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krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 23:12  
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Want To Warn Others About A Crappy Company?

Everyone agrees that angry customers are bad for business—Netflix and Bank of America are two recent victims of consumer outrage.

 

Whether it’s a new product dies after two uses, a service contractor is a no-show, or a business imposes new fees for an old service, burned customers want more than a refund.

They want revenge, so they go to the one place where they can tell the world: The Internet.

The angry customer’s path of choice is both social media and for-profit consumer complaint websites that quickly get the word out about their unhappy experiences.

Companies are fighting back, however, with lawsuits and new online guerrilla tactics. They’re even hiring online reputation management companies that have arisen to help them.

Of the dozens of sites out there, my3cents.com, complaintsboard.com, and pissedconsumer.com, which launched in 2006 and 2007 respectively, attract the lion’s share of complainants, according to statistics compiled last year by the nonprofit Consumer Federation of America (CFA).

Other sites target specific industries—airlines, Airline Complaints airlinecomplaints.org, financial advisors, BrokerCheck cars, AutoBeef and lawyers and doctors Avvo. Angie’s List, one of the first customer review sites, draws people who want to review local service providers, and announced it surpassed one million members last month.

Some consumer-built sites target one company, sometimes calling for their downfall, like comcastmustdie.com or noboa.blogspot.com about Bank of America complaints.

The federal government is jumping in too—in March the Consumer Product Safety Commission launched Safer Products, SaferProducts.gov allowing consumers to post information on goods that pose safety risks.

Facebook and Twitter also have become breeding grounds for consumer complaints—angry Netflix customer tweets figured in the company’s reversal of its disastrous price structure decision, and a Facebook campaign to get people to switch to credit unions probably helped convince Bank of America to quash its monthly $5 debit card fee on November 1.

Connecting consumers online is creating more corporate accountability, according to CFA. The nonprofit’s report last summer noted that the information on these sites is rarely available from traditional complaint handlers like the Better Business Bureau, which typically reveals whether there are complaints against a business but not the details.

“There are many, many company abuses against consumers where there’s no redress,” says CFA’s director, Stephen Brobeck. “I think this is fundamentally a good thing because consumers are relatively powerless dealing with a large company.”

Randi Busse made the new complaint media work for her after a recent visit to a restaurant that’s part of a national chain. When the food and drinks took forever to arrive, she went home and posted a note on the company’s Facebook page: “The food was good but the service wasn’t, and I’m not sure I’m going back.” Within 12 hours, a company representative replied to apologize and Fedexed her a $30 gift card.
When consumers compare notes, they can save money too. MSNBC.com columnist Bob Sullivan writes that when an electric window failed on his out-of-warranty 2007 Jeep Liberty, he checked AutoBeef’s site and found out that Chrysler was honoring out-of-warranty claims if drivers followed the proper complaint procedure. That saved him $500 on repairs.

But complaint crowdsourcing also can hurt the innocent. Jim Olenbush, owner of Cantera Real Estate in Austin, Texas, found that out two years ago when he fired an employee for inappropriate behavior. A few weeks later, he spotted a new comment on Cantera’s business posting on Google Places its headline was “Austin’s Best Gay-Only Real Estate Firm.” Olenbush says the firm works with any customer: “We want to help everyone we can to buy and sell property—any nationality or sexual orientation.” After checking around, he determined that the post was the work of the ex-employee. But he can’t get it deleted—Google let him write a rebuttal but doesn’t remove comments, he says. The post has generated some awkward conversations with first-time customers, and Olenbush wonders whether it’s affected his bottom line.

Competitors also can misuse complaint sites to damage a rival’s reputation: “We have seen some instances where competitors are attacking each other with fake reviews,” says Rhea Drysdale, co-founder of Outspoken Media, which offers online marketing and reputation management services. Indeed, one guy offered services on a freelance job site to “write up to three negative reviews for you with three different profiles against your competition for $10.”

Companies are firing back at online complainants in a range of ways. An increasing number are suing—hitting consumers who post what they believe to be unwarranted complaints with “strategic lawsuits against public participation,” or SLAPPs. Even if the company doesn’t win, the idea is to dissuade others. (Anonymity doesn’t necessarily protect commenters, according to Consumer Reports.) For online reports that can be proven false or defamatory, a Dallas-based lawyer is getting court orders for his clients and then taking those to Google to get the search engine to remove its link to the report, effectively killing its traffic. And Medical Justice, a company that helps doctors prevent malpractice suits, advises its member doctors to have patients sign a copyright agreement covering any online post the patient might write about the doctor. That gives the doctor the right to remove a customer’s post. In response, two law schools have started their own site warning consumers to refuse to sign.

Other firms are turning to the growing number of online reputation management companies, which help firms control negative content about them on the web. Often that means building search engine optimization tools that push negative information about a company further down the search list. Other times it means using new media for more proactive public relations—getting out positive messages about what the company is doing well, according to Owen Tripp, co-founder of Reputation. But Ed Magedson, head of the complaint site Ripoffreport, says reputation management companies aren’t always successful. “I know of none of them—none—who can do exactly what they say they’re going to do.”

