By  Ryan SchwimmerApril 3, 2012INVESTORS TO STUDY FED MINUTES FOR SIGNS OF EASING      Gold and Silver are following U.S. stock futures this morning, as all are experiencing slight losses. Minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting will be released later today. In a research note, analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch wrote, “We will look for the discussion around the outlook  and the risks to see whether greater optimism is starting to enter into the staff forecast.” The main thing investors are looking for are clues to another round of quantitative easing, which historically has been supportive for the Gold price.
Richard Cookson, chief investment officer at Citi Private Bank, said the beginning of 2012 “looks eerily similar to last year for a lot of the same reasons.” He added, “This isn’t a normal market recovery, if you look at the state of central bank balance sheets … it’s a bit like being in an abusive relationship where the abnormal becomes the normal.” He also warned that Europe is starting 2012 much like 2011, and it’s no secret that 2011 wasn’t exactly a great year for the eurozone.
Platinum and Palladium are enjoying slight gains this morning after  reports were released showing auto sales were at a five-year high  in March. The two metals are important components in the production of new cars, and oftentimes prices follow news from the automobile industry.
At 8 a.m. (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold – $1,676.70 – Down $2.50.
- Silver - $32.93 – Down $0.22.
By  Brandi BrundidgeApril 2, 2012JEWELERS’ STRIKE IN INDIA ENDS PEACE PLAN UNDER WAY IN SYRIAGold remained in positive territory in afternoon trading. Loan Smith at Knight Capital Europe Ltd. said a rally in Gold could take off central banks indicate further monetary action. “If the Fed reinstitutes quantitative easing measures later in the year, coupled with rising fiscal deficits and currency debasement among countries in the developed world, then  Gold may continue to hold an underlying bid,” Smith wrote in an e-mail.
The  jewelers’ strike in India is officially over, with Indian government officials stating they will delay the duty tax on nonbranded Gold jewelry. As the news spread, traders in Mumbai and other parts of the nation began to reopen their stores. “The tax on unbranded jewelry was affecting smaller businesses. It would ensure that several craftsmen would lose their daily earnings and result in large-scale unemployment for several people in the country,” bullion trader Rameshbhai Sanghavi said. He added that deferring the tax would help employment in the country to a large extent, though Gold imports had slipped further in March.
The U.N./Arab League peace envoy confirmed to the United Nations that Syrian troops would not be entering towns and that a pullout of heavy weapons and a troops would be under way. Diplomats verified today that Syria has agreed to meet the April 10 deadline for the initial peace plan. Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu compared the current condition in Syria with the situation in Bosnia in the 1990s. Davutoglu said, “In the case of Bosnia, the international community was too slow, therefore we lost many people. In the case of  Syria, we have to act without delay.”
At 4 p.m. (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,678.80 – Up $7.40.
- Silver - $33.03 – Up $.50.
Gold climbs above $1,680/oz as dollar rally stalls
* Dollar pares gains after earlier 1-mth high vs euro
* Indian jewellery strike continues, denting demand
* U.S. auto sales expected to post strong showing in March 
By Jan Harvey and Michelle Martin
LONDON, April 2 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose above $1,680 an ounce on Monday as the dollar steadied off earlier one-month highs against the euro, with the U.S. unit further paring gains after U.S. construction spending and manufacturing data.
Spot gold was up 0.8 percent at $1,681.00 an ounce at 1433 GMT, while U.S. gold  futures  for April delivery were up $10.70 an ounce at $1,682.60.
The precious metal is building on a 6.6 percent rise in the first quarter after Federal Reserve comments reassured investors that U.S. interest rates would remain low for an extended period, keeping the opportunity cost of holding gold low.
Better news on the U.S. economy, an improvement in which could reduce the prospects of a fresh round of quantitative easing and raise the prospect of an eventual rise in interest rates, has clouded the picture for gold.
