 2013 - 13:25:45 PDT

Gold – You Better Hold It

Short-term investors have sold their positions. Long-term investors are still holding. Not much has changed as the gold ... Read More

 

 
bsiong
    08-May-2013 14:07  
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Gold Possible Support Comes in 36 Dollar Increments

Daily BarseliottWaves_gold_body_gold.png, Gold Possible Support Comes in 36 Dollar Increments

Chart  Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT 

 

Commodity  Analysis: No change – “After nearly retracing the entire 4/15 decline, gold reversed at the downward sloping line that connects the record high and February 2012 high (2/29/12 was a $105 down day high to low). That line provided support in late August 2012 (8/31/12 was $47 up day high to low) as well. If gold is headed lower over the next few weeks then it needs to stay below this line. Strength above would shift focus to the December 2011 low at 1522.”

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Short against 1500, for a new low, specifically the 2011 low at 1307.

 

LEVELS: 1367 1403 1439 1470 1488 1495

 
 
bsiong
    08-May-2013 13:59  
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Closing Gold and Silver Report – 5/7/13

By  Nicholas WilseyMay 7, 2013


GOLD LOWERS ON EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

The Gold price dropped today on news out of Europe regarding formation of a banking union. This has caused a belief that there will be less financial risk in the region,  which has in turn caused a drop in safe haven assets such as Gold. “Any indication that Europe is working towards a resolution is bad for Gold,” Adam Klopfenstein, a senior market strategist at Archer Financial Services Inc. in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. “Money is flowing into riskier assets like equities.”

In the United States, a new consumer confidence report does not give a positive outlook for the country’s economic situation. “You look at the stock market and we’re expecting to have record earnings this year, companies have record cash on their balance sheet … but we still have 24 million people who are unemployed or underemployed in this country … [The public is] starting to understand  we are not in the middle of a dynamic recovery, we’re in the middle of a 2% or 2.5% recovery, which is not very strong,” said Terry Jones, associate editor at IBD.

At 5:03 pm (EDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1454.10, Down $16.40.
  • Silver, $24.01, Down $0.04.
 
 
bsiong
    07-May-2013 21:35  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/7/2013

By  Ryan SchwimmerMay 7, 2013


ANALYST: GOLD IS THE BEST INFLATION HEDGE

Precious Metals prices fell in overnight trading as Gold faces a key technical resistance level at $1,469.80 per ounce.    A surprise rate cut in Australia  put more pressure on the Gold price, as morning losses doubled after the news.  Credit Suisse analyst Karim Cherif said, “The monetary easing news will continue to support liquidity, favoring more cyclical assets like stocks rather than defensive ones like Precious Metals.” A dealer in Hong Kong added, “Physical supply is still a bit tight. The world is happy to buy Gold, especially when prices were below $1,400. But Gold is reluctant to go above $1,475 because of the (exchange-traded funds).”

Andy Xie of MarketWatch believes that with growth stuck at about a two percent range and inflation seemingly rising in the future, the U.S. is in a period of stagflation. Xie wrote, “Despite its recent setback,Gold remains a big beneficiary of the current macro environment. It could make a new high in the current year and rise much higher in 2014. The Gold bull market will end when an inflation crisis pushes central bankers around the world to tighten aggressively… For the masses, Gold is the best inflation hedge.”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,453.90, Down $16.60.
  • Silver, $23.65, Down $0.40.
 

 
bsiong
    07-May-2013 08:41  
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What Is a Gold Standard?
May 06, 2013 - 11:22:26 PDT

What Is a Gold Standard?



