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bsiong
    01-Jan-2011 02:37  
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Gold racks up strongest annual gain in 3 yrs



 Fri Dec 31, 2010 8:46am EST

 

 * Gold's rally likely to extend into the new year
 * Gold's target modified to $1,421-technicals
 * Coming up: U.S. ECRI Weekly index; 1530 GMT
 LONDON, Dec 31 (Reuters) - Gold rose on Friday, notching up
its strongest annual performance since 2007 and marking a fifth
straight month of gains in December, driven by a weaker dollar
and global economic uncertainty.
 The precious metals complex has had a stellar run this year,
led by palladium's 95 percent rise, in a broad commodities rally
which has pushed up the 19-commodity Reuters-Jefferies CRB index
.CRB up 15 percent. 
 Spot gold XAU= rose 0.6 percent to $1,411.86 an ounce by
1305 GMT, on course for a 29 percent annual gain and a fifth
straight month of gains, the longest stretch of monthly
increases since late 2001. U.S. gold GCG1 climbed 0.5 percent
to $1,412.50 an ounce.
 The dollar fell 0.4 percent against a basket of currencies
.DXY, having fallen by 12 percent against the yen and by more
than 9 percent versus the Swiss franc this year. [USD/]
 "The gold price remains well supported by a weaker dollar
and solid investment demand," said Anne-Laure Tremblay, precious metals strategist at BNP Paribas.
 "We expect the gold price rally to continue into 2011 on the
back of strong fundamentals, including inflationary pressures
(notably in China), ample liquidity and concerns about the value
of the dollar," she added.
 Traders and analysts expect gold to break above $1,500 in
2011, particularly if the dollar extends its decline, the U.S.
economy remains unable to generate enough jobs to lower
unemployment and Europe's debt crisis is not diffused.
 "It is still a positive picture for metals next year. There
is sufficient demand from investment perspective to maintain a
relatively bullish trend, in gold in particular," said Darren Heathcote, head of trading at Investec Australia in Sydney. 
 Tempering some of the enthusiasm, holdings in the SPDR Gold
Trust (GLD), the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded
fund, fell to 1,280.722 tonnes by Dec 30, its lowest since early
June. [GOL/SPDR]
 Spot palladium XPD= rose 0.6 percent to $790.28 an ounce,
after rising to a nine-year high of $795.47 on Thursday.
 Spot silver XAG= was the second-best performer in precious
metals, up 82 percent on the year. It was trading up 0.6 percent
at $30.62, retreating from a 30-year peak of $30.88 hit on
Thursday.
(Additional reporting by Rujun Shen in Singapore; editing by Keiron Henderson) 


 
 
 
Gaecia
    31-Dec-2010 18:54  
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har, is it? So good....silver standards i like.  Smiley 53
 
 
bsiong
    31-Dec-2010 18:49  
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Silver to pilot bullish commodity rally in 2011

December 31, 2010 at 14:55

NEW YORK (Commodity Online): As 2010 ends to a close, it is brightness in the commodities trading space globally. Throughout the year, all commodities—ranging from base metals, precious metals and agricultural produces—are all up in value, cheering commodity stocks and heralding bullish run for commodities in 2011.

Gold, silver and copper have led the metals commodities price boom in 2010. Though gold has been the trendsetter in this bullish run, silver has emerged as the darling among commodities among traders. And if traders and commodities analysts are to be believed, silver is all set to pilot the bullish commodity rally in 2011. 

According to an year-end survey by global financial news service Bloomberg, silver is all set to lead gains in commodities in 2011. The agency carried out a survey among more than 100 commodities traders and investors and singled out silver as the hottest commodity that can lead the commodity super cycle in the new year.

This week, as the year comes to a close, silver surged to a fresh 30-year high in New York trading.

Throughout 2010, silver has been climbing higher, with support from both the precious and industrial metals industry. The main advantage silver enjoys is that it is simply less expensive alternative to gold. 

March Comex silver futures are trading at new 30-year highs, recently changing hands at $30.755 per ounce, up .066. Overall bullish sentiment remains strong for silver. 

Silver analysts Kevin Danny says that silver will lead the commodities boom in 2011. “Silver is going to shine in the new year as investors are bullish on putting their money into the commodity. If you look at commodities in 2010, silver has been a sterling performer. So, in 2011, silver will pilot the commodity super cycle,” Danny said. 