" The wider macro environment is generally improving ... so I think that's creating some headwinds, and also the European banking crisis settled down, so there's less need for safe haven of gold at this point," Standard Chartered analyst Daniel Smith said.
" But we think that the downside is actually quite limited from here," he added. " We think that actually gold will tend to rally in the months ahead on the back of a wider improvement in liquidity which we're seeing across the macrospace."
Data released on Monday showed the pace of growth in the U.S. manufacturing sector picked up a tad in March, although U.S. construction spending in February recorded its largest drop in seven months.
The dollar index surrendered earlier gains in the wake of the numbers, helping gold to rise. Dollar weakness makes assets priced in the U.S. unit cheaper for other currency holders.
U.S. and European stock markets rose on Monday, meanwhile, although oil prices slipped.
 
MONEY MANAGERS LIFT BULLISH BETS
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission figures showed on Friday that money managers, including hedge funds and other large speculators, raised their bullish bets in gold for the first time in four weeks last week.
Speculators in silver also cut their bullish exposure, reducing their net length by 3,284 lots to 17,031 contracts - their lowest level since the week of Jan. 29, when they were long on 16,034 lots.
Jewellers in major gold consumer India remained on strike on Monday for a 17th day after thefinance  minister proposed to double the import duty on gold, an excise duty on unbranded jewellery and a tax on transactions worth more than 200,000 rupees.
" A recent pull-back in Indian gold demand has forced prices lower over recent weeks, following the Indian government's decision to double the duty payable on gold imports to 4 per cent and to impose an additional 0.3 per cent tax on most gold jewellery," National  Australia  Bank said in a note.
Spot silver was up 2.4 percent at $32.97 an ounce. The grey metal broke a three-quarter losing streak in the first three months of 2012, rising 16 percent on gold's coat-tails.
Spot platinum was up 0.2 percent at $1,647.49 an ounce, while spot palladium was up 2 percent at $661.25 an ounce.
U.S. auto sales are expected to continue at a strong pace in March, capping the best quarter in four years for new vehicle purchases as the overall U.S. economy improved and new car buyers found easier financing.
Automakers are the biggest consumers of platinum and palladium, which are widely used in autocatalysts. (Editing by Alison Birrane) 
By  Peter LaTonaApril 2, 2012GOLD, SILVER PRICES SLIGHTLY LOWER IN OVERNIGHT TRADING      Gold futures declined  largely on concerns about events in India and Turkey. Jewelry stores in India are on strike against recent government taxes on Gold, which has reduced Gold imports from Turkey. The weaker jewelry demand is not currently offset by investment demand, so there is downward pressure on pricing.
The  eurozone’s jobless rate reached its highest  in 15 years, with more the 17 million people out of work. The unemployment rate in the 17 nation eurozone rose to 10.8 percent. This highlights the human costs when governments are forced to make drastic spending cuts. There are those who think these spending cuts are too much too soon, but the European Commission seeks to restore investor confidence by aggressively getting deficits under control. Still, this leaves millions of Europeans looking for work with an economy sliding into recession.
Speaking on CNBC this morning, Marc Faber (otherwise known as “Dr. Doom”), predicted that investors -- particularly the wealthy -- will  lose about half their total wealth  in the next few years as a result of global government debt problems that have central banks printing money at record rates. “Somewhere down the line, we will have a massive wealth destruction that usually happens either through very high inflation or through social unrest or credit market collapse,” he said. “Maybe all of it will happen but at different times.” Faber has long been bullish on Gold and other hard assets such as real estate. He also expects stocks to go up in the short term, as they benefit from the printing of money, as well.
At 8 a.m. (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,669.50 – Down $1.90.
- Silver - $32.52 – Down $0.02.
Last Updated :  02 April 2012 at 20:05 IST
BofAML cuts 2012 gold forecast to $1750, raises copper forecast
NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) has cut back its 2012 prediction for gold while raising price forecast for copper. The bank has also raised its forecast for aluminium, silver, platinum, zinc, nickel and palladium. Lead prices have been forecasted lower.
