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bsiong
    23-Nov-2010 12:13  
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Gold dips, euro zone contagion worries weigh

Mon Nov 22, 2010 11:19am EST

 

 * Ireland requests aid; peripheral worries remain
 * Euro sheds early gains versus dollar 
 * Holdings of silver in largest silver ETF hit record
 
 (Updates prices, adds comment)
 By Amanda Cooper
 LONDON, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Gold fell on Monday, as optimism
over Ireland's request for financial aid was overtaken by
concern about possible contagion to other euro zone nations to
weigh on the euro.
The pick-up in the dollar undermined demand from investors
for perceived safe-haven assets such as gold, which tends to
struggle if the U.S. currency strengthens. [FRX/]
 EU officials said Ireland may receive the first tranche of
an emergency bailout in January and its debt problems are
unlikely to spread to other euro zone nations, although
Ireland's Green Party pulled the plug on the unpopular coalition
government by calling for a national election. [ID:nLDE6AL00M]
 Back in May, when the problems surrounding the euro zone's
debt burden became apparent, gold's traditional link to the U.S.
dollar broke down as investors sought an alternative to the
euro, although the same phenomenon has not materialized with
this recent resurgence of concern over Europe's finances.
 "(Gold has) come down a bit on the Irish news, the euro has
come down. It's not really huge moves, it's because traders are
uncertain whether the bailout will be a success," said Matthew
Turner, an analyst with Mitsubishi.
 "There are two things -- will the bailout be a success and


how will gold prices react if it is ... It could go either way."
Spot gold XAU= traded at $1,352.50 an ounce by 1554 GMT,
having earlier risen by as much as 0.77 percent to a session
high of $1,364.55. U.S. gold futures for December delivery
GCZ0 were down 40 cents at $1,351.9.
 Risk aversion alone does not always drive investors into
precious metals, especially if the broader commodities complex
comes under pressure, sweeping bullion lower in the process, as
has been the case in the last three weeks. .CRB
 Holdings of gold in the world's largest exchange-traded fund
rose for the first time in two weeks, indicating investors were
delving back into precious metals, albeit cautiously. [GOL/SPDR]
 While holdings of metal in ETFs rose last week, speculators
cut their holdings of gold futures, according to data from the
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission last week.
 Total open interest in gold futures held by non-commercial
players, which many in the market use as a gauge of speculative
activity, staged its largest weekly fall since late July and has
fallen in five out of the past six weeks.
 "Much of the short-term froth is now dissolved -
particularly from the gold market - but that doesn't mean the
stage is set for a re-run of fresh highs," said UBS precious


metals strategist Edel Tully.
"With Thanksgiving approaching, U.S. investors in particular
may be inclined to reduce risk positions over the holiday
period," she added.
 Meanwhile, China's steps to rein in inflation could dim
gold's appeal in the world's second-largest consumer after
India, but a drop in bullion prices from all-time high levels
were attracting purchases from other consumers in Asia, local
dealers said. 
 Reflecting the concern among some investors about the rise
in the gold price against a backdrop of an improving global
economy, HSBC Global Asset Management said late last week it had
cut its gold allocation in its Absolute Return Fund in half.
"We have ... taken the prudent course of action and halved
our position in gold bullion to 6 percent to reflect the fact
that we remain bullish over the long term but acknowledge that
gold has run ahead of itself at a time when the diversification
benefits have become less obvious," wrote HSBC fund manager
Charlie Morris in a note to clients.
 Silver XAG= rose by 0.3 percent, rallying for a fourth
successive day, after holdings of metal in the world's largest
silver-backed ETF hit another record high. 
 Spot silver was last up at $27.29 an ounce, from $27.21 in
late trade in New York on Friday, having risen by nearly 9


percent in the last five trading days. 
 
 
bsiong
    22-Nov-2010 15:12  
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Gold tracks euro higher, shrugs off China's move

Mon Nov 22, 2010 1:40am EST

 

 * Gold ticks up on euro strength              	
 * Gold seen rangebound, seeks direction[ID:nSGE6AL013]	
 * Coming Up: U.S. Chicago Fed index Oct; 1300 GMT	
 	