With consumer activist sites on one side and reputation management firms on the other, the battle on the web sometimes sounds like a political campaign. Many sites, including CompanyNameSucks, have tried to create a fair playing field, giving space for both complaints and rebuttals. Post-ers must make their case in 140 characters or less, and they don’t have to give their name or email address. If a company wants to rebut a complaint, they sign up for a free business account and can use more than 140 characters to respond, according to site spokesperson Chris Mitchell. Angie’s List gives their employees special training to identify heavily biased or resentful reviews.

But by one metric, all of the cyberwarfare may be helping consumers. The yearly American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI), which since 1994 has measured buyer happiness levels, has climbed from about 72 to 75.5 since 2001. And consumer satisfaction is a key variable in stimulating consumer spending according to a 2010 study in the Journal of Marketing Research. Though there are many variables that affect consumer spending, economic uncertainty being one of them, in normal economic circumstances, a high consumer satisfaction level can increase consumer spending by 2.8 percent. So both sides should be pleased even if they don’t like each other—the customer isn’t always right, but it doesn’t hurt to let them think they are.

This post originally appeared at The Fiscal Times.
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 23:10  
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Last night there was a huge party at the New York Stock Exchange honoring the top 25 multinational corporations (where 40% of a company's workforce is stationed outside its headquarters).

 

The event was put on by the Great Place to Work Institute, which determined the list by surveying 2.5 million employees from more than 5,500 companies worldwide.

Employees were asked about workplace culture, and how much faith they have in their company.

Guess who's No. 1?

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.



#25 Quintiles

#25 Quintiles

Quintiles

Image: Flickr/trugiaz

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $3,000

The health care/services company was mentioned as a great place to work on lists in Canada, Germany, Italy, Mexico, Spain, and the United Kingdom.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#24 Atento

#24 Atento

Atento Brazil Call Center

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: Spain

 

Global revenues (in millions): $2,201

The telephone support/sales centers company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Central America, Mexico, Peru, and Spain.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#23 The Coca-Cola Company

#23 The Coca-Cola Company

Coca-Cola

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $35,119

The beverage maker was named as a great work place in lists from Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Chile, Peru, and Spain.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#22 Novo Nordisk

#22 Novo Nordisk

Novo Nordisk

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: Denmark

 

Global revenues (in millions): $11,100

The pharmaceuticals company was named in lists from Italy, Mexico, Switzerland, the Netherlands, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#21 Roche

#21 Roche

Roche

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: Switzerland

 

Global revenues (in millions): $52,901

The pharmaceuticals company was mentioned on lists from Central America, Colombia, Denmark, Ecuador, Portugal, Uruguay, and Venezuela.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#20 Accenture

#20 Accenture

Accenture

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $25,500

The consulting company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Austria, Denmark, Germany, Greece, India, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#19 Mars

#19 Mars

Mars Chocolate USA Headquarters

Image: Mars

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $30,000

The products company was mentioned on lists from Austria, Belgium, Colombia, Denmark, Finland, France, Ireland, Italy, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and Switzerland.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#18 National Instruments

#18 National Instruments

National Instruments

Image: National Instruments

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $873

The electronics company was mentioned on lists from France, Germany Italy, Japan, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#17 Telefonica

#17 Telefonica

Telefonica

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: Spain

 

Global revenues (in millions): $82,979

The telecommunications company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Brazil, Central America, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Germany, Ireland, Mexico, Peru, Spain, the United Kingdom, and Venezuela.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#16 3M

#16 3M

3M

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $26,662

The manufacturing company was named in lists from Austria, Brazil, Chile, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Peru, and Spain.

Great Place to Work Institute determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#15 Hilti

#15 Hilti

Hilti

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: Liechtenstein

 

Global revenues (in millions): $4,398

The production and building materials company was mentioned on lists from Austria Canada, Chile, Germany, India, Italy, Poland, Switzerland, and The Netherlands.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#14 Intel

#14 Intel

Intel flags

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $43,600

The information technology company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, France, India, Ireland, Japan, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#13 Medtronic

#13 Medtronic

Medtronic

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $15,800

The medical devices manufacturing company was mentioned on lists from Canada, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Spain, and The Netherlands

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#12 American Express

#12 American Express

American Express

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $27,800

The insurance and banking/credit services company was mentioned on lists from India, Japan, Mexico, Sweden, and the United States

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#11 Diageo

#11 Diageo

Diageo

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United Kingdom

 

Global revenues (in millions): $15,746

The products, beverages, and tobacco company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Central America, Colombia, Ireland, Mexico, Portugal, The Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, and Venezuela.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#10 SC Johnson

#10 SC Johnson

SC Johnson

Image: SC Johnson

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $8,800

The personal and household goods production company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Canada, Central America, Chile, Germany, Japan, Italy, Mexico, Poland, the United States, and Venezuela.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#9 Kimberly-Clark

#9 Kimberly-Clark

Kimberly-Clark

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $19,700

The household goods production company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Central America, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, France, Peru, and Venezuela.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#8 McDonald's

#8 McDonald's

McDonald's

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $24,100

The food and beverage service company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Central America, Colombia, Denmark, France, Ireland, Italy, Mexico, Norway, Peru, Switzerland, The Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, and Venezuela.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#7 Marriott

#7 Marriott

Mariott

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $11,691

The hospitality company was mentioned on lists from Brazil, India, Mexico, Peru, the United Arab Emirates, and the United States.