Gold price are now expected to be at $1750/oz in 2012, down 5.4% from the previous forecast of $1850 while copper prices are forecasted to be at $8275/tonne, up 6.8% from the previous $7750/oz.
BofAML is not alone in reducing its gold expectations. Earlier, UBS also cutback on its 2012 price forecast. “The view that the U.S. economic recovery is looking more sustainable is becoming increasingly accepted. Gold is at risk, for it needs persistent inflows of investor money to keep it on its upward trajectory”, a report published by UBS had stated. The bank now expects prices to average $1680/oz for the year.
Meanwhile, Barclays Capital expects that 2012 gold prices will hit its highest levels during the third quarter at $2030/oz . Full year prices are expected average $1875/oz 
Gold marks time, eyes on currency market
 
* Gold remains range-bound in thin trade
* Spot gold rebound could end at $1,677/oz - technicals
* Coming up: euro zone Markit Mfg PMI, March 1400 GMT
By Rujun Shen
SINGAPORE, April 2 (Reuters) - Gold prices were little
changed on Monday in the first trading day of the second
quarter, waiting for fresh cues from the currency market as
investors digest data from China and the United States as well
as developments in the euro zone.
The dollar index hovered above a near one-month low
hit last Friday after the euro rallied on hopes that Spain could
stick to an austerity plan.
Gold has largely been taking cues from the currency market
in recent weeks in an otherwise listless range play.
" There is no fresh topic in the gold market these days,"
said a trader at a large bullion house based in Tokyo.
" In the past few months people had focused on the debt
crisis in Europe, now that worry has calmed down despite some
remaining uncertainties and money is flowing back to equities."
Gold moved towards $1,700 last week after the U.S. Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke hinted of the possibility of more
pro-growth measures, but momentum faded quickly and prices
dipped to below $1,650.
Spot gold was little changed at $1,668.33 an ounce by
0316 GMT, after posting a 6.6-percent rise in the first quarter.
Although prices fell 1.6 percent in March, a second straight
month in the red.
COMEX gold futures contract for April delivery edged
down 0.1 percent to $1,670.20 an ounce in thin trading.
Bullion prices may end the rebound around a resistance at
$1,677 an ounce and retrace towards $1,645 during the day, said
Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
Traders said gold could stay in a range between $1,640 and
$1,680 in the short term, in absence of any major news.
China's manufacturing data over the weekend painted a mixed
picture, showing accelerated activities at big factories but
continued struggles for the smaller ones.
Earlier, U.S. data showed consumer spending increased by the
most in seven months in February as households shook off a rise
in gasoline prices, leading economists to raise forecasts for
first-quarter growth.
Most participants in the physical market remained sidelined.
Gold holdings in the world's key gold-backed exchange-traded
funds slipped for a second consecutive week last week.
" Gold is also lacking sufficient investment enthusiasm to be
able to sideline the physical market as it did earlier in the
year thus, in turn, prices are struggling to gain momentum,"
said Barclays.
Buy money managers, including hedge funds and other large
speculators, raised their bullish bets in gold for the first
time in four weeks as the price of bullion rallied to a two-week
high near $1,700 an ounce.
China's financial markets are closed for a public holiday
and will reopen on Thursday.
Middle east troubles always weigh heavily on global economics. Sigh...
Last Updated :  30 March 2012 at 20:05 IST
UBS cuts 2012 Gold forecast by 18%
 
NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  Zurich based UBS bank has cut their 2012 gold forecast by 18% owing to improved indications of US recovery. 2012 gold prices is now expected to average $1680/oz as against the previous forecast of $2050/oz.“The view that the U.S. economic recovery is looking more sustainable is becoming increasingly accepted. Gold is at risk, for it needs persistent inflows of investor money to keep it on its upward trajectory”, BBS states in a report while adding that the $2050/oz estimate is now considered an aggressive target.