 (Updates prices)	
 By Lewa Pardomuan	
 SINGAPORE, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Gold ticked higher on Monday 
as the euro gained after Ireland's rescue deal, helping the 
metal resist pressure from China's move to tighten its economy.	China's steps to rein in inflation could dim gold's appeal 
in the world's second-largest consumer after India, but 
dealers said a drop in bullion prices from all-time high 
levels were 	
attracting purchases from other consumers in Asia.      	
 Spot gold added $7.15 an ounce to $1,361.30 an ounce 	
by 0617 GMT, still well below a lifetime high around $1,424 an 	
ounce struck in early November. U.S. gold futures for December 	
delivery rose $8.7 to $1,361 an ounce.	
 Spot gold is technically neutral as it hovers within a 
range 	
of $1,340-$1,365 per ounce, and a further development of the 	
chart is necessary to confirm its next directional move, 	
according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. 
 For a graphic showing the 24-hour gold technical outlook, 	
see: here	
 "Gold has dropped from $1,400 and it seems there's buying 	
interest around at these levels," said Ronald Leung, director 
of 	
Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.	
"Asian people are still happy to buy gold. For the time 	
being, gold is neutral, trading on either side," said Leung, 	
adding that gold could be under pressure if China did raise 	
interest rates.	
 China sought on Monday to reassure people that inflation 
will remain in check, voicing  confidence that ample grain 
supplies and excess capacity in industry will keep a lid on 
price pressures. 
 Silver rose more than 1 percent on firm gold and 
after holdings on the exchange-traded fund hit another record. 
A rally in the Nikkei spurred buying in platinum 
 and palladium . Palladium and platinum often 
track equity markets because of their industrial use.      
 The euro, Asian stocks and commodities got a fillip on 
Monday after global financial authorities agreed to bail out 	
debt-swamped Ireland and protect Europe's wider financial 
stability.       	
 The size of Ireland's aid by the European Union and the 	
International Monetary Fund has yet to be negotiated, but is 	
likely to be smaller than Greece's 110 billion euros bailout 
last May. One source said it could total 80 to 90 billion euros.

A strong euro helped offset worries about China's move to
tighten the economy. The People's Bank of China announced on
Friday it would increase required reserves by 50 basis
points, its fifth such announcement this year, in a fresh
attempt to keep a lid on inflation.


 In the physical sector, premiums for gold bars in Singapore

were steady at 70 cents to the spot London prices.
 "It's a pretty slow start but we do see some buying around 	
from Indonesia and Thailand as well as physical offtake," said 
a dealer in Singapore.	
 iShares Silver Trust , the world's largest 
silver-backed exchange-traded fund, said  its holdings rose to 
 another record of 10,814.62 tonnes by Nov. 19. For details of 
the ETF's silver holdings, click on: 
link.reuters.com/wux96h	
 The world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR 	
Gold Trust , said its holdings rose to 1,289.336 tonnes 
by Nov 19 from 1,286.299 tonnes on Nov 18. The holdings hit a 
record at 1,320.436 tonnes on June 29.      
Precious metals prices at 0617 GMT
 Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg Turnover	
 Spot Gold        1361.30    7.15   +0.53     24.24	
 Spot Silver        27.67    0.46   +1.69     64.41	
 Spot Platinum    1668.50    5.50   +0.33     13.74	
 Spot Palladium    707.50    9.17   +1.31     74.48	
 	
 Euro/Dollar       1.3749	
 Dollar/Yen         83.43	
 
 
bsiong
    22-Nov-2010 14:53  
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Gold: Gold for immediate delivery advanced 0.4 percent to $1,358.93 an ounce at 8:56 a.m. Seoul time. 
Spot silver gained as much as 1.8 percent to $27.8150 an ounce, the highest price since Nov. 11, and last traded at $27.7288 an ounce.

 
 

 
bsiong
    21-Nov-2010 11:49  
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METALS OUTLOOK: Gold Falls On Week, But Outlook Still Firm

Posted 11/19/2010 3:00 PM by Debbie Carlson from Kitco in InvestingCommodities

(Kitco News) - Gold prices ended lower on the week after a stronger dollar put pressure on precious metals prices, but the markets managed to hold above key support levels which should give support into next week's action.

Futures prices for the week on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange dipped for gold, with the December down 1% at $1,352.30 an ounce. December silver meanwhile, rose 4.8% at $27.179 an ounce.

After being bloodied and bruised for several weeks, the dollar rallied a bit versus the euro this week over jitters regarding the solvency of Irish banks. The European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the United Kingdom all pledged to help the beleaguered banks, even as the Irish government attempted to fend off the aid.

Dollar strength weighed on precious metals and kept prices under $1,400 the entire week. "That doesn't mean this market is bearish, not all, this market is still extremely bullish, but we're in a correction with extreme volatility," said Scott Meyers, New York branch manager with the Pioneer Futures division of MF Global.

The fact December gold was able to scratch out a close over $1,350 is a positive sign going into next week, said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist, Lind-Waldock, and gold could try to go back and retest the $1,400 area.

Haberkorn also said he noticed buyers at the Comex were placing bullish position in the options market, with purchasing far out of the money calls, such as July silver $40 calls and the $1,600 February gold calls.

That could be a tall order for next week, however, as the U.S. markets head into the big Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. Markets are closed that day and the Nymex metals contracts have shortened trading hours Friday. Many traders opt to extend the holiday by one extra day, so trading volume could be light, but could also be volatile.

