
irvvvv ( Date: 24-Feb-2012 12:03) Posted:
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any chance to raise back 1.70++?
OCBC & DMG target price $2.... seems hard now... even semb mar punctured..
any news about the sale?
Overall, grp remain optimistic of another good showing in 2012, forecasting 14% EBITDA margins. Taking a leaf from 2004, expect its order momentum to accelerate in 2H as robust sector dynamics pips credit concerns. House maintain Nok9b new order forecast for 2012, up 30%. Also see catalysts from stronger-than-expected orders and margins.
krisluke ( Date: 16-Feb-2012 11:56) Posted:
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Petrobras Oil Discovery Makes STX OSV 30% Undervalued: Real M& A
STX OSV Holdings Ltd. (SOH), the world’s biggest maker of oil-rig support vessels, may attract a takeover premium of more than 30 percent as buyers look to profit from the Western Hemisphere’s largest oil discovery in three decades.
South Korea’s STX Group is seeking to sell its 51 percent stake in STX OSV as the Singapore-listed builder of anchor handlers and supply ships trades at 3.5 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s cheaper than 97 percent of marine transportation services companies with market capitalizations of more than $1 billion, the data show.
STX OSV is building a second shipyard in Brazil, wherePetroleo Brasileiro SA (PETR4) plans to spend $225 billion to help tap a possible 50 billion barrels of oil under the Atlantic Ocean. That may make STX OSV more attractive to Keppel Corp. (KEP) andSembcorp Marine Ltd. (SMM), the largest oil-rig builders, according to Shinyoung Securities Co. With Singapore’s takeover guidelines requiring a buyer of a 30 percent stake to bid for the rest of the company, STX OSV may get an offer valued at $1.86 billion, 36 percent more than yesterday’s level, Citigroup Inc. said.
“Having not just one but two yards in Brazil is what makes STX OSV all the more attractive because Brazil requires the vessels and rigs it uses to be built in the country,” said Um Kyung A, an analyst at Shinyoung Securities in Seoul. “There’s a very high barrier to getting into the OSV market, so buying STX OSV will immediately resolve that problem.”
Breaking Ice
Spokesmen for STX Group and STX OSV declined to comment on the sales process in e-mailed messages. STX Group, which is selling its stake to repay debt, acquired Alesund, Norway-based STX OSV through the takeover of Aker Yards ASA in 2009 and completed an initial public offering of the company’s shares inSingapore in November 2010.
STX OSV surged as much as 9.6 percent in Singapore today to S$1.595, the highest level since its IPO. The shares closed up5.8 percent at S$1.54.
The company is the world’s largest builder by capacity of vessels that carry supplies to floating platforms, manage rig anchors and break ice. STX OSV has nine shipyards -- five inNorway, two in Romania and one each in Brazil and Vietnam.
With oil trading at about $100 a barrel in New York and existing resources depleting, deep-water oil explorers are projected to spend a record $232 billion on new equipment in the next five years, according to Canterbury, England-based researcher Douglas-Westwood.
‘Harsher Environments’
“Increasingly both national oil companies and independent oil companies will have to move offshore and move to harsher environments,” said Steve Robertson, director at Douglas-Westwood. “When you start looking at these large offshore vessel companies, the big competitors are going to be interested as well as some private equity firms.”
The largest increase in capital expenditure forecast by Douglas-Westwood will come from Latin America, led by Rio de Janeiro-based Petroleo Brasileiro. Petrobras, as the Brazilian state oil company is known, is spending more than any major oil company to develop the largest crude discovery in the Americas since Mexico’s Cantarell field in 1976.
STX OSV has “first-mover advantage” in Brazil with 45 percent of the deep-water market, according to Citigroup. The company’s new shipyard in the country’s northeast is set to begin building ships in 2013.
Atlantic Ocean’s Floor
Petrobras will need equipment including 568 ships and 95 floating production vessels as it seeks to drill wells that lie as much as four miles below the Atlantic Ocean’s floor, the company’s former Chief Executive Officer Jose Sergio Gabrielli said in November. Petrobras requires ships used to develop fields off Brazil’s coast to be built in the country.