Great Place to Work Institute determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#6 Cisco

#6 Cisco

Cisco

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $40,040

The information technology company was mentioned on lists from Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Germany, Italy, Mexico, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland, The Netherlands, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#5 FedEx Express

#5 FedEx Express

FedEx Express

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $24,600

The transportation and package transport company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Central America, Chile, France, Ireland, Italy, Mexico, Spain, Switzerland, The Netherlands, and the United Arab Emirates.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#4 Google

#4 Google

Google

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $29,321

The information technology company and internet service provider was mentioned on lists from Australia, Brazil, Canada, India, Japan, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#3 NetApp

#3 NetApp

NetApp

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $,123

The storage and data management company was mentioned on lists from Australia, Canada, France, Germany, India, Japan, Switzerland, The Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#2 SAS

#2 SAS

SAS

Image: SAS

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $2,430

The information technology company was mentioned on lists from Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Finland, France, Germany, India, Italy, Korea, Mexico, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, The Netherlands, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

#1 Microsoft

#1 Microsoft

Microsoft

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Headquarters: United States

 

Global revenues (in millions): $69,900

The information technology and software company was mentioned on lists from Argentina, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, India, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, The Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Great Place to Work determined rankings based on the average score from surveys sent to employees. Countries must be mentioned on lists from at least five countries to be considered a best multinational company.

Just in case you aren't looking for something global

Just in case you aren't looking for something global

Random House tower

Image: Wikimedia Commons

 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 23:05  
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Around The World, Younger Workers Are Happier, But They Also Want To Leave Their Jobs
foreign-investor-real-estate-European-couple-travel

Image: emilio labrador

Younger workers are far more eager than their older counterparts to ditch their current jobs, according a new report from global HR consulting firm Mercer.

 

Surprisingly, those same young workers aged 16 to 34, with a special emphasis on the 16-to-24 group are also significantly happier at their gigs. Many of them would even recommend their employers to job seekers more often than their older colleagues would.

And this is a global phenomenon the data spans 30,000 workers from 17 countries on four continents.

Maybe it's that today's younger workers more commonly want to try out a series of jobs before settling on a single career trajectory, or that older workers have been at it long enough to be bored and jaded. Either way, employers better get a handle on their happiest (and probably hardest-working) employees to keep them around.


Australian and Argentinian workers are most likely to be contemplating an exit

Australian and Argentinian workers are most likely to be contemplating an exit

Image: Mercer

Young Italian workers are more than three times as happy with their employers as the average worker

Young Italian workers are more than three times as happy with their employers as the average worker

Image: Mercer

Young French workers are more than three times as satisfied with their jobs as the average worker

Young French workers are more than three times as satisfied with their jobs as the average worker

Image: Mercer

Young workers in Singapore are more than twice as likely to recommend their employers to others than older colleagues are

Young workers in Singapore are more than twice as likely to recommend their employers to others than older colleagues are

Image: Mercer

Now if you're looking for a job that'll make you happier, you might want to try one of these places.

 

 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 23:03  
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Why The Cain Campaign Can't Keep Their Story Straight During This Crisis
Herman Cain sexual harrassment Politico

Image: @pwgavin

No one in Washington thinks Herman Cain is doing well quashing these rumors about old sexual harassment suits.

 

His story keeps changing. He lashed out at rivals. And his natural allies are questioning his competence.

So why are Cain and his campaign failing to put this to bed? His team knew about the Politico story for ten days, and Cain himself thought these allegations would be a campaign issue in 2003 when he ran a campaign in Georgia.

J.P Freire, Senior Communications Strategist at New Media Strategies explained it to us in an e-mail.

a.) They don't have all the information on hand because they no longer have access to the very specific facts (and nuances) of the situation.

b.) Their memory is foggy regarding certain aspects, and they fear misspeaking about the issue.

c.) Their staff is at war with each other over what narrative to put out there, with the attendant risks of each approach. Who will contradict what we say? Will someone else show up? Will this only encourage others to make fraudulent claims? What is the credibility of the accuser?

d.) Their staff isn't, uh, organized the way a traditional (read: real) campaign staff would be organized, and thus less accustomed to these kind of crises, leading to an even *greater* tug-of-war. (Read Shakespeare's histories.)

e.) They are in denial about their own behavior in general and don't fully disclose to anyone, let alone campaign managers and wives. Why would you think that would change when talking to the press?

Bottom line. Candidates have trouble facing the truth about themselves. And it is difficult to impose message discipline on such a small nimble campaign.