Precious metals prices also sagged over worries of a Chinese interest rate hike. Early Friday, China said it would tell banks to raise their reserves, effective Nov. 29, but markets cut early losses. Haberkorn said early chatter that the CME Group, which owns the Comex, would raise margins again pulled down prices, but when that did not materialize the market shook off some of the losses.

He said going forward that the markets will continue to keep an eye on any political tensions between the U.S. and China, especially after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech overnight that chastised an unnamed country for undervaluing its currency and potentially curbing global growth.

"The next thing we need to watch is the political and economic fight with China. If there are global concerns again, that could lift the dollar. But gold and silver might rally regardless of the dollar, much like it did this spring when the Europe (fiscal worries) happened," Haberkorn said.

Both Meyers and Haberkorn said they remain bullish on gold, even with the price retreat. Meyer said support for gold is seen first at $1,330-35 with major support seen at the Oct 21-22 low of $1,315-20. Resistance is at the recent high



Read more: http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2010-11/metals-outlook-gold-falls-on-week-but-outlook-still-firm.aspx?storyid=45917#ixzz15sx86fWk 

 
 
bsiong
    21-Nov-2010 11:44  
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Strong Outlook for Gold Demand for Remainder of 2010

LONDONNovember 17, 2010 /PRNewswire/ -- Global gold consumption for 2010 will be higher than 2009 as a result of increasing levels of demand in India and China, sustained global demand for gold investment, together with growth in jewellery and industrial demand, the World Gold Council ("WGC") said.

According to the WGC's Gold Demand Trends report for Q3 2010, published today, demand for gold in the final quarter of 2010 will be driven by the following factors:

    - Increasing demand by the world's two largest markets, India and China,
      as rising income levels, high savings rates and strong economic growth
      continue to push up consumption.

    - Gold jewellery demand is likely to exceed that of 2009 due to an
      anticipated recovery in India, the most significant gold jewellery
      market, and continuing strength in China. While jewellery demand may
      face challenges ahead, the latest figures show that demand in key
      markets has shown resilience in the face of higher prices levels.

    - Concern over fiscal imbalances and currency tensions will continue to
      support investment demand for gold. Aside from the recent additional
      US$600 billion of quantitative easing by the US, the weakening of the
      US dollar and associated fears of inflation, demand is also likely to
      be driven by higher gold price expectations, as well as increasing
      availability and accessibility of gold investment products to retail
      investors.

    - Industrial demand, which has returned to long-term levels, is expected
      to remain firm on the back of renewed growth in the electronics
      industry, due to the majority of semi-conductors being wired by gold.

Marcus Grubb, Managing Director, Investment at the WGC commented:

"Healthy gold demand growth in the third quarter occurred in the context of record international prices, demonstrating how consumers, particularly in India and China, are continuing to appreciate the enduring value of gold. The rediscovery of gold's properties as both a currency and a monetary asset have been brought into sharp focus. Quantitative easing has forced the adjustment of global imbalances into currency markets and the resulting currency conflict is positive for gold. In addition, we believe demand will be facilitated by the growing number of channels that serve to make gold more easily accessible to a greater number of investors."

Richard Holliday, Director, Industrial at the WGC commented:

"The recovery of industrial gold demand to pre-crisis levels will continue to be sustained by the rise in demand for high-tech goods, such as the iPad and smart phones. Longer-term exciting advancements in the use of gold in nanotechnology, environmental and biomedical applications are also expected to drive demand."

    GLOBAL DEMAND STATISTICS FOR Q3 2010

   - Total gold demand was 922 tonnes, an increase of 12% from Q3 2009. In
      US$ value terms, demand grew 43% to US$36.4 billion over the same
      period.

    - Demand for gold jewellery increased by 8% from Q3 2009, with four of
      the best performing markets - India, China, Russia and Turkey –
      accounting for 63% of global demand. In value terms, global demand for
      the 12 month period ending September 2010 hit a record US$137.5
      billion.

    - Retail investment rose 25% from Q3 2009 to 243 tonnes. The largest
      contribution to total demand growth came from bar hoarding, which
      increased 44% from the previous year. The total value of net retail
      investments during the quarter was a record $9.6 billion, representing
      a 60% increase from Q3 2009.

    - Total gold ETF demand fell by 7% from Q3 2009 to 39 tonnes. Following a
      remarkable surge in the previous quarter, which was supported by
      heightened sovereign risk and currency worries, this quieter period for
      ETFs reflects consolidation in the market, as it contemplated the
      prospect of QE2.

    - Industrial demand has recovered back to pre-crisis levels of 110
      tonnes, reflecting an increase of 13% from Q3 2009. This recovery was
      driven by improving demand for consumer electronics goods globally, in
      particular from emerging markets such as China and India, as well as an
      increased range of new technology products with gold components.

