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BakerTech W121116   

BAKER TECH * YANGZiJIANG 15% PPL*

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pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 20:24  
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BAKER  TECH  W121116 

EXERCISE  PRiCE  S$0.32

TARGET  PRiCE

(S$0.93 - S$0.32) = S$0.61



pharoah88      ( Date: 22-Apr-2010 20:14) Posted:



*BAKER  TECH*

TARGET  PRiCE  S$0.93

CASH  PER  SHARE  S$0.443 

 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 20:16  
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frOm  BAKER TECH  fOrum

battouchai      ( Date: 22-Apr-2010 17:17) Posted:



Just to share...pls SOBAYOR... m not vested.

 

 

1.  Sum of parts valuation implies Baker is worth $0.93 (non-diluted) or $0.73 (fully diluted) !!
2.  If PPL deal goes through, Baker will have cash of S$76M (existing cash) + S$214M (PPL offer) = S$290M or $290/654.8M = $0.443 cash per share !!

Analysis

654.8M shares;  327.4M warrants
Net Profit = $38.6M ('09) vs $18.8M ('08)
Cash holdings = $76M;  debt = negligible

Baker has 3 core pillars
1)   15% stake in PPL
      - worth US$155M or S$214M
2)   49% stake in axle biz
      - worth at least $20M based on the put option it can sell to Tata Group's associate
3)   Sea Deep Shipyard
      - a 100% owned subsidiary
      - contributed approx $33.1M out of $38.6M '09 net profit

Sum of Parts Valuation (non diluted, 654.8M shares)
a)   15% stake in PPL = $214M/654.8M = $0.3268 per share
b)   49% axle biz = $20M/654.8M = $0.0305 per share
c)   Sea Deep at P/E of 9x = 9x$33.1M = $298M or $298M/654.8M = $0.455 per share
      - P/E of 9x for Sea Deep is conservative as this is a 50% discount to the P/E of 18x for the oil & gas sector in '09)
d)   $76M cash holdings = $76M/654.8M = $0.116 per share

      Value per share = a+b+c+d = $0.93

Sum of Parts Valuation (fully diluted, 982.2M shares)
a)   15% stake in PPL = $214M/982.2M = $0.2179 per share
b)   49% axle biz = $20M/982.2M = $0.0203 per share
c)   Sea Deep at P/E of 9x = 9x$33.1M = $298M or $298M/982.2M = $0.303 per share
d)   $76M cash holdings = $76M/982.2M = $0.0774 per share
e)   327.4M warrants exercised at $0.32 = $104.8M or $104.8M/$982.2 = $0.1067 per share

      Value per share = a+b+c+d+e = $0.73




pharoah88      ( Date: 22-Apr-2010 20:14) Posted:



*BAKER  TECH*

TARGET  PRiCE  S$0.93

CASH  PER  SHARE  S$0.443 

 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 20:14  
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*BAKER  TECH*

TARGET  PRiCE  S$0.93

CASH  PER  SHARE  S$0.443 
 

 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 16:18  
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Thursday:
22 APRIL  2010  16:10:56


17,896,000  S$0.225

12th  POSITION

TOP  VOLUME
 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 16:15  
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BakerTech W121116 Symbol:
JQ5W
Currency:
Singapore Dollar
Last: 0.22 + 0.05 Vol (K): 16643.0
Trading
Updated Time 22-Apr 15:53
Open 0.165 High 0.225 Low 0.165
Prev Close 0.17 Buy - Sell -
Volume(K) 16643.0 Buy Vol(K) - Sell Vol(K) -
All Time High 0.185 All Time Low 0.055    

Intraday Chart

 


pharoah88      ( Date: 22-Apr-2010 14:52) Posted:



Thursday:

22 APRIL  2010  2:51pm

14th  POSITION

TOP  VOLUME  CHART

 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 14:52  
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Thursday:

22 APRIL  2010  2:51pm

14th  POSITION

TOP  VOLUME  CHART
 

 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 14:32  
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dOn't  MiSS  THiS  CHERRY FLiGHT 
S$0.210
 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 14:31  
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BakerTech W121116 Symbol:
JQ5W
Currency:
Singapore Dollar
Last: 0.205 + 0.035 Vol (K): 9392.0
Trading
Updated Time 22-Apr 14:08
Open 0.165 High 0.21 Low 0.165
Prev Close 0.17 Buy - Sell -
Volume(K) 9392.0 Buy Vol(K) - Sell Vol(K) -
All Time High 0.185 All Time Low 0.055    

Intraday Chart

 
 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 14:09  
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Thank you Very Much fOr the Kind  Sharing.