While technical trend remains bullish for silver, a look at the monthly chart reveals four months of massive gains. Trading analysts like Danny points out that silver is eyeing the 1980 nominal high at $50 an ounce as a longer term price objective. 

While gold has grabbed headlines this year with its rally to record highs around $1,400 an ounce, silver has quietly outpaced those gains, and is likely to repeat its success in 2011, reaching $40 an ounce on new applications and industry demand. 

An extremely bright future for silver jewellery is one of several reasons to be extremely bullish about silver. To put the jewellery market into context, total jewellery demand was a little over 2,600 tonnes in 2008 (using numbers supplied by the World Gold Council and The Silver Institute). 

Of this total consumption, gold jewellery comprised over 80%. Put another way, silver jewellery represented less than a fifth of total demand. The demand for gold jewellery has fallen in the last couple of years — as a response to gold rising to a new, (nominal) record-price of over $1000 an ounce (oz). 

Rather as a jwellery, silver also possesses many extremely useful chemical/ metallurgical properties which have resulted in the massive consumption of silver in a variety of industrial applications. Investment will therefore have a major part to play in keeping prices at elevated levels. 


Also the world’s supply of silver is being rapidly “consumed”. The evaporation of stockpiles has occurred because the vast majority of silver used “industrially” is in products where silver is used in tiny quantities. Because of this, it is impractical to recover/ recycle this silver, meaning it is effectively gone forever.

 



//

 

 
 

 
bsiong
    31-Dec-2010 17:24  
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Gold to complete a decade at top in annual finish


Published on: December 31 2010 09:30 GMT

 SINGAPORE (Commodity Online) : Gold is heading for yet another annual gain on the last day of 2010 while silver, platinum and palladium headed for second yearly advances. 

The precious metal rose 28 percent this year on enormous government spending to bolster economies. Bullion has also reached all-time highs in British pounds, euros, Swiss francs and yen this year. 

Gold for immediate delivery was seen trading at $1407.61 an ounce at 2.00 p.m Singapore time while Futures for February delivery gained 0.2 percent to $1,409.30 an ounce on the Comex in New York. 

Silver gained as much as 1 percent to $30.7450 an ounce, after reaching a 30-year high of $30.9075 an ounce yesterday. The metal has surged 82 percent this year. 

Analysts said the bullion look well to end 2010 in the strongest finish in years as the dollar remained weak and also on a firm outlook for precious metals next year.

The dollar held steady against a basket of currencies. It is about 12 percent lower against the yen and 10 percent down versus the Swiss franc this year. 

On Thursday, gold for February delivery fell $7.60 to settle at $1,405.90 an ounce. Silver contracts for March delivery lost 19.1 cents to $30.513 an ounce. 


 //

 
 
 
bsiong
    31-Dec-2010 17:08  
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* Gold's rally likely to extends into the new year
 * Gold's target modified to $1,421-technicals
 * Coming up: U.S. ECRI Weekly index; 1530 GMT

  By Rujun Shen	
 SINGAPORE, Dec 31 (Reuters) - Gold firmed on the last 
trading day of the year, gearing towards its strongest annual 
gain in three years, supported by a languishing dollar and a 
firm outlook for precious metals into 2011. 	
 The precious metals complex has had a stellar run this 
year, led by palladium's 95 percent rise, in a broad 
commodities rally which has pushed up the 19-commodity 
Reuters-Jefferies CRB index up 15 percent.    	
 Spot gold gained 0.4 percent to $1,409.20 an ounce 
by 0715 GMT, on course for a 29 percent annual gain and a 
fifth straight month of gains. U.S. gold climbed up 0.3 
percent to $1,410.2 an ounce.	
 The dollar fell 0.4 percent against a basket of currencies 
 . It is about 12 percent lower against the yen and more 
than 9 percent down versus the Swiss franc this year. 
 "It is still a positive picture for metals next year. 
There is sufficient demand from investment perspective to 
maintain a relatively bullish trend, in gold in particular," 
said Darren Heathcote, head of trading at Investec Australia 
in Sydney.	
 Traders and analysts expect gold to break above $1,500 in 
2011.	
 A bullish target for spot gold is modified to 
$1,421 from the previous $1,430-$1,440 range based on its wave 
pattern and a Fibonacci retracement analysis, said Reuters 
market analyst Wang Tao. 	
 For a 24-hour gold technical outlook:  