The full 2010 Q3 Gold Demand Trends report, which includes comprehensive data for the third quarter of 2010, can be viewed at: http://www.mediacentre.gold.org




 

 
 
bsiong
    20-Nov-2010 10:10  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/19/2010

By Peter LaTonaNovember 19, 2010

At 4PM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:

  • Gold price – $1,354.60
  • Silver price – $27.36
  • Platinum price – $1,668.70
  • Palladium price  - $704.40

 

COMMENTARY: Gold and Platinum traded in a tight range today, while Silver and Palladium demonstrated strong gains. In general, commodity stocks fell on news of the Chinese anti-inflation measures, but precious metal prices maintained or went up. As stated previously, all investors should keep their eyes on the European debt problems.

Gold spot price finished off 50 cents – Silver spot price was up 47 cents – Platinum price up $4.80 – Palladium price up $8.40

// 

 

 
bsiong
    19-Nov-2010 22:27  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/19/2010

By Peter LaTonaNovember 19, 2010


At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price  -$1,346.90
  • Silver price - $26.66
  • Platinum price - $1,650.00
  • Palladium price - $698.60


 

COMMENTARY: Precious metal prices were on the rise in overnight trading, as the US Dollar continued to fall, but this trend reversed as further measures to tighten up on inflation were introduced in China. China takes offense to any dialog indicating they are intentionally keeping their currency undervalued, and have urged the US to not interfer with their internal affairs.

 
 
 
bsiong
    19-Nov-2010 17:17  
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Gold holds gains as Ireland worry eases

Fri Nov 19, 2010 2:38am EST

* Eyes on China, possible rate hike partly priced in

* Gold to fall towards $1,310-technicals[ID:nSGE6AI03K]

* Coming up: Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks; 1015 GMT (Updates prices) )

Nov 19 (Reuters) - By Rujun Shen SINGAPORE, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Gold prices steadied on Friday, holding onto gains from the previous session, as a cure is seen imminent for Ireland's debt crisis, which helped boost the euro.

Ireland insisted on Thursday its low rate of corporation tax was "non-negotiable" as it discusses an aid package worth tens of billions of euros from European partners and the IMF for its shattered banks.[ID:nLDE6AH0HV]

Spot gold edged up 0.3 percent to $1,357.30 an ounce by 0711 GMT, on course for a weekly decline of 0.7 percent weekly decline. U.S. gold  futures were trading at $1,357.2. Investors are closely watching China's monetary policy manoeuvres, after talk of an imminent rate hike caused a sell-off in commodities this week. Another rate hike might increase downward pressure on commodities, but the impact is not likely to be profound as the anticipation has been building and partly priced in, analysts and traders said. "I think a rate hike, if materialized over the weekend, is likely to exert a bit of volatility for commodities, including precious metals," said Yingxi Yu, an analyst at Barclays Capital. "But fundamentally it doesn't change our views that China will continue to grow at a robust pace. It doesn't change our view that fundamental demand for commodities from China is not going to be severely affected by a rate hike." China's government has pledged to tame inflation, China's consumer inflation reading hit a 25-month peak in October. For a factbox on China's inflation, click: [ID:nTOE6AH02A] Spot gold is expected to drop towards $1,310 as the downtrend is still short of a wave "e" development, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst. For a graphic showing the 24-hour gold technical outlook, see chart: 

 



In comments prepared for delivery to a conference of the European Central Bank later in the day, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke made a full-throated defense against criticism that the U.S. central bank's controversial bond-buying program is debasing the dollar, saying a vigorous U.S. recovery is central to global economic health.[ID:nWALIME6SR] Physical buying has been strong in the region after prices dropped nearly seven percent from an all-time high of $1,424.10 hit on Nov 9 to a hair below $1,330 on Nov 16. "We saw buying interest below $1,350 in the region, as people are betting on a price rise to $1,500 next year," said a Hong Kong-based dealer. Spot silver gained 0.6 percent to $27.08, headed for a weekly rise of 4.2 percent. Spot platinum fell 0.4 percent to $1,654.74, down 1.4 percent on the week. Prominent commodities investor and hedge fund manager Dwight Anderson said on Thursday platinum output has possibly peaked as the precious metal gets harder to mine, and prices are likely to rise to record highs.[ID:nN1899807] But platinum has lagged behind other precious metals, posting a 13-percent year-to-date rise, compared to a 73-percent jump in palladium. Precious metals prices at 0711 GMT Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Turnover Spot Gold 1357.30 4.65 +0.34 23.88 Spot Silver 27.08 0.16 +0.59 60.90

 

 

 
 
bsiong
    19-Nov-2010 17:11  
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cheong ah.....  enjoy your wkend.....