Before 1974, U.S. dollars were backed by gold. This meant that the federal government could not print more money than it... read more
 
 
bsiong
    07-May-2013 08:39  
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Gold Trades in Tiny Range

Daily Bars eliottWaves_gold_body_gold.png, Gold Trades in Tiny Range

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

 

Commodity Analysis: No change – “After nearly retracing the entire 4/15 decline, gold reversed at the downward sloping line that connects the record high and February 2012 high (2/29/12 was a $105 down day high to low). That line provided support in late August 2012 (8/31/12 was $47 up day high to low) as well. If gold is headed lower over the next few weeks then it needs to stay below this line. Strength above would shift focus to the December 2011 low at 1522.”

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Short against 1500, for a new low, specifically the 2011 low at 1307.

 

LEVELS: 1367 1403 1439 1485 1495 1522

 
 
bsiong
    07-May-2013 08:38  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/2/2013

by Brandi Brundidge May 2, 2013


INVESTORS, ANALYSTS REMAIN BULLISH ON GOLD



Precious Metals prices are on the rise with growing concern after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its standard interest rate to a record low of 0.50 percent. When central banks lower interest rates, the market typically takes the opportunity to move into non-interest-bearing investments such as Gold. “When [ECB chief Mario] Draghi today comes along and says that the central bank is getting ready for negative interest rates, meaning it has all the ammunitions in place, what this suggested is that the opportunity cost to hold Gold will remain low,” VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said. The U.S. jobs report will be released tomorrow, which always sparks the market with either a positive or negative outlook with data reflecting how the economy is growing.

Jim Rickards of Tangent Capital shared his thoughts on Gold with CNBC today as he explained how the yellow metal would continue to perform sideways for the remainder of 2013 however, the metal’s more recent devaluation could increase the prices. “The problem is when central banks fear deflation more than anything, they try everything to defeat it, so, you know, currency wars, money printing, zero-interest-rate policy, forward guidance, twist. They do everything they can. When they can't win the battle against deflation, they devalue the currency against Gold because Gold's the only thing that can't fight back,” Rickards said. 

At 5:15 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,468.80, Up $20.10.
  • Silver, $23.88, Up $0.45.
 
 
Richardus
    06-May-2013 23:03  
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bsiong
    06-May-2013 21:31  
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bsiong
    06-May-2013 21:29  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/6/2013

By  Geoffrey VarnerMay 6, 2013


GOLD OPENS ON POSITIVE NOTE

Friday’s jobs report strengthened the U.S. dollar and put pressure on Gold, but the Precious Metal rebounded in overnight trading even though European markets are closed for a national holiday. Saxo Bank Vice President Ole Hansen said, “Technically we are in a nice upward channel since the mid April low.” He also noted that outflows from bullion backed exchange traded products have slowed.

U.S. stocks traded flat this morning, but the question remains, can the record highs keep coming? Eighty percent of S& P companies have reported earnings, but with no data today, investors have time to ponder the longevity of recent gains. IG Chief Market Strategist Chris Weston said, “With new all-time highs in the CAC, DAX and S& P 500,  it seems like equities have regained their luster  and the fact that so many are skeptical keeps us bullish on these markets, and from a technical perspective shorting is tough and unrewarding.” He also said don’t bet against the markets right now.

At 9:03 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,472.60, Up $6.00.
  • Silver, $24.05, Down 0.05.
 
 
bsiong
    06-May-2013 13:11  
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No bubble seen in Gold market - Commerzbank
May 03, 2013 - 13:18:11 PDT

No bubble seen in Gold market - Commerzbank



The current situation is more reminiscent of the temporary sharp downtrend in October 2008 than of other bubbles. Back t... read more
 
 
jomini
    05-May-2013 12:03  
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it might be time to get suspicious if the analysts are bullish and its popular

bsiong      ( Date: 03-May-2013 08:38) Posted:

Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/2/2013

by Brandi Brundidge May 2, 2013


INVESTORS, ANALYSTS REMAIN BULLISH ON GOLD



Precious Metals prices are on the rise with growing concern after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its standard interest rate to a record low of 0.50 percent. When central banks lower interest rates, the market typically takes the opportunity to move into non-interest-bearing investments such as Gold. “When [ECB chief Mario] Draghi today comes along and says that the central bank is getting ready for negative interest rates, meaning it has all the ammunitions in place, what this suggested is that the opportunity cost to hold Gold will remain low,” VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said. The U.S. jobs report will be released tomorrow, which always sparks the market with either a positive or negative outlook with data reflecting how the economy is growing.