Get ready for a bumpy ride.

 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 23:01  
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Would Having More Women On Boards Lead To Less Excessive Salaries?
David Cameron

Image: AP

After weeks on the streets worldwide, the “Occupy” protesters – with their focus on corporate “greed” – may have achieved one thing so far.

 

In Britain, they likely pushed the Conservative prime minister to propose more women be placed on governing boards of financial firms as a way to reduce high salaries and bonuses.

Companies with more female directors, said David Cameron, would be less likely to practice “the usual sort of rotating list of men patting each other’s backs and increasing the level of remuneration.”

A corporation’s methods of setting executive pay, he told Parliament Wednesday, should not be done by a “closed circle of people.” Women would bring more diverse views and a wider discussion of what is excessive pay.

He’s just guessing, of course, based simply on gender stereotypes. Women executives, in general, do ask less often for pay raises than men. But whether female board members would spread profits more evenly to company stakeholders remains unproven.

Other ideas may work better. Mr. Cameron, like many others, suggests companies release information on pay levels and give shareholders more authority over pay. Similar structural reforms would shake up corporate practices that have led to high income inequality. And attracting more women to boards will require more of them to earn MBAs and enter the business of high finance.

The task of defining “excessive” pay is difficult, but since the near-meltdown of Wall Street in 2008, it’s become a controversial topic. It would be less difficult with more transparency and accountability about a company’s compensation decisions.

Given the long history of pay discrimination, women serving on boards would bring a needed perspective on fair pay. Europe is already moving toward more women in the boardroom. In 2003, Norway began the trend by setting a quota of 40 percent for female directors and has already achieved it. While such a forced method may satisfy some, based on one study, the results were not so satisfying.

A University of Michigan study this year found an average 20 percent drop in the stock prices of Norwegian companies that brought in relatively inexperienced women as board members. “The quota led to younger and less experienced boards, increases in leverage and acquisitions, and deterioration in operating performance, consistent with less capable boards,” the study found.

That negative experience may change over time as more experienced women join boards. Britain is avoiding a strict quota system in favor of voluntary targets. Last February, the government asked the boards of the top 100 companies to be 25 percent female by 2015. So far, progress has been slow, with only a slight rise to 14 percent from 12.5 percent last year.

“Everyone, whether they are in public life or in private enterprise – they have got to be able to justify the decisions they make about pay,” says Cameron.

Perhaps reducing male “group think” in boardrooms about pay levels is one good start.

This post originally appeared on The Christian Science Monitor.

 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:57  
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El-Erian On Europe: 'Unfortunately It's A Mess', And Now Things Are Worse Than Before The Last Bailout

El-Erian

Image: Bloomberg TV

PIMCO's Mohamed El-Erian was on Bloomberg TV this morning talking Europe.

 

The most interesting part: Him saying that things are worse now than before last week's summit, since now credibility has been lost.

You can watch the video here.

The partial transcript was supplied to us by Bloomberg TV, and is below.

---------------

El-Erian on the situation in Europe and the G20 meeting in France:

" It is both disappointment and concern. It is striking that Ms. Merkel came out this morning and said they could not agree on the easy part, and the easy part was enhancing the IMF resources to help Europe. I am both worried and disappointed so far. Hopefully something will happen in the next day or so, but the signals are not good."

" We need four things. We need an agreement on Europe. We need to stabilize the European situation. Second, the world has to come together and agree on a growth and employment pact. Just like it did in April 2009 when there was a financial crisis, today we have an economic crisis and an employment crisis. We need to see different countries coming together with a common purpose. Third, let's not forget the hot spots in the world like North Africa. We need something there. Finally, there are longer term issues that are just as important, like climate change. That would have been an original agenda, but the G20 got hijacked by Europe."

On recently returning from Europe and his assessment from having been there:

" Unfortunately, it is a mess. There are three parties to a solution and all three are unraveling. There are the debtor countries and they are starting to have even bigger political issues. There are the official creditors and they cannot agree on providing support. And then there are the private creditors. It is not sure that they will get all of the banks to agree on the 50% reduction for Greece, which is the minimum Greece needs. So I'm afraid it's a bit of a mess out there."

On whether Europe is worse off now having gone through the agreement on Greek debt last week:

" We are [worse off now], because every time you get to an agreement and it unravels, the credibility of the process is undermined. Keep the image in your of the snowball rolling downhill. The problems get bigger and it becomes even more difficult to control the snowball. We cannot afford disappointment after disappointment. Europe needs to turn a corner and start building the basis for a solution."

On European leaders questioning whether or not they should belong in the euro:

" You are getting leaders saying strange things. It started with Mr. Sarkozy last Thursday saying Greece should not be in the euro zone. Now you have questioning left, right, and center. The leaders need to get on the same page. The narrative is important here. When there are difficulties that there is a conflict between regional priorities and national realities. That is what we're seeing in Italy. That is what we're seeing in Greece, countries like Germany and France as well. This is a very delicate period."