19NovSilversilver 

 

gold  

 

 
 
 
bsiong
    19-Nov-2010 09:30  
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Gold extends gains as Ireland worries ebb

hu Nov 18, 2010 7:50pm EST

 

 SINGAPORE, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Gold strengthened on Friday, 	
extending gains from the previous session, as worries over 	
Ireland's debt woes diminished and helped the euro strengthen 
against the dollar.	
 	
 FUNDAMENTALS	
 * Spot gold gained half a percent to $1,359.65 an 	
ounce by 0027 GMT, building on gains from the previous session.	
 * U.S. gold futures also rose by half a percent, to 	
$1,359.5.	
 * Hopes that Ireland's debt crisis will be resolved soon 	
lifted the euro against other major currencies. 
 * Ireland insisted on Thursday its low rate of corporation 	
tax was "non-negotiable" as it discusses an aid package worth 	
tens of billions of euros from European partners and the IMF 
for its shattered banks. 	
 * Holdings in the world's largest physically-backed 	
exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust , said its holdings 	
dipped to a one-month low of 1,286.299 tonnes by Nov 18. 	
 
* Prominent commodities investor and hedge fund manager
Dwight Anderson said Thursday that platinum output has 
possibly peaked as the precious metal gets harder to mine, and 
prices are likely to rise to record highs. 	
 * Spot platinum edged up 0.2 percent to $1,665.74 an 	
ounce. The metal has gained 14 percent so far this year, 
lagging behind performance of other precious metals.
MARKET NEWS	
 * U.S. stocks jumped on Thursday on expectations of a 	
resolution of Ireland's banking crisis, but the S&P 500's 	
inability to break through resistance suggests stocks could be 
in a tight range through the end of the year. 
 DATA/EVENTS	
 1015  EZ      Fed Chairman Bernanke speech at ECB conference	
 1130  India   M3 Money Supply                   
 1430  U.S.    ECRI index                 Weekly 
PRICES	

Precious metals prices at 0027 GMT Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Turnover Spot Gold 1359.65 7.00 +0.52 24.09 Spot Silver 27.21 0.29 +1.08 61.68 Spot Platinum 1665.74 3.74 +0.23 13.55 Spot Palladium 697.50 3.78 +0.54 72.01 TOCOM Gold 3662.00 31.00 +0.85 12.37 27480 TOCOM Platinum 4523.00 52.00 +1.16 3.24 5711 TOCOM Silver 73.50 2.90 +4.11 42.17 1294 TOCOM Palladium 1876.00 64.00 +3.53 61.03 437
  	
Euro/Dollar       1.3654                                        	


Dollar/Yen 83.51  


 

// (Reporting by Rujun Shen; Editing by Ed Lane)
 

 
bsiong
    19-Nov-2010 08:26  
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US CLOSE

Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/18/2010By Peter LaTonaNovember 18, 2010


At 4PM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,354.50
  • Silver price - $26.99
  • Platinum price – $1,664.80
  • Palladium price -$696.80


 


COMMENTARY: Stocks and commodities climbed today, as Ireland finally concedes it must accept a bailout. The Euro strengthened, driving the US Dollar down and precious metals prices sharply up. Gold spot price was up $16.10 – Silver price up $1.44 – Platinum spot price up $23.90 – Palladium back to near $700 up $42.50 

 

 
 
 
bsiong
    18-Nov-2010 22:01  
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 US OPEN Report

Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/18/2010

By Peter LaTonaNovember 18, 2010


At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,356.60
  • Silver price - $26.61
  • Platinum price - $1,654.50
  • Palladium price - $686.30


 

COMMENTARY: Precious metal prices have risen sharply overnight, as the US dollar weakened.  The US Dollar weakened as a reaction to a strengthening Euro, as the Irish central bank is expecting tens of billions of Euros in loans from the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Gold spot price is up $18.20 – Silver price is up $1.03 – Platinum price is up $13.60 – Palladium spot price is up $29.40.

 

 
 
 
bsiong
    18-Nov-2010 14:24  
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SINGAPORE, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Gold rose nearly one percent 
on Thursday, buoyed by a pause in a dollar rally after soft 
U.S. inflation, while short-covering buying also helped.	
 U.S. core consumer inflation touched a record low in 
October 	
and new home building sagged, lending support to the Federal 	
Reserve's move to boost the sluggish economy through additional 	
monetary easing. 
 The dollar lost about 0.2 percent against a basket of 	
currencies, after rallying to seven-week highs. 
 "People expect the dollar to further deteriorate, which 
gives a strong incentive to buy into gold," said Ellison Chu, 
a senior manager at Standard Bank in Hong Kong, adding that 	
short-covering was seen around the current price level.	
 "They are building up another round of long positions."	
 Spot gold gained nearly one percent to $1,348.55 an 	
ounce by 0316 GMT, after falling for four consecutive sessions.	
 U.S. gold futures rose by 0.8 percent to $1,347.8.	
Spot gold is expected to fall to $1,317 per ounce
as a bear trend has established  and a wave "c' or wave "3" will 	
unfold, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst. 
 For a 24-hour gold technical outlook, see:	