Jim Rickards of Tangent Capital shared his thoughts on Gold with CNBC today as he explained how the yellow metal would continue to perform sideways for the remainder of 2013 however, the metal’s more recent devaluation could increase the prices. “The problem is when central banks fear deflation more than anything, they try everything to defeat it, so, you know, currency wars, money printing, zero-interest-rate policy, forward guidance, twist. They do everything they can. When they can't win the battle against deflation, they devalue the currency against Gold because Gold's the only thing that can't fight back,” Rickards said. 

At 5:15 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,468.80, Up $20.10.
  • Silver, $23.88, Up $0.45.

 
 
bsiong
    05-May-2013 11:28  
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Gold Inside Day Follows Sharp Decline

Daily BarseliottWaves_gold_body_gold.png, Gold Inside Day Follows Sharp Decline

Chart  Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT 

 

Commodity  Analysis: No change – “After nearly retracing the entire 4/15 decline, gold reversed at the downward sloping line that connects the record high and February 2012 high (2/29/12 was a $105 down day high to low). That line provided support in late August 2012 (8/31/12 was $47 up day high to low) as well. If gold is headed lower over the next few weeks then it needs to stay below this line. Strength above would shift focus to the December 2011 low at 1522.”

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Short against 1500, for a new low, specifically the 2011 low at 1307.

 

LEVELS: 1367 1403 1439 1485 1495 1522

 

 
bsiong
    03-May-2013 08:38  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/2/2013

by Brandi Brundidge May 2, 2013


INVESTORS, ANALYSTS REMAIN BULLISH ON GOLD



Precious Metals prices are on the rise with growing concern after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its standard interest rate to a record low of 0.50 percent. When central banks lower interest rates, the market typically takes the opportunity to move into non-interest-bearing investments such as Gold. “When [ECB chief Mario] Draghi today comes along and says that the central bank is getting ready for negative interest rates, meaning it has all the ammunitions in place, what this suggested is that the opportunity cost to hold Gold will remain low,” VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said. The U.S. jobs report will be released tomorrow, which always sparks the market with either a positive or negative outlook with data reflecting how the economy is growing.

Jim Rickards of Tangent Capital shared his thoughts on Gold with CNBC today as he explained how the yellow metal would continue to perform sideways for the remainder of 2013 however, the metal’s more recent devaluation could increase the prices. “The problem is when central banks fear deflation more than anything, they try everything to defeat it, so, you know, currency wars, money printing, zero-interest-rate policy, forward guidance, twist. They do everything they can. When they can't win the battle against deflation, they devalue the currency against Gold because Gold's the only thing that can't fight back,” Rickards said. 

At 5:15 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,468.80, Up $20.10.
  • Silver, $23.88, Up $0.45.
 
 
bsiong
    02-May-2013 21:52  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/2/2013

By  Nicholas WilseyMay 2, 2013


GOLD GAINS AS EUROPE CUTS RATES

The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main interest rate down to 0.5 percent. This highly anticipated move has had little effect on the European stock market and the value of the euro however, the Gold market is moving upward on the news.  “The ECB's decision to cut interest rates to 0.5 percent had looked ever more inevitable as latest data and survey evidence pointed to ongoing and widespread economic weakness across the eurozone as well as below target and receding inflation,” Howard Archer of IHS Global Insight said after the decision. 

Announcements from the central banks of the U.S. and the eurozone caused the Gold price to show improvement,  but not to the level some would believe is warranted.  “The logic was that the more [quantitative easing] was done by central banks the more inflationary pressure we would have, but there's no sign of that and Gold is suffering,” Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said. The next key report investors are eyeing is the U.S. jobs report on Friday. If the report is disappointing, it will support the idea behind the long-term use of monetary easing in the U.S. by the Federal Reserve. 