On today's jobs report:

" The good news is that the report in relative terms is better than expected mainly because of the revisions to August and September. The bad news is that we are still in this unemployment crisis, so no, it does not do enough to remove the risk of stall speed, which is growth but not fast enough growth. We need to see much higher employment creation to get over this issue."

On what it will take to achieve faster growth in the U.S.:

" We have fundamental structural problems in the labor market, housing market, credit market. We don't have enough infrastructure. These are a series of structural issues. We also have to reconcile medium-term fiscal reform with short-term stimulus. There are some big issues that are not as yet addressed sufficiently, certainly not addressed in a comprehensive manner."

On whether there is an increasing risk that the U.S. is losing control of its own economy because of the crisis in Europe:

" The reality is that we live in a globalized economy. Europe is a major economic area. It is an important trading partner. European banks are an important part of the financial situation. No country, whether it is the U.S. or China, is totally immune from what is happening in Europe. The important thing is to be able to navigate it and that depends on your internal dynamics. We are not immune from Europe. Nobody is in the world, but different countries are better or less able to navigate it."

On how central banks have been handling the situation so far:

" They have been doing heavy lifting. The Fed in particular has been the only policymaker really in play. The problem is they don't have enough instruments. You must always remember that central banks are monetary institutions. They can only be a bridge to somewhere. In order to be a bridge to somewhere good, you need other policymakers to also contribute. That is what has failed Europe and the U.S. so far."

On the October market rally and whether we won't see activity like that for a long time:

" This is an incredibly headline-driven market, a macro-driven market, as opposed to a bottoms up market. What we should expect is enormous volatility. We suggest to investors to play general defense and selective offense. I think it's important to be generally defensive because the world is very fluid, but there are values out there."

On whether there's more value in the U.S. than in Europe right now:

" I see value where balance sheets are strong, where companies are exposed to growth in emerging markets and where they're relatively immune to erratic policymaking. That's where value is and it's all over the world."

 

 
warrenbegger
    04-Nov-2011 22:46  
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So messy ah? LOL!
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:41  
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CHART OF THE DAY: The Scariest Jobs Chart Ever



We like to run this classic Calculated Risk chart every month after the non-farm payrolls report, but that's because it's so shocking to look at each time.

What it does is compare every post-WWII recession, and look at the progression of job losses from the beginning of it, all the way down to the trough, and then through the comeback.

As you can see, this recession hasn't been like any other. First, the collapse in unemployment has been far deeper.

Second, the comeback has been incredibly mediocre, not at all v-shaped like in past recessions.
scariest chart october

Image: Calculated Risk

scariest chart october

Image: Calculated Risk

 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:38  
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The Next Big US-China Fight: This One Might Get Ugly.

You know I don’t like to be the bearer of bad news, a buzzkill doomsayer like those short-seller assholes. However, I do feel responsible for reporting on the news as is, without filtering it through rose-colored glasses.

 

So it comes with a bit of trepidation and sadness that I have to relay this bit of information:

China on Friday unveiled its three-step plan for phasing out energy-inefficient incandescent light bulbs in an attempt to promote energy conservation and emissions reduction.

Imports and sales of 100-watt-and-higher incandescent light bulbs will be banned as of Oct 1, 2012, Xie Ji, deputy director of the environmental protection department with the National Development and Reform Commission said at a conference.

This will be followed by a ban on imports and sales of 60-watt-and-above incandescent light bulbs starting October 1, 2014, he said.

You gotta admit, her bulbs are rather nice.

I know, I know. It’s a scary situation. For those of you who have been living under a rock for most of this year, you may not be familiar with this issue or why this has the potential of throwing an explosive, radioactive wrench into the bilateral diplomatic works. Allow me to explain.

The U.S. passed the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 during the Bush Administration, which included new energy efficiency standards for light bulbs.

The resulting political shitstorm has been dramatic:

The law, which sets standards to make the bulbs more efficient and reduce electricity use, has been derided by Reps. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., Joe Barton, R-Texas, and Rand Paul, R-Ky., and Sen. Mike Enzi, R-Wyo., as Exhibit A of the liberal assault on the free enterprise system.

This is a serious group that includes a Republican presidential hopeful. And they aren’t alone. Texas Governor Rick Perry, also running for president, signed a bill into law that purports to nullify the U.S. federal legislation. Sure, it’s unconstitutional, but the status quo was unacceptable to Texans. After all, nowhere in the Bible does it say that Jesus used a CFL bulb.

And that wasn’t the end of the story. Rep. Barton (R-Texaco) earlier this year also fought back:

In 2011 Rep. Joe Barton of Texas and 14 other Republicans joined to introduce the Better Use of Light Bulbs Act or BULB Act (H.R. 91), which would have repealed Subtitle B of Title III of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007. Barton was opposed to regulation, while Rep. Michael Burgess pointed to jobs purportedly lost to China and voiced a fear of mercury problems resulting from CFL use. On July 12, 2011, H.R. 2417 failed to pass by the required two-thirds majority in the U.S. House.