 
Robust physical demand in the region has also lent support 


to prices, dealers said.
Precious metals prices at 0316 GMT	
 Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg Turnover	
 Spot Gold        1348.55   12.85   +0.96     23.08             
 Spot Silver        26.17    0.56   +2.19     55.50       


Euro/Dollar 1.3579
 Dollar/Yen         83.27     
 
 
bsiong
    18-Nov-2010 09:53  
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 World Gold Council



New Gold Demand Trends and updated Supply and Demand Statistics
GDT AND DEMAND STATISTICS FOR Q3 2010


We published the latest issue of Gold Demand Trends for Q3 2010 today, which suggests demand for gold for the rest of 2010 will be underpinned by the following market forces:

Outlook
  • Increasing demand by the world’s two largest markets, India and China, as rising income levels, high savings rates and strong economic growth continue to push up consumption.
  • Gold jewellery demand is likely to exceed that of 2009 due to an anticipated recovery in India, the most significant gold jewellery market, and continuing strength in China. While jewellery demand may face challenges ahead, the latest figures show that demand in key markets has shown resilience in the face of higher prices levels.
  • Concern over fiscal imbalances and currency tensions will continue to support investment demand for gold. Aside from the recent additional US$600 billion of quantitative easing by the US, the weakening of the US dollar and associated fears of inflation, demand is also likely to be driven by higher gold price expectations, as well as increasing availability and accessibility of gold investment products to retail investors.
  • Industrial demand, which has returned to long-term levels, is expected to remain firm on the back of renewed growth in the electronics industry, due to the majority of semi-conductors being wired by gold.

Key demand statistics:

  • Total gold demand was 922 tonnes, an increase of 12% from Q3 2009. In US$ value terms, demand grew 43% to US$36.4 billion over the same period.
  • Demand for gold jewellery increased by 8% from Q3 2009, with four of the best performing markets - India, China, Russia and Turkey - accounting for 63% of global demand. In value terms, global demand for the 12 month period ending September 2010 hit a record US$137.5 billion.
  • Retail investment rose 25% from Q3 2009 to 243 tonnes. The largest contribution to total demand growth came from bar hoarding, which increased 44% from the previous year. The total value of net retail investments during the quarter was a record $9.6 billion, representing a 60% increase from Q3 2009.
  • Total gold ETF demand fell by 7% from Q3 2009 to 39 tonnes. Following a remarkable surge in the previous quarter, which was supported by heightened sovereign risk and currency worries, this quieter period for ETFs reflects consolidation in the market, as it contemplated the prospect of QE2.
  • Industrial demand has recovered back to pre-crisis levels of 110 tonnes, reflecting an increase of 13% from Q3 2009. This recovery was driven by improving demand for consumer electronics goods globally, in particular from emerging markets such as China and India, as well as an increased range of new technology products with gold components. 


  •  

     
 
 
bsiong
    18-Nov-2010 09:44  
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Gold up as dollar weakens on U.S. inflation data



Wed Nov 17, 2010 7:59pm EST


 
 SINGAPORE, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Spot gold gained by nearly 
half a percent on Thursday, after falling for four consecutive 	
session, as tame U.S. inflation data pushed the dollar off its 	
rally, supporting bullion.	
 	
 FUNDAMENTALS    	
 * Spot gold rose by half a percent to $1,342.75 an 	
ounce by 0035 GMT.	
 * U.S. gold futures gained 0.4 percent to $1,342.	
 * The rally that drove the dollar to seven-week highs 
fizzled early in Asia on Thursday after subdued U.S. inflation 
data bolstered the Federal Reserve's case for pumping more stimulus into the economy. 
 * U.S. core consumer inflation touched a record low in 	
October and new home building sagged, lending support to the 	
Federal Reserve's move to boost the sluggish economy through 	
additional monetary easing.       	
 * Ireland agreed on Wednesday to work with a European 	
Union-IMF mission on urgent steps to shore up its shattered 	
banking sector, a process that could lead to a bailout despite 	
Dublin's deep reluctance. 	
 * Silver is likely to rise above $30 an ounce and average 
$28 in 2011, lifted by strong investment buying and recovering 	
fabrication demand, precious metals research and consulting 
firm GFMS said on Wednesday.
* Spot silver climbed nearly one percent to $25.86
an 	
ounce.	
 MARKET NEWS    	
 * Investors were unable to recoup recent losses in the 
market on Wednesday, suggesting the struggles recently 
experienced by stocks are far from over. 
  RELATED NEWS    	