In a sign that breathes caution into the euphoria, the 
holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest 
gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell to 1,280.722 tonnes by 
Dec 30, its lowest since early June. 
 "As an asset class, metals has had an extraordinary year. 
If I were a money manager, I probably wouldn't be massively 
overweight on metals going into the new year," a 
Singapore-based trader said.	
 "The story is still relatively bullish on metals, but they 
ain't cheap. Gold's not cheap."	
 Spot palladium gained 0.3 percent to $788.68 an 
ounce, after rising to a nine-year high of $795.47 on Thursday.	
 Spot silver was the second best performer in 
precious metals, up 82 percent on the year. It was trading at 
$30.70, retreating from a 30-year peak of $30.88 hit in the 
previous session.	
 	
   Precious metals prices at 0715 GMT                         
  Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg         
  Spot Gold        1409.20    5.21   +0.37     28.61             
  Spot Silver        30.70    0.26   +0.85     82.41             
  Spot Platinum    1748.99    5.50   +0.32     19.22             
  Spot Palladium    788.68    2.71   +0.34     94.50             


 

/HAPPY & PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR TO ALL READERS///

 
 
 
bsiong
    31-Dec-2010 09:08  
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Gold steady, aided by weak dollar, firm outlook

SINGAPORE, Dec 31 (Reuters) - Spot gold held steady on 
Friday, on course for a 28 percent annual rise and its 
strongest in three years, as it was supported by the weakness 
in the dollar, while investors were expecting a further price 
rally next year.	
 	
 FUNDAMENTALS	
 * Spot gold edged up 0.2 percent to $1,406.15 an 
ounce by 0033 GMT.	
 * U.S. gold futures were little changed at $1,406.9.	
 * Upbeat U.S. data on the jobs market and manufacturing 
sector on Thursday buttressed the view the economy gained 
momentum as the year ended, setting the stage for a stronger 
performance in 2011. 	
 * Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust , the world's 
largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell to 1,280.722 
tonnes by Dec 30, its lowest since early June. 
 * Gold is likely to reach $1,500 an ounce, if not beyond, 
in the next year, traders and analysts said.	
 * Spot silver gained 0.4 percent to $30.56, after
hitting a 30-year high of $30.88 in the previous session.


 
 

 
bsiong
    31-Dec-2010 09:04  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/30/2010

By Peter LaTonaDecember 30, 2010


At 4PM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,405.00
  • Silver price - $30.46
  • Platinum price - $1,749.00
  • Palladium price - $788.00


COMMENTARY: Stocks are down modestly for the day. Precious metal prices diminished with stock prices, probably due to brokerage sell-off and the surprisingly good economic news.  However, Frank McGee of Integrated Brokerage Services says, “The economy is still on life support” and if the Fed had not taken any action, “we would still be down on recession.” Going into 2011, it is not surprising that you hear opinions on all sides of the fence. The economy will be great! The economy will be not so great! Gold will gold up! Gold will go down! Next Monday, we will begin to see who is correct. Happy New Year!

Gold spot price is down $9.00 – Silver price is down 25 cents – Platinum is down $6.20 – Palladium is down $6.40

 

 
 
 
bsiong
    30-Dec-2010 23:47  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/30/2010

By Peter LaTonaDecember 30, 2010


At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,409.30
  • Silver price - $30.64
  • Platinum price -$1,754.80
  • Palladium price - $800.00


 

COMMENTARY: Silver futures were at a 30 year high in early New York trading. Gold appears to be consolidating and awaiting the next news cycle. Palladium just hit $800! The weekly job claims came out at a 29 month low.  Although the holiday season is difficult to use as a barometer, it is still good news to hear. Housing is going to be a big issue next year with many analysts predicting that housing prices will go down.