The bank is positive on palladium and platinum prices over the next 3 month period given the recovery of the US while Iron ore is also expected to benefit during the same period due to a tightening of supplies.
UBS is not alone in reducing their gold price forecasts. Earlier, Goldman Sachs had cut their their price forecast for gold while stating that “Our economists forecast subdued growth and further easing by the Fed in 2012”. Three month forecast is now at $1785 while the 12month forecast projects gold prices to be around $1940/oz..
 
By  Ryan SchwimmerMarch 30, 2012BOOST TO EUROZONE BAILOUT FUND PROVIDES BOOST TO METALS    Precious metals and U.S. stock futures received a boost this morning, mainly due to a  boost of a different kind. A statement from eurozone finance ministers this morning read, “All together, the euro area is mobilizing an overall firewall of approximately 800 billion euros, more than 1 trillion dollars,” to help protect against the spread of the debt crisis. This move boosted the euro, causing metals to follow suit.
Echoing the sentiments of many, Sam Chandan of Chandan Economics said, “An extraordinarily low interest rate environment  has become our drug of choice (in the U.S.). But the potential impact on the economy over the long run, in terms of how it distorts the markets, is potentially quite toxic. (It is) something we got to back away from.”
The ongoing civil oppression in Syria took a new twist today, as  Iran has helped the country ship oil to China, providing an $80 million benefit to the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. This is in direct defiance against Western sanctions, with which Iran is familiar. Syria and Iran seem to be strengthening their alliance at a time when Western powers have attempted to contain issues regarding those Middle Eastern countries.
At 8 a.m. (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold – $1,666.70 – Up $12.50.
- Silver - $32.52 – Up $0.48.
- Platinum - $1,645.20 – Up $17.90.
- Palladium - $653.20 – Up $7.70.
By  Craig C. CalvinMarch 29, 2012GOLD GAINS IN AFTERNOON TRADING FED CHAIRMAN SAYS CENTRAL BANKS SHOULD DEFUSE THREATS    Since the posting of the Mid-Day Gold & Silver Market Report, the Gold price has climbed back into positive territory. Yesterday saw the price end down during today’s trading, the precious metal has fluctuated between small losses and gains. Adam Klopfenstein, market strategist with Archer Financial, said  Gold has been following riskier investments recently  and displaying the behavior of a “classic commodity,” tracking U.S. equities and other commodities. However, a note by Commerzbank analysts said that Gold-backed ETFs have not seen any “significant outflows” lately and that Gold’s price drop is a result of profit-taking by short-term investors and not due to any actions by long-term investors.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, speaking today in a lecture to undergraduates at George Washington University, said that  central banks should actively try to work to defuse future financial threats. During the lecture, Bernanke said that financial stability should no longer be viewed as monetary policy’s “junior partner.” Bernanke said, “As much as possible, central banks and other regulators should try to anticipate and defuse threats to financial stability, and mitigate the effects when a crisis occurs.” In the past, the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates to near zero and engaged in programs of monetary easing to protect the U.S. economy in times of financial stress, and there has been a great deal of speculation that the Fed eventually will engage in another round of easing in response to the U.S. economy’s continued sluggish performance.
At 4 p.m. (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,662.900 – Up $2.90.
- Silver - $32.29 - Up $0.41.
By  Timothy OakesMarch 29, 2012DOLLAR GAINS ON EURO FEARS JEWELERS STRIKE ONGOING IN INDIA    Oil prices have declined, and the dollar is gaining over growing fears revolving around Spain’s less-than-stellar budget. Austerity measures are proving quite unpopular in Spain. The physical demand for Gold remains high in China, but the jewelers’ strike in India continued into a 13th day, which has hindered demand in the world’s top Gold-buying country. Nic Brown of Natixis said, “In the near-term, there is substantial support still coming out of China. Until Chinese investors have a solid alternative to precious metal, it’s likely that demand coming out of China will  remain very strong. … If you see a significant decline in Indian demand for Gold, that is a major negative for the Gold market.”