 



novicealex      ( Date: 22-Apr-2010 12:26) Posted:

Just be informed that this is an European style warrant, that owner can't exercise until expiry, thus market-maker can take the own sweet time to hold back the price different.

Don't expect the warrant price to exceed or moves along the same way as the mother shares.




pharoah88      ( Date: 22-Apr-2010 10:15) Posted:

at  S$0.535,  Warrant  Price  should  be  S$0.215


 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 14:08  
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Thursday:  22nd  APRIL  2010  14:01:56

S$0.200    1,000,000
 

 
novicealex
    22-Apr-2010 12:26  
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Just be informed that this is an European style warrant, that owner can't exercise until expiry, thus market-maker can take the own sweet time to hold back the price different.

Don't expect the warrant price to exceed or moves along the same way as the mother shares.




pharoah88      ( Date: 22-Apr-2010 10:15) Posted:

at  S$0.535,  Warrant  Price  should  be  S$0.215

 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 12:24  
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BakerTech W121116 Symbol:
JQ5W
Currency:
Singapore Dollar
Last: 0.19 + 0.02 Vol (K): 5995.0
Trading
Updated Time 22-Apr 12:02
Open 0.165 High 0.195 Low 0.165
Prev Close 0.17 Buy - Sell -
Volume(K) 5995.0 Buy Vol(K) - Sell Vol(K) -
All Time High 0.185 All Time Low 0.055    

Intraday Chart

 
 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 11:30  
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dOn't  MiSS  THiS  CHERRY FLiGHT 
S$0.190
 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 10:15  
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at  S$0.535,  Warrant  Price  should  be  S$0.215
 
 
pharoah88
    22-Apr-2010 10:04  
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SUPER CHERRY  PiCKING 
S$0.180


pharoah88      ( Date: 21-Apr-2010 13:27) Posted:



SharE  -  ExercisE  =  WarranT 

S$0.600  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.280

S$0.595  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.275

S$0.590  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.270

S$0.585  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.265

S$0.580  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.260

S$0.575  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.255

S$0.570  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.250

S$0.565  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.245

S$0.560  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.240

S$0.555  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.235

S$0.550  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.230

S$0.545  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.225

S$0.540  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.220

S$0.535  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.215

S$0.530  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.210

S$0.525  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.205

S$0.520  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.200

S$0.515  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.195

S$0.510  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.190

S$0.505  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.185

S$0.500  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.180

S$0.495  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.175

S$0.490  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.170

S$0.485  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.165

S$0.480  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.160

S$0.475  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.155

S$0.470  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.150

S$0.465  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.145

S$0.460  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.140

S$0.455  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.135

S$0.450  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.130

S$0.445  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.125

S$0.440  -  S$0.32  =  S$0.120 

 

 
pharoah88
    21-Apr-2010 15:57  
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Bullish outlook for equities and commodities

Stocks and commodities made an astounding comeback in 2009 after a disastrous 2008. Emerging markets and Asia ex-Japan equities posted their best performance last year — with strong 67.7 per cent and 61.7 per cent gains respectively while the MSCI World Equities Index managed only a 23.8 per cent gain.

Unfortunately, equity performance in January 2010 cast a wet blanket over expectations. However the market picked up a positive momentum later in the quarter.

Economic data to date have been encouraging. Many nations, such as China and Singapore, have reported strong economic growth and even lag indicators — such as unemployment rate — have been showing encouraging signs of recovery globally.

We continue to hold our view that risky assets such as equities and commodities will continue to do well in 2010 as more news of economic recovery and strong corporate performance present themselves.

We also believe that the current low interest rate in most parts of the world will come to an end in the later part of the year as more signs of economic recovery turn up. We are therefore bearish on bonds this year.

We suggest investors shift the weight of their portfolios towards equities and commodities and away from bonds. ETFs are extremely helpful when constructing investment portfolios and should be used as the starting point of any portfolio construction.

The global economic recovery however fuels the fear of inflation.

With loose monetary and generous fiscal policies present in many parts of the world, many are now concerned that inflationary pressures will start to force governments to take early evasive action to prevent inflation from becoming a full blown issue. However, others are of the view that the shaky world economy may not be ready for a withdrawal of fiscal policies and a tightening of monetary policy.