But here’s the kicker. The House vote was 233 – 193 (voting “Yea” was another GOP presidential candidate, Ron Paul). In other words, although it failed to get a 2/3 majority, it was still passed with a majority of the House, meaning that most House members think Americans have a God-given right to buy incandescent light bulbs.

The media was also on their side. Well, at least Fox News and some blogs:

Let’s talk a little bit about something known as the Better Use Of Light Bulbs Act, B-U-L-B Act, later on today in the House of Representatives they’re going to bring this up. And what it is, is it’s — they’re going to try to repeal — you know, Congress passed that kooky law that said incandescent bulbs, like this, got to go away got to use those pigtail things that are made in China that have mercury in them, instead of the bulbs made by American workers. [Fox News, Fox & Friends, 7/11/11] (Media Matters)

So where does that leave the U.S.-China relationship? Well, according to www.fakechinahearsayrumor.com, after hearing about today’s NDRC announcement, Rep. Joe Barton, overheard in the men’s room at a D.C. Taco Bell, threatened retaliation:

Not only don’t those Godless Commies recognize Jesus Christ as their Lord and Savior, but now they’re going after incandescent bulbs? I bet they’ll think twice about that when Congress blocks all Chinese student visas. While I’m at it, maybe I’ll cut off all corn and wheat exports and order the FBI to investigate Panda Express. Maybe I’ll even get the IRS to go after that artist guy for his U.S.-based income. Wait, I think somebody beat me to that one.

Look, next year is an election year. Obama is circling the political drain and the Republicans already control the House. It’s very possible that a pro-choice candidate (i.e., choice of incandescent or CFL) will get in with a Congress predisposed to do the bidding of the bulb lobby.

Once they get their own house in order, revising U.S. law, it stands to reason that China trade sanctions will follow, along with a possible naval blockade of ports used to export CFLs and/or drone strikes against CFL factories.

I don’t know about you, but I’m already winding up my business and looking to settle down in another hemisphere.

 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:36  
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The Dow Is Off 143, Italian Yields Are Blowing Out, Jefferies Is Falling, And Berlusconi Is Sounding Nuts

This is proving to be a very hairy day.

To start, the Dow is off 135. At one point, after the non-farm payrolls report, futures were in positive territory, but all that's been reversed.

It seems the situation in Europe is just too grim for US stocks to ignore.

The most obvious sign of the grimness is the Italian-German 10-year bond spread, which continues to blow out. Nobody has any faith in Italy.

Not helping the matters is Silvio Berlusconi, who, frankly, sounds a bit delusional, admitting that the IMF has offered Italy assistance, while claiming that everything is great in Italy because -- seriously -- the restaurants remain full.

Evidently he doesn't put much weight in this morning's disastrous ISM Services number, which basically confirms a recession.

Of course, it's not just Italy that's seemingly in recession. German factory orders also had a big splat today.

Finally, going back to the domestic scene, Jefferies shares are falling, losing 6.2%, as it can't escape that nagging feeling, which has been going on for a few days now, that it's in trouble due to Europe.
 

 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:34  
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European shares fall after Merkel comment, U.S. jobs
Dramatic storm clouds over the towering edifice of the European Central Bank and Euro currency symbol surrounded by the yellow stars of the European Union flag in downtown Frankfurt, Germany
* FTSEurofirst 300 down 0.7 percent

  * Benchmark set to post first weekly loss in six weeks

  * Support from Greek move to drop referendum plan

  By Blaise Robinson

  PARIS, Nov 4 (Reuters) - European stocks moved lower on Friday afternoon after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said hardly any countries in the G20 have said they will participate in the euro zone bailout fund.

  The comment eclipsed relief among investors that Greece had ditched controversial plans to hold a referendum on its bailout, which calmed fears of an imminent sovereign debt default.

  The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 0.7 percent at 983.40 at 1312 GMT.

  After a rollercoaster week, the index is on track to post a weekly loss of 3.4 percent, its first weekly loss in six weeks.

  Investors were also assessing U.S. monthly jobs data showing employment rose less than expected, while a drop in the jobless rate to a six-month low of 9.0 percent and revisions to prior months' job gains signalled improvement in the labour market.

  In Europe, data showed private sector activity in the euro zone shrank at its fastest pace in 28 months in October, pointing towards a new recession for the region.

  Cyclical miners continued to recover on Friday, with Rio Tinto up 1.3 percent and Anglo American , which announced a $5.1 billion deal to raise its stake in diamond miner De Beers, up 1.8 percent.

  Banking stocks, still reeling from a slump this week, were mixed. BNP Paribas was up 1.2 percent, while Commerzbank fell 4.6 percent after taking a Greek impairment hit, forcing it to ditch its 2012 operating profit target. " The situation is very unpredictable. Just look at yesterday's wild 20 percent swings on some banking stocks intraday," said Pierre-Alexis Dumont, fund manager at OFI, which has 47 billion euros assets under management.

  " That makes life very difficult for stock pickers. But it has been fertile ground for short-term plays within ranges, as well as technical analysis."