At 9:00 am (EDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1466.20, Up $17.50.
  • Silver, $24.01, Up $0.58.
 
 
bsiong
    02-May-2013 08:48  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/1/2013

by Ted Prince May 1, 2013


QE REMAINS UNCHANGED AS PHYSICAL DEMAND STILL STRONG

The Gold price rebounded slightly from morning lows as the Federal Reserve expressed no intention of altering its ultra loose monetary policy. Though the Fed announced that the U.S. economy is experiencing modest expansion they did state “the Committee is prepared to increase or reduce the pace of its purchases to maintain appropriate policy accommodation as the outlook for the labor market or inflation changes.” In the short-term, it seems the Fed’s massive bond-purchase program is not exacerbating the long touted inflationary debacle that was such a bullish marketing factor for Gold in recent years. However, long-term Precious Metals investors feeling anxiety surrounding Gold’s recent price correction were comforted as current projections for future inflation remain unchanged. Traditionally, sustained dollar devaluation and inflation have positively impacted Precious Metals prices. 

The historic two session price drop that saw Gold fall more than $200 has done little to curb the appetite for physical bullion investors. “It's been primarily the financial component that has been selling. I don't think that we have seen a lot of small holders changing their view on Gold,” Nicholas Johnson, a portfolio manager at PIMCO, said. The U.S. Mint has reported demand for Gold American Eagles to be at its highest level since December 2009. With the mentality of electronic and bullion investors remaining in sharp contrast, many experts expect the Asian market and central bank demand for physical Gold to offset the fear-based selling that is taking place among Gold exchange traded funds.

At 4:00 pm (EDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1459.00, Down $15.60.
  • Silver, $23.69, Down $0.58.
 
 
bsiong
    02-May-2013 08:47  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 5/1/2013

by Ryan Schwimmer May 1, 2013


FOMC EXPECTED TO STAY THE COURSE

Precious Metals prices have dipped this morning as investors await a policy decision from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which will conclude today. After a string of mostly positive economic reports over the fall and winter, recent signs have suggested that the same dip experienced last spring and summer could be repeated this year. Most economists believe that quantitative easing will continue for the foreseeable future. “It seems an easy decision to push the discussion down the road and issue a steady-as-she-goes statement,” Julia Coronado of BNP Paribas said.

Holidays in China and Europe could be to blame for the Gold price’s dip today. China, specifically, has a huge impact on the physical metals market as the second-largest consumer of Gold in the world. Because of this, economic data and the FOMC decision could have an enhanced effect on prices today. UBS analyst Joni Teves said, “A slight dovish tilt in the FOMC's tone would be good for Gold, as would a disappointing employment number. But on the employment front, the risk is that non-farm payrolls are expected to have recovered in April (which) would potentially offset the positive impact of a more cautious FOMC (decision).”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,461.80, Down $12.80.
  • Silver, $23.70, Down $0.58.
 
 
bsiong
    02-May-2013 08:46  
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Gold Drops Reinforces ‘Meridian’ Line

Daily Bars eliottWaves_gold_body_gold.png, Gold Drops Reinforces ‘Meridian’ Line

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

 

Commodity Analysis: No change – “After nearly retracing the entire 4/15 decline, gold reversed at the downward sloping line that connects the record high and February 2012 high (2/29/12 was a $105 down day high to low). That line provided support in late August 2012 (8/31/12 was $47 up day high to low) as well. If gold is headed lower over the next few weeks then it needs to stay below this line. Strength above would shift focus to the December 2011 low at 1522.”

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Short against 1500, for a new low, specifically the 2011 low at 1307.

 

LEVELS: 1367 1403 1439 1461 1485 1495

 
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