> EU/IMF team heads to Ireland to explore steps > Wall Street ends flat, late selloff in banks
> US inflation subdued, housing starts tumble
> Federal Reserve officials see need for full QE2   
 	
> US mortgage applications hit 4-month low - MBA    
 	
> EU denies delaying aid payment to Greece          
 	
> Oil drops to 4-week low on China rate worries     
 	
> ECB's Mersch-Euro will survive, warns on low 
rates 	
> BoE split 3 ways in Nov, majority still on fence  
 	
> China vows to tame inflation, price controls eyed 
 	
> UK claimant count falls unexpectedly in Oct       
 	
> NZ economic recovery to pick up pace in '11 
> GM IPO raises $20.1 bln, biggest US IPO ever

PRICES
Precious metals prices at 0035 GMT Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Turnover Spot Gold 1342.75 7.05 +0.53 22.55 Spot Silver 25.86 0.25 +0.98 53.65 Spot Platinum 1639.24 5.75 +0.35 11.74 Spot Palladium 664.47 4.22 +0.64 63.86 TOCOM Gold 3603.00 -1.00 -0.03 10.56 20153 TOCOM Platinum 4434.00 5.00 +0.11 1.21 5113 TOCOM Silver 69.40 0.90 +1.31 34.24 839 TOCOM Palladium 1784.00 70.00 +4.08 53.13 590 Euro/Dollar 1.3551


 
 

 
bsiong
    18-Nov-2010 09:37  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/17/2010

by Peter LaTona November 17, 2010


At 4PM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,336.80
  • Silver price - $25.68
  • Platinum price - $1,639.80
  • Palladium price - $664.30


 

COMMENTARY: European leaders are crafting a plan to possibly bailout Ireland. It has been reported that this aid package could total as much as $135 Billion dollars. In 2009, Ireland’s total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was approximately $227.8 Billion, so this bailout would equal 59.26% of Ireland’s total GDP. A bailout of Ireland would also place considerable pressure on Portugal, as that nation needs to issue bonds during the first quarter of 2011. The current EU debt crisis, which already claimed the Greek economy six months ago, is now threatening Ireland and Portugal as well. These events are driving the Euro down, which make the US Dollar look stronger, although it has not actually done anything. The higher US Dollar will depress precious metals prices, but for how long? The same economic uncertainties that drove people to the safety of gold are still in play. We advice keeping a close eye on Europe.

The markets were not active today. Gold spot price was down $3.10, while Silver spot price was up 39 cents. Platinum price was down $5.90, while Palladium price was up $16.40. 
 
 
bsiong
    17-Nov-2010 22:31  
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(From dailyFX) 

17 November 2010 06:51 GMT 

Gold Loses Nearly $100 since Last Week

 

Gold - $1336.70 // $3.00 // 0.22%

 

Commentary: Gold continued to correct on Tuesday, shedding $20.90, or 1.54%, to settle at $1339.70. Prices got as low as $1329.70, which is a full $95 below the all-time high set last week at $1424.60. Given the highly speculative nature of gold’s advance, it isn’t surprising to see this trade unwind so quickly. Moreover, as we’ve been pointing out, the rise in gold prices has not been supported by a corresponding rise in gold ETF holdings.

 

The specific driver of gold price action on Tuesday was a general retrenchment of risk appetite across financial markets, as well as an across the board advance in the U.S. Dollar. The task now is determining where this correction ends and if any buying opportunities emerge. Because gold remains extremely elevated, it will be awhile before we are comfortable accumulating the metal even for a trade. At this point, it may be wise to turn to technical indicators for guidance.

 

Technical Outlook: Prices have breached rising trend line support set from late July. Sellers now target $1322.39, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement for the 7/28-11/9 advance. The broken trend line, now at $1356.46, has been recast as near-term resistance.

 

Silver - $25.37 // $0.11 // 0.42%

 

Commentary: Despite the steep drop in gold prices, silver managed to finish essentially unchanged on Tuesday. Prices did test lower levels near $25 in early trade, but settled at $25.48. Given that silver has fallen so precipitously in recent sessions, this pause is not surprising, but if gold continues to decline, expect silver to tag along.

 

The gold/silver ratio fell slightly to 52.7, but remains higher than levels earlier this month near 50. (The gold/silver ratio measures the relative performance of the two precious metals. A higher ratio indicates gold outperformance while a lower ratio indicates silver outperformance).

 

Technical Outlook: Prices have stalled above support at $25.33, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 10/22-11/09 upswing, with a Doji candlestick hinting a corrective upswing may be in the cards. Near-term resistance lines up at $26.10, the 50% Fib, while renewed selling targets the 76.4% level at $24.37.