While Keppel and Sembcorp already have facilities in Brazil, STX OSV may also appeal to Korean shipbuilders who, with no presence in the country, are looking to diversify out of the market for large ships that haul commodities and consumer goods, according to Kay Lim, an analyst at DNB Bank ASA in Singapore.
“It is not easy to expand capacity in Brazil as there are restrictions on the amount of land you can get and in acquiring the permit,” Keppel Chief Executive Officer Choo Chiau Beng said last month. The Singapore-based company is looking for opportunities to increase the capacity of its yard in Brazil to tap orders in the South American nation, Choo said.
Deep-water rigs require more support vessels than those used in shallow-waters. A semi-submersible rig, used in deep water and held by anchors weighing more than 10 metric tons, needs as many as eight support vessels, according to DNB’s Lim.
‘Pent-Up Demand’
“We may see pent-up demand in the second half,” said Lim, referring to OSV orders. “If you look at oil discoveries last year, there have been significant finds in the North Sea and in Brazil they are still in their early cycle.”
STX OSV received orders worth 11.12 billion kroner ($1.94 billion) for 28 vessels last year, compared with 12.6 billion kroner the year before, the company said today. More than half of the new orders signed in the fourth quarter of 2011 were contracts with Petrobras Transporte SA, the state oil company’s transportation unit known as Transpetro.
Even after shares of STX OSV rallied 33 percent this year, the company is valued at 3.5 times Ebitda, according to data compiled by Bloomberg that includes net debt. That’s cheaper than 36 of 37 other marine transportation services companies with a market capitalization over $1 billion.
STX OSV may still be worth at least S$2 a share in a takeover, 37 percent more than yesterday’s close, according to Shinyoung’s Um. “The stock hasn’t fully reflected the company’s potential in the offshore support vessel industry,” she said.
Relative Value
A “plausible, best-case scenario,” is for another shipyard to pay as much as S$1.98 a share for full control of STX OSV, Si Xian Goh, a Singapore-based analyst at Citigroup, wrote in an e-mailed reply to questions. That’s 20 percent higher than his target price of S$1.65, and would value the company at 36 percent more than its market capitalization of S$1.72 billion ($1.37 billion) yesterday.
Keppel, backed by Temasek Holdings Pte, Singapore’s state investment fund, said last month the offshore market is “hot”after booking record orders in 2011 and posting fourth-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates.
Singapore-based Sembcorp Marine, created in 1963, last week won a $793 million contract to build a drill ship for Sete Brasil Participacoes SA to develop oil and gas fields discovered around the coast of Brazil.
‘Various Investments’
On Jan. 18, after STX Group disclosed its plans to sell STX OSV, both Keppel and Sembcorp said they were “currently” not making a bid for the stake. In e-mailed responses, Keppel’s Singapore-based spokeswoman Wong Chai Yueh repeated that statement, while Sembcorp Marine’s Judy Han referred to it.
“The company reiterates that, in the course of its business, it will explore various investments and acquisitions proposals,” according to Keppel’s Wong.
“The company will make the necessary announcements when appropriate,” wrote Sembcorp’s Han.
STX Group may decide to sell only a portion of its stake and avoid triggering an offer for the entire company, Chia Jiunyang, a Singapore-based analyst at OCBC Investment Research, wrote in a note on Feb. 6, referring to Singapore’s guidelines on large stake purchases in public companies.
“The cash requirement of such a transaction may be too prohibitive for some interested buyers,” the analyst said.
Still, buyers may be lured by the opportunity to take full control and extract cost savings from a shipyard that also has cash reserves, according to DNB Bank’s Lim. STX OSV ended September with net cash of $324 million, the third-highest level among rival marine transportation services companies worldwide, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“The 51 percent will be the key draw,” Lim said. “It will give them control.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Angus Whitley in Sydney at awhitley1@bloomberg.net Kyunghee Park in Hong Kong at kpark3@bloomberg.net.
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Daniel Hauck at dhauck1@bloomberg.net Katherine Snyder at ksnyder@bloomberg.net Philip Lagerkranser at lagerkranser@bloomberg.net.