 

  Greece's debt crisis was still at the forefront of investor minds, with Prime Minister George Papandreou facing a confidence vote after ditching his plan for a referendum on a bailout package. Government sources said a deal has been struck with the cabinet under which he agreed to quit after negotiating a coalition with conservative rivals.

  " Valuation ratios are interesting and companies show resilience, while in the same time, the general mood is very negative so there is scope for a rally. But as long as visibility does not go beyond two days, long onlys won't take bold positions on the market," Dumont said.

  Around Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 index was down 0.1 percent, Germany's DAX index down 1.9 percent, and France's CAC 40 down 1.1 percent.
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:33  
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Balancing the U.S. economy and Greece
Global Markets
By Jeremy Gaunt, European Investment Correspondent

  LONDON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - The most profound event of the past week for investors may not have been either the on-off referendum plans in Athens or the machinations of the Group of 20 in Cannes, but a comment from Ben Bernanke in Washington.

  The Federal Reserve chairman essentially pledged to take more action -- if necessary -- to make the U.S. economy stronger.

  Looked at from one standpoint, this was like saying to investors that if the euro zone crisis starts dragging Europe into recession, the Fed is there to help bail out world growth and maintain flows into riskier assets.

  Conversely, if the euro zone does manage to contain its Greek problem then investors will be able to continue the risk rally that began in the lead up to the latest bailout agreement.

  " That's better news than not, but we have to be cautious," said Karen Olney, head of European Thematic Research at UBS.

  " The U.S. will probably be one of the stronger pockets of growth in the developed world over the next year or so. The euro zone seems to be the swing factor."

  A surprise interest rate cut from the European Central Bank, along with a confident performance from new president Mario Draghi, will have helped risk appetite in the otherwise crisis-ridden euro zone.

  It is mainly the improvement in the U.S. economy, however, that may allow for investors to salvage something out of the rest of the year.

  Jobs data on Friday was disappointing, but it did show growth and employment is known as a lagging indicator.

  The week ahead brings the latest take on U.S. consumer sentiment, which should give some idea of whether the better data is trickling down to the man and woman in the mall.

 

  GREECE

  It is, meanwhile, a brave person who can predict what will happen in the euro zone crisis, particularly when it comes to Greece.

  The referendum debacle -- a call for a vote that could have destroyed the whole bailout agreement, then a sharp reversal in the face of EU and domestic anger -- has undermined what residual investor confidence there was in Athens.

  More significantly, perhaps, it led to the ditching of a taboo. Greece's possible exit from the euro zone is now spoken of publicly by European leaders for the first time.

  If there are further signs that Greece will not live up to its commitments then planning for a euro zone exit will have to gear up.

  The regular meeting of euro zone finance ministers on Monday may provide hints. But even if not, investors are keen to get more details about the bailout plans that have already been agreed.

  Franz Wenzel, senior investment strategist at AXA Investment Managers in Paris, said one key would be plans for private investors to accept a 50 percent cut in the face value of Greek bonds.

  The issue is whether this can be done without triggering credit default swaps, insurance policies on the debt.

  " We want clarity on that," he said.

  Investors will also be wary of any further spreading of the crisis to bigger economies, notably Italy, despite the ECB's bond-buying efforts.

  Under fierce pressure from financial markets and European peers, Rome has agreed to have the International Monetary Fund and the EU monitor its progress with long delayed reforms of pensions, labour markets and privatisation.

  Such a move may be taken positively by investors, but it does underline the size of the problem.

  " The pressure from the G20 ... will surely help to make Italian policy makers understand there is a sense of urgency," said Giorgio Radaelli, chief strategist at wealth manager BSI, adding that the parliamentary difficulties in Italy were not that different from those in Greece.

  Elsewhere, some emerging market investors may be on their toes in the coming week over Ukraine. The IMF left Ukraine after its latest visit without a deal to start re-lending. (Editing by Mike Peacock)
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:31  
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Wall St extends losses indexes down 1 pct
Times Square, New York
NEW YORK, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Wall Street extended losses on Friday with the three major indexes falling more than 1 percent on uncertainties surrounding the debt crisis in Europe and a mixed report on the U.S. labor market.

  The Dow Jones industrial average was down 114.28 points, or 0.95 percent, at 11,930.19. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was down 13.85 points, or 1.10 percent, at 1,247.30. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 28.31 points, or 1.05 percent, at 2,669.66. (Reporting by Angela Moon Editing by Padraic Cassidy)
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:30  
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Greek PM faces survival vote, bailout in balance
Greek presidential guards perform a change of shift in front of the parliament in Athens
By Karolina Tagaris and Renee Maltezou

  ATHENS (Reuters) - Greek parliamentarians prepared to give their verdict on Prime Minister George Papandreou on Friday in a confidence vote which could decide the fate of both the nation's European bailout deal and the global economy.

  After intense pressure from European leaders, the government confirmed it had dropped plans to hold a referendum on the bailout package, which had threatened an immediate crisis in the euro zone and cast doubt on Greece's membership.