Gold spot price is down $3.70 – Silver price is down 6 cents – Platinum spot price is down 82 cents – Palladium price is up $4.90

 

//

 
 
 
bsiong
    30-Dec-2010 15:49  
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Silver hits 30-year peak on weak dollar, strong metals

SINGAPORE, Dec 30 (Reuters) - Spot silver hit a 30-year 
peak on Thursday, buoyed by a weak dollar and strength in base 
metals, while gold held steady below a three-week high hit in 
the previous session supported by good physical demand.	
 The dollar weakened broadly, as traders took falls in U.S. 
bond yields as a cue to sell the greenback. 
 Spot silver hit a 30-year high of $30.72 an ounce, 
before easing slightly to $30.68 by 0340 GMT. U.S. silver 
futures hit $30.79 an ounce, and was trading at $30.71.	
 The strength in base metals, led by copper, helped buoy 
silver and platinum group metals, traders said.	
 Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange 
rallied to a record high of $9,469 a tonne. 
 "Copper prices have been very firm, supporting silver as 
well as palladium," said a Hong Kong-based dealer, adding that 
short-covering in silver also helped push prices higher.	
 He expected silver to trade in the range of $30 to $35 in 
2011, with $40 as a potential target.	
 "But it will depend on performance of gold and other 
metals."	
 Technical analysis showed that spot silver might be due 
for a deep correction as the rise was seen exhausted, 
according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.	
 "A rising wedge is contracting to a point on the daily 
chart, with a peak likely to form around $32 per ounce, and 
the RSI indicator shows multiple bearish divergence, which 
signals a bearish reversal soon," said Wang.	
 "A break below a pivotal support at $29 would trigger a 
deep correction to $25."	
 Spot palladium held below a nine-year high of 
$793.50, trading at $788.49.	
 Gold prices were still well supported, after breaking 
above the key $1,400 threshold earlier this week, helped by 
strong physical demand in Asia.	
 Spot gold reached $1,413.75, just below a 
three-week high of $1,413.95 reached on Wednesday, before 
inching down to $1,412.74 an ounce.	
 U.S. gold futures were nearly flat at $1,413.3.	
 In the second-last trading day of the year, investors will 
keep their eye on the weekly initial jobless claims data from 
the United States, to gauge the health of the world's largest 
economy.	
 "If the initial claims data comes positive, it could 
prompt some profit-taking in gold," said Ong Yi Ling, an 
analyst at Phillip Futures. 	
 Premium on gold bars in Hong Kong remained at about $1 
above London prices, dealers said.	
 "But you can only find one or two tonnes here and there, 
not large quantities. Both India and China are still very good 
buyers," said the Hong Kong-based dealer.	
 	
 Precious metals prices at 0340 GMT                                 
  Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg  Turnover     
  Spot Gold        1412.74    1.75   +0.12     28.93                   
  Spot Silver        30.68    0.13   +0.43     82.29                   
  Spot Platinum    1761.00    4.51   +0.26     20.04                   
  Spot Palladium    788.49   -1.98   -0.25     94.45                   
 
  Euro/Dollar       1.3229                                             
  Dollar/Yen         81.45                                             
            
	
 (Editing by Himani Sarkar)	 


 
 
 
bsiong
    30-Dec-2010 13:21  
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Gold gains favour with European investors on debt crisis

Published on: December 29, 2010 at 23:10

LONDON, ENGLAND (Commodity Online): Gold is gaining ground among investors in Europe amid continuing concerns over the final toll of sovereign debt defaults or rescue packages aimed at forestalling crises over country debts. 

Gold began gaining ground after the debt crisis in Greece early in 2010 and has continued drawing investors amid worries over other EU member countries, including Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain. 

Gold prices began showing occasional surges in Europe in a general flight from risk in response to perceived and recorded weaknesses of the euro against the U.S. dollar, analysts said. Added to these were weightier concerns over the European countries' sovereign debt. 

While in November investors sought protection against the crisis in Ireland this month they took shelter in gold in response to continuing uncertainty of developments in Portugal and Spain, analysts said. Hopes that EU authorities could provide a firewall between the crisis-ridden nations and other EU members weren't fulfilled by political and economic developments. 

Gold was also buoyed by escalating tensions on the Korean Peninsula and spot gold in London traded in brackets of $1,375-$1,425 per ounce or more. Analysts said volatile currencies and low interest rates would likely boost the upside potential for gold in 2011. Gold's sharp rise is delivering hefty profits to some of the world's largest hedge fund managers, the Financial Times reported. It cited hedge fund managers that had invested heavily in gold as a way of betting that central banks would fail to preserve the value of paper currencies. 