These fears will continue to resurface periodically causing stock prices to correct whenever markets gain new highs. We therefore also suggest that investors consistently use available covered warrants to protect their portfolio when equity indices hit new highs (with put warrants) and extend their position (with call warrants) when positive momentum returns.

Bullish outlook for equities and commodities

This article is contributed by Roger Tan and Edmund Seow from SIAS Research.

 
 
pharoah88
    21-Apr-2010 14:07  
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178investors      ( Date: 18-Apr-2010 23:29) Posted:





The sales of PPLHoldings certainly positive for BT shareholders. However, has to careful some of the projected numbers out there.

While we alll loves to tout the merits of a sales, especially if one is vested, we also must look at what headwinds  could be around the corners.

One pertinent headwind, an immediate one, is the outstanding warrants that can be converted in ordinary shares.

Some facts of the outstanding warrants are listed as follow:

Quantity of warrants outstanding : approx 328,000,000

Convertion ratio: 1 warrant can be converted to 1 ordinary share

Exercise price : 32cents

Since the latest market share price of BT is now more than 30% higher than the exercise price of the warrants, many warrant holders may want to convert to ordinary shares now to gain the extra dividends (FY2009 and future dividends from the sales of PPL Holdings).

The on-mass conversion would lead to a total increase of about 50% in the total share issues of BT.  Post conversion if fully converted would approx 967,000,000 outstanding shares.

A quick calculation based on the new 967,000,000 shares yield a profit per share of about SGD0.21 from the sales. Assumption is that BT book USD150million profit for the sales and USD/SGD conversion rate of 1.37

I think BT shareholders can hope for a 12cents special dividend next year.

Is BTstill worth punting tomorrow?  I dont know really.
 
 
pharoah88
    21-Apr-2010 13:58  
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SGX Mainboard listed Baker Technology Limited (Baker Tech) is a leading manufacturer and provider of specialised equipment and services for the oil & gas industry. Its core business is in the design and construction of a wide range of equipment and components for use in the offshore environment. These include offshore pedestal cranes, anchor winches, skidding systems, jacking systems and raw water tower structures. It also provides services such as project management, engineering services, quality assurance, and construction supervision. These products and services are highly specialised and cater to all facets of the oil & gas industry.

Baker Tech has a 49% interest in York Transport Equipment (Asia) Pte Ltd, a manufacturer and distributor of trailer axles and related components. It also holds a 15% stake in PPL Shipyard which designs and constructs offshore rigs.

PPL’s Pacific Class 375 jack-up rigs are well accepted in the market as rigs of choice.

Baker Tech has market presence in China, the Middle East, Asia and USA
 
 
pharoah88
    21-Apr-2010 13:53  
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20 April, 2010 - Tuesday 

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings Ltd, a shipbuilder based in China, on Saturday said that it, along with two other investors, have launched a US$155-million joint tender offer to buy Singapore-based PPL Holdings Pte Ltd, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Baker Technology Ltd, sources reported.

The Chinese shipbuilder said in a statement that it intends to acquire a 50.1% stake in PPL Holdings, while an unnamed investment firm from the Middle East and Yu Kebing, a non-executive director of Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, plan to take the remaining 45% and 4.9% stakes, respectively.

To finance the acquisition, Yangzijiang Shipbuilder will issue 83.60 million shares to the Middle East-based investment firm to raise US$77.70 million, according to the statement.

PPL Holdings owns a                                                        

15% stake in PPL Shipyard Pte Ltd,                 

while SembCorp Marine Ltd holds the remaining 85% stake.

The acquisition is expected to help Yangzijiang Shipbuilding strengthen its capability in offshore drilling design and operations and boost its business development and competitive strategy, said the firm.

Located in Jiangyin, Jiangsu Province, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding produces a range of commercial vessels, container ships, bulk carriers and multipurpose cargo vessels.
 
 
pharoah88
    21-Apr-2010 13:45  
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SHARE  Vs  WARRANT  PRICE  ARBITRAGE
When  SHARE PRICE  is  GREATER  than
WARRANT PRICE  PLUS  EXERCISE  PRICE OF S$0.320,
BUY  WARRANT  For  ARBITRAGE  PROFITS.
E.G.   S$0.525  -  S$0.320  =  S$0.205
WARRANT  PRICE  is  ONLY  S$0.180
ARBITRAGE  PROFIT  = S$0.205  -  S$0.180
                                                  = S$0.025
Whenever ARBITRAGE  GAP  exists,
BUY  W121116  Warrant
 
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