 Crude_Oil_Slammed_Amid_Continued_Risk_Aversion_Gold_Loses_Nearly_100_Since_Last_Week_body_11172010_GLD.png, Crude Oil Slammed Amid Continued Risk Aversion, Gold Loses Nearly $100 since Last Week

 

 
 
bsiong
    17-Nov-2010 22:19  
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US Open 

Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/17/2010

By Peter LaTonaNovember 17, 2010


At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,340.40
  • Silver price - $25.60
  • Platinum price - $1,638.70
  • Palladium price - $653.10


 

COMMENTARY: There has been a slight rebound from yesterday’s losses, but there could be continued selling pressure today.  Germany’s reluctance to jump right into another bail out, without forming new bail out rules, brings more fear and uncertainty into the market. Fear and uncertainty drive the Euro dollar down and by default the US Dollar up. This gives temporary relief to the concerns that the Fed QE2 would drive the US Dollar down. Most analysts say it still will, but not until the European situation stabilizes the value of the Euro. Markets will tend down as the dollar goes up.


Gold spot price is up 70 cents – Silver price up 31 cents – Platinum spot price is off $7.00 – Palladium price up $5.30

//

 
 
 
bsiong
    17-Nov-2010 14:14  
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Gold lower on strong dollar, Ireland woes

 * Platinum falls to 7-week low, palladium 2-week low
 * Gold soft, but longer-term bullish trend intact
 * Coming up: U.S. CPI, October; 1330 GMT

                
By Rujun Shen

                
 SINGAPORE, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Gold edged lower on
Wednesday, as mounting fears over Ireland's fiscal health
sparked a strong rally in the dollar, pressuring bullion, while
worries about China tightening monetary policy weighed on
sentiment.
 Euro zone finance ministers agreed on Tuesday to lay the
groundwork for bailing out Ireland's banking sector with the
IMF, but said Dublin had to decide itself whether to request
the aid. 
 The dollar hit seven-week highs against the euro as a
result. 
 "In the short term, the Ireland crisis may weigh on gold
because it is boosting the dollar," said Hou Xinqiang, an
analyst at Jinrui Futures in China. "But if going forward it
spilled over to other nations and caused concerns on the health
of the entire euro zone economy, that would help support gold."
 Spot gold XAU= fell 0.2 percent to $1,337.41 an ounce by
0320 GMT, extending a two percent fall in the previous session.

                      
U.S. gold futures GCZ0 remained little changed at
$1,337.8.
 Gold may head down further to $1,330, or even lower after
it broke below a key support level around $1,350, analysts and
traders said.
 "It (Ireland) is probably an excuse to offload the heavy
long positions that have been built in the past couple of
months," said a Hong Kong-based trader.
 But uncertainties in the global economic recovery and
worries over inflation down the road will continue to attract
investors to gold.
 "Short-term looks a bit soft, but it still hasn't derailed
the medium- and long-term bullish sentiment. Since the market
is heavily one-sided, it won't be a surprise to see continuous
long liquidation and some profit-taking," the trader said.
 The Relative Strength Index on spot gold, used to measure
trade interest, fell to 45.029, its lowest since early August.
In early October, the RSI hit an 11-year high of 86.246,
suggesting the market was well overbought.

                      
 CHINA TIGHTENING FEAR

                      
 Speculation is mounting that China may step up policy
tightening to curb inflation, after October's reading hit a
25-month high.
 "The market has shifted from anticipation on inflation to

                            
expectations on measures to fight inflation," the analyst at
Jinrui Futures said. "That's why we have seen a broad sell-off
in commodities."
 Amid talks of an imminent interest rate hike and the
government's pledge to control food price rise, a number of
commodities traded on China's exchanges, including soybean,
soyoil, copper and zinc, fell by their daily limit.

                            
 The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index .SSEC opened down
1.5 percent on tightening fears, after it slumped to a
one-month low in the previous session. 

                            
 Spot platinum XPT= fell to a seven-week low of $1,624,
before recovering to $1,629.24.
 Spot palladium XPD= declined to a two-week low of $630.22.
 Platinum group metals are set to continue to thrive in 2011
as a tightening of the metals' underlying fundamentals keeps
sentiment upbeat, metals refiner Johnson Matthey said in a
report. 
  Precious metals prices at 0320 GMT
 Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg
Turnover
 Spot Gold        1337.41   -2.39   -0.18     22.06
 Spot Silver        25.40   -0.07   -0.27     50.92
 Spot Platinum    1629.24   -9.26   -0.57     11.06
 Spot Palladium    633.72   -5.75   -0.90     56.28

                                  
Euro/Dollar       1.3512
 Dollar/Yen         83.32

                                  
//
 
 
bsiong
    17-Nov-2010 09:01  
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Chart Update Nov17 0900hr

chart.png gold nov 17 morning picture by styronet

 
 
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