Investors cited in the media said the current slight decline in gold prices would be temporary as the metal was likely to bounce back and go beyond $1,400 an ounce in the new year, with a stronger upward trend likely to occur in Europe.While the euro has gone down by more than 8 percent in the year to November 2010 the price of gold per ounce has gone up by more than 25 percent during the period, trade figures showed. 

Some forecasts suggest the global uncertainties may push gold beyond the $1,400 an ounce threshold to highs of $1,600 an ounce in the new year. The same uncertainties, however, are likely to push palladium and platinum to levels higher than gold.Both palladium and platinum are used in catalytic converters and are highly prized by the industry, particularly automobile industry. The widespread use of palladium and platinum in a vast range of industries and its short supplies worldwide already has drawn gold investors into the platinum group of metals, which includes rhodium, ruthenium, iridium and osmium. 

The gold market data showed the trends in the movement of gold prices directly impacted on the prices of the platinum group of metals. A key recent change was a gradual de-linking of price trends in gold and platinum and other commodities -- including oil and natural gas. This showed that gold increasingly was adopted by investors as a shelter against risk.


Added to shifts in European investing trend in favor of gold was a continuing upsurge in both public and private gold buying in China and a steady demand in South Asia. The increased European interest in gold was having a knock-on effect on other regional gold markets, analysts said. (iWireNews ™ and OfficialWire)


 

/for your reading pleasure/////

 

 
 

 
bsiong
    30-Dec-2010 10:29  
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Gold near 3-wk high; silver rises towards 30-year peak

SINGAPORE, Dec 30 (Reuters) - Spot gold hovered near its 
three-week high and silver geared towards a 30-year peak on 
Thursday, buoyed by a slightly weaker dollar, while investors 
continued to bet on further price rally in precious metals.	
 	
 FUNDAMENTALS	
 * Spot gold edged up 0.2 percent to $1,413.58 an 
ounce by 0033 GMT, near a three-week high of $1,413.95 reached 
on Wednesday.	
 * U.S. gold futures were nearly flat at $1,413.5.	
 * The dollar edged lower against a basket of currencies, 
after declining to a seven-week low against the yen and 
dropping versus the euro on Wednesday. 
 * Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest 
gold-backed exchange-traded fund, remained unchanged at 
1,284.062 tonnes. 
 * Spot silver edged up 0.2 percent to $30.62 an 
ounce, just below the 30-year high of $30.68 hit on Dec 7.	


* U.S. silver futures inched down 0.2 percent to $30.65 an ounce.

 

 
 
bsiong
    30-Dec-2010 10:26  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/29/2010

By Peter LaTonaDecember 29, 2010


At 4 PM (CT) the APMEX precious metals prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,412.50
  • Silver price - $30.63
  • Platinum price - $1,760.60
  • Palladium price - $795.10


 

COMMENTARY: The news that central banks in emerging markets are getting themselves ahead of the inflation curve sparked a nice rally for stocks, which was also aided by a stronger than expected sale of US Treasury Bonds. However, even though stocks rallied, the US dollar’s value remained on the low side and potentially could be cut in half, according to Peter Schiff, the president of Euro Pacific Capital.

These factors helped support today’s gains in precious metals. Gold hit a three week high and silver was up as well.

Gold spot price was up $6.40 on the day - Silver price was up 30 cents – Platinum spot price was up $7.90 – Palladium price was up $7.00 

 

 

 
 
 
bsiong
    29-Dec-2010 22:34  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/29/2010

By Peter LaTonaDecember 29, 2010


At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,406.30
  • Silver price - $30.47
  • Platinum price - $1,749.50
  • Palladium price - $789.30


 

COMMENTARY: Gold is holding steady above $1400 as recent US data showed a decline in consumer confidence and housing.  Palladium is hitting nine-year highs on expectations of high demand in 2011 and lower supply coming out of Russia. Silver went above $30 and is still climbing in early morning trades. The Us Dollar has steadied this morning vs the euro, but it is falling vs the Aussie and yen.