The strike among India’s jewelers has generated several concerns. This is the first Indian jewelers’ strike in almost seven years. Many are concerned about which precious metals are to be taxed and at what rates, but there are hopes a compromise can be reached. A poll of retailers, jewelers and brokers indicates that Gold imports could drop about 30 percent, and India could lose its position as the top buyer to China by the end of the year. This could cause a loss of revenue of $1 million. “If the excise duty is corrected, the trade will be happy,” said Bhargav Vaidya, a director at the Bombay Bullion Association, one of the largest trade groups representing the industry in India. “The strike will not be indefinite, and customers will not go high and dry during wedding season.”
Some Spanish citizens have risen up against austerity measures imposed upon them, with strikes in the nation affecting public transportation and factory production. However, it is business as usual in a good portion of the nation, as the populace is hoping to    avoid a Greek-like default. Spain’s economy minister said, “Regardless of whether it (the strike) is considered a success or failure, the government is not going to alter the reform one jot.”
At noon (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,652.20 – Down $7.80.
- Silver - $32.02 – Up $0.14.
By  Ryan SchwimmerMarch 29, 2012EMERGING ECONOMIES’ GROUP SCOLDS WESTERN POWERS    Gold and Silver are enjoying slight gains this morning after choppy overnight trading. U.S. stock futures are down, due in part to a disappointing jobless claims report. After seasonal adjustments,  last week’s jobless claims were revised upward  by 4.6 percent, slightly mitigating this week’s drop of 5,000. A positive move for the dollar seems to be limiting Gold’s upward movement for the moment. A final reading in the gross domestic product report showed that the U.S. economy expanded at a 3 percent rate, slower than expected.
The first budget from Spain’s new government is due today, and the  focus is mainly on austerity  for the struggling country. Strategists at RBS wrote, “While the government is trying to contain debt, unemployment is rising, workers are increasingly leaving the country, and consumers are struggling.”
Leaders from the top emerging economies in the world (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, or BRICS)  scolded Western economies regarding loose monetary policies  that are hampering the global economic recovery. Such policy “brings enormous trade advantages to developed countries, and results in unfair obstacles for other countries,” the leaders said.
At 8 a.m. (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,663.30 – Up $3.90.
- Silver - $32.09 – Up $0.21.
US Debt Ceiling D-Day: September 14, 2012
zerohedge.com
MARCH 28, 2012
Earlier today, outgoing Treasury Secretary and tax challenged part-time pathological liar (see  here) Tim Geithner said that any worries of the US debt ceiling are misplaced, and that at best such an event would occur " late in the year" (and to think the August 2011 extended $16.394 trillion debt ceiling was supposed to last well into 2013). Naturally, coming from Geithner, it meant this statement was a flat out lief the second it left his mouth, which is why we decided to do our own analysis of just when the latest and greatest debt ceiling would be breached. The answer is that at the current rate of debt issuance, which incidentally is going to accelerate sharply due to the recent extension of the payroll tax cuts which will require an incremental $100-150 billion total debt to be funded, and extrapolating future issuance solely on historical patterns,  the US debt ceiling D-Day will be September 14, 2012. This means that there will be just over 6 weeks for the GOP to hijack each and every presidential debate before the November election with just this topic. Because there will hardly be anything more humiliating for Obama than to have to defend his platform even as the country is once again past the verge of insolvency, and forced to " commingle" retirement funds to keep Treasury operations running. Which incidentally is just as we predicted would happen when we explained why the  GOP fast shelved the payroll tax debate so rapidly. It was nothing but a prelude to precisely this. Because once it is raised, and it will be raised of course, next up will be yet another ratings downgrade by S& P and this time, Moody's as well. All of which will most likely happen before November.