February 15, 2012
STX OSV
STX OSV reported a stellar set of 4Q results, which were above our and the street’s expectations. Revenue declined by 12.9% YoY to NOK3.1bn, while net profit jumped 116.6% to NOK638m during the quarter. The exceptional high profitability in 4Q was mainly due to successful project deliveries and the release of risk contingencies at the end of complex projects. On a full year basis, revenue increased slightly by 4.4% YoY to NOK12.4bn, while net profit increased by 54.6% YoY to NOK1.6bn, supported by stable operations and productivity improvements. The group has recommended a 10 S cents dividend. We maintain BUY and raised our fair value estimate to S$2.25 (from S$1.60 previously) on higher order intake assumptions.
DJ MARKET TALK: STX OSV May Face Revenue Concerns Ahead -AmFraser
Dow Jones Newswires | 15 Feb 2012 2:01pm
0601 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: STX OSV's (MS7.SG) much higher-than-expected results are " hitting a home run in style," AmFraser says but it adds, the home run was on the release of risk contingencies, a one-off that won't be repeated on this scale. It adds, FY11 profit-after-tax-and-minority-interests of NOK1.6 billion, up 50% on-year, on 4Q's " off the charts" EBITDA margin of 28%, likely are a peak for both for the next three years. AmFraser cites revenue concerns as only about 67% of FY12 revenue expectations are secured by the orderbook so far. " Failure to win sufficient contracts early enough would cause the company to miss the forecast. The financing problems are not over in Europe, and high-beta STX OSV stands particularly at risk should the market get the jitters again." It keeps a Buy call, raising its fair value to S$1.82 from S$1.60, based on 10X 2012 EPS from the previous 8.5X as the O& M sector is recovering to historical valuations. The stock climbs 10.4% to S$1.70, an all-time high. (leslie.shaffer@dowjones.com) |
Some counters like STXOSV....black and white candles stick, double top or double low formation all bo chun one. This one must use FA......
Cheers
 
rotijai ( Date: 15-Feb-2012 09:11) Posted:
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gradually ..... increasing no. of counters going higher highs .....
probably next in the line ..... nol, yzj, cosco ..... 
STXOSV hit $1.735!!!!
Congrats to everyone that long.
got supported by previous high resistance turn support just now..
careful, shorters..
longs also should consider to take profit, congras
xing78 ( Date: 15-Feb-2012 04:01) Posted:
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swee swee .....
today's limelight ... STXOSV ... NOL ... Cosco ... YZJ ... ?
FY A class result with 10 cent Dividend per share.......when markets open sure Tua Chiong.........
This one so call sure win stock..........with $2.++ Take Over price.
FYI .....this is not a buy or sell call  pls buy with your own rist 
Cheers
Pls do some homeworks before shouting shorting here and there.......will esily get burn
like SATAY .........Don't HOT hor ....if i say if you dare to short STXOSV & can make $$$
i chop off my head and let you kick like football.........
cheers
 
xing78 ( Date: 14-Feb-2012 20:02) Posted:
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On Tuesday, STX OSV re-tests the resistance at $1.56 and closed at $1.54 with HIGH volume of 39.58 million shares traded.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 2 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 4 black candles.  During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 22 black candles.
Both RSI & MACD are bullish though RSI in overbought region.
Important Resistance of STX OSV: $1.56
Immediate Support of STX OSV: $1.495
Currently prices are well above the 20/50/100/200 days MA.
Prices broke the minor resistance at $1.495................ READ MORE
 
wow 10% dividend......
 
 
FY 2010
Revenue of NOK 12 401 million for FY 2011, up 4% from NOK 11 881 million in
FY 2010
EBITDA of NOK 2 355 million for FY 2011, up 77% from NOK 1 330 million in
19.0% for FY 2011, from 11.2% in FY 2010
EBITDA margin, representing EBITDA to total operating revenues, increased toFinal dividend of SGD 10 cents per share to be recommended for FY 2011
LPG carriers to be constructed at new yard in Brazil. Order intake may vary
significantly on a quarter-by-quarter basis
Order intake of NOK 6 027 million in 4Q 2011 including NOK 3 289 million for eight54 vessels in the order book1) as at 30 December 2011, of which 32 of own design
Strong track record in operations maintained throughout 2011
Brazil new yard project gaining momentum
timing for sustained upturn in order activity still uncertain
Improved new order wins in 4Q 2011 and strong market fundamentals – butKey messages
14.02.2012 | Page 4
1) Includes firm orders only