Gold spot price is up 20 cents – Silver price is up 14 cents – Platinum spot price is down $3.20 – Palladium spot is up $1.10

 

 
 
 
bsiong
    29-Dec-2010 09:06  
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gold 101229    silver 101229

 
 
 
bsiong
    29-Dec-2010 09:01  
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SINGAPORE, Dec 29 (Reuters) - Spot gold held steady on Wednesday after advancing above $1,400 in the previous session, following the latest data from the U.S. that painted a less upbeat picture, but strong demand is expected to continue to support prices.
 

 
bsiong
    29-Dec-2010 08:59  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/28/2010


December 28, 2010


At 4PM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,407.20
  • Silver price - $30.32
  • Platinum price - $1,756.40
  • Palladium price - $789.00


COMMENTARY:  Precious metals prices are holding on to their gains from earlier in the day, with gold still above $1,400 and silver above $30. Marketwatch has a short summary of how metals hold a negative correlation to moves in the US Dollar. In related news, consumer confidence “deteriorated” in December, and the US housing market dropped more than expected in October, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index. These are two factors of the value of the Dollar going down, which is driving metals prices up.

Gold spot price was up $23.80 – Silver spot price was up $1.05 – Platinum spot price was up $19.90 – Palladium spot price was up $20.90

Silver and Palladium had huge gains (3.5% and 2.7%, respectively) today. 2011 Austrian Silver Philharmonics (also part of our IRS sale) or Pamp Suisse Palladium Bars are great items to start or add to your portfolio.

 

 

 

 
 
 
tea444u
    28-Dec-2010 22:53  
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perhaps end of 2011 at least 1600? my bracelet now feels heavier leh.

tea444u      ( Date: 24-Dec-2010 18:46) Posted:

i bought some gold bracelets two weeks back.

 
 
bsiong
    28-Dec-2010 22:50  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/28/2010

By Peter LaTonaDecember 28, 2010


At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
  • Gold price - $1,403.70
  • Silver price - $29.86
  • Platinum price - $1,753.50
  • Palladium price - $778.40


 

COMMENTARY: Precious metal prices are rising sharply this morning. Gold price has once again broken $1400 and is up $20.20. Silver spot price is set to challenge $30 as it is up 59 cents. Platinum and palladium continue their winning streak, as Platinum spot price is up $17.00 and Palladium price is up $10.30

Gold is up on a weaker US Dollar, as well as increased buying coming out of Asia. So why is the US Dollar declining rapidly today? Today’s Case-Shiller report indicates that home prices are falling faster in the larger cities. Not only are prices dropping,but they are expected to continue dropping throughout the year.Housing could be just part of the concern. Every bit as much a factor is the looming US trade deficit and the larger Federal deficit. We should remember that a falling US Dollar could hit many Asian countries very hard, as they hold a huge portion of their foreign currency reserves in US Dollars.

 

 
 
 
bsiong
    28-Dec-2010 22:48  
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gold cheong again above 1400--

 20101228



 
 
 
bsiong
    28-Dec-2010 22:32  
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Future bright for gold in 2011

December 28, 2010 at 15:30
LONDON (Commodity Online): Even as the New Year is set to dawn, investors are waiting to know which way the gold market will move as they are worried about the inflation and US’s policies to tackle economic slowdown.

According to analysts, inflation, currencies and interest rates in the world’s largest economies will have a huge impact on the bullion markets in 2011. 

Gold prices generally rise during times of actual or projected inflation because of gold’s traditional status as a safe haven asset. 

Gold buyers seeking an asset which reacts favorable to inflation or currency devaluation often move from the falling currency into gold. Currently, the Federal Reserve is more concerned with deflation than inflation and has shown little reluctance to flood the US economy with more dollars. In contrast, countries like China and India are seeing relatively strong economic growth and, with it, higher inflation. China’s prices are 5.1% higher than a year ago, while India is projecting inflation will be 5.5% by March 2011.

While more inflation can be favorable initially for gold prices, the countervailing economic policy of raising key interest rates to temper inflation can sometimes make interest bearing instruments more appealing to investors at the expense of gold. But, so far, rates have not been raised to levels high enough to impact gold prices, or in China’s case, they’re not been raised at all.

Historically January and February are good months for gold; in past years, buyers have bought back gold positions that they shed heading into the New Year.

Continuing inflation concerns could help support gold prices in 2011. The Reserve Bank of India said inflation is not slowing as quickly as it wants. The two pillars of gold are, in any country’s currency, are negative real interest rates and deficit spending. 


 

 

 
 
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