  But the future of the 130 billion euro (111.6 billion pound) deal remained hostage to wrangling among Greek politicians, much to the disgust of voters living through dire economic times.

  Papandreou says he announced the referendum on Monday -- sending shockwaves through world markets -- to ensure political consensus for the deal. His opponents have since said they will back it conditionally but accuse him of clinging to power.

  " He is clinging to the steering wheel of a car that is heading over a cliff," Yannis Mihelakis, spokesman for the conservative New Democracy party, told Mega TV.

  Opposition politicians want Papandreou's resignation and early elections as a price for their support for the bailout deal -- which aims not only to save Greece from bankruptcy but prevent its problems engulfing bigger euro zone economies.

  For euro zone leaders -- and Greece's battle to avoid a debt default -- the worst possible outcome would be a stalemate, prolonging the agony over the 130 billion bailout which euro zone leaders agreed only last week.

  Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos promised to drop the referendum plan in telephone calls to European leaders, his ministry said.

  TOO TIGHT TO FORECAST

  Analysts said Friday night's parliamentary confidence vote, which Papandreou called when he announced the referendum plan, was too tight to forecast. However, they had a hunch that Papandreou might just scrape through even though 24 hours earlier his socialist government was on the verge of collapse.

  " This is the first confidence vote in many , years where we cannot tell what will happen in parliament. My feeling is that the prime minister will probably have a positive outcome today," said Costas Panagopoulos, head of Alco pollsters.

  PASOK has 152 deputies in the 300-member parliament. But one lawmaker said that while she would stay in the party, she would not back the government in the confidence vote, meaning Papandreou could count at most on the support of 151 deputies.

  Only one more defection would strip the government of its majority and probably trigger an early election.

  Electoral mathematics meant little on the streets of Athens, where Greeks are struggling with spending cuts, higher taxes and soaring unemployment.

  " Papandreou may get the 151 votes he needs tonight. But what does this mean for us? This instability is killing us," said Panayiotis Theofilas, 52, father of two and a shop owner.

  " Yesterday I spent all day in front of the TV, worrying. I couldn't work. What if they throw us out of the euro? We are finished."

  For many Greeks, Papandreou has turned into the villain rather than the tragic hero struggling to overcome economic, political and social problems that have built up over years.

  " The referendum was the worst idea Papandreou ever had. He turned the whole world upside down and now he wants a vote of confidence? How dare he? We are all very angry with him," said Efi Peroyannaki, a 50-year-old shop assistant.

  " What happened this week was a disgrace. We looked bad and the Europeans are already sick of paying for us."

  CONDITIONAL OFFER

  On Thursday New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras dropped his opposition to the bailout, which is being pushed by Papandreou's PASOK party, on condition that a short-lived coalition government is formed to take the country to polls.

  That means the two main forces in Greek politics now back the deal, despite the new wave of austerity it demands -- on top of cuts which have pushed the economy into recession and brought Greeks on to the streets in sometimes violent protests.

  However, in the fractured world of Greek politics this does not ensure the package will win rapid parliamentary approval.

  Samaras made Papandreou's stepping down a condition for forming a coalition to pass the bailout quickly through parliament and cancel the referendum. Papandreou told parliament he was not tied to his post.

  But people in Athens also had low expectations of the opposition and its ability to work with PASOK. " Papandreou looks stupid and Samaras so arrogant. They have nothing in common and they don't agree on anything," said Theofilas.

  Through waves of austerity policies demanded by Greece's international lenders, Papandreou has carried the parliamentary group of his PASOK party with him, despite much grumbling within the ranks.

  But a steady trickle of defections has reduced his majority to the point that one or two waverers could inflict a defeat in the confidence vote, expected as late as midnight (2200 GMT).

  UNFOLDING DRAMA

  Greeks gripped by the events gathered around newsstands to catch a glimpse of the headlines on Friday. The financial daily Kerdos captured the mood with its headline: " Everything on a knife-edge" , while the pro-government daily Tan Neap ran with: " A balancing act on the edge of a cliff."

  Papandreou has called on his PASOK party to rally behind him in the confidence vote. But his public bravado appeared to mask an acceptance that his term may come to an end soon.

  Government sources said Papandreou had struck a deal at a cabinet meeting on Thursday under which he would stand down after he had negotiated a coalition agreement with the conservative opposition -- provided he survives Friday's vote.

  Papandreou admitted he had made a mistake in calling on Monday for the referendum on a bailout, the sources said.

  Even some of his loyalists have suggested it was time for him to quit after they backed him at the confidence vote.

  " I do not want to humiliate my party's president -- the country's prime minister -- by toppling him tonight," PASOK lawmaker Telemachos Hytiris told state television.

  " But I want him now to rise to the occasion as a prime minister who has won the vote of confidence with prestige and start discussions tomorrow on a unity government so the country can move ahead."

  (Additional reporting by Reuters Athens bureau Writing by David Stamp and Deepa Babington editing by Philippa Fletcher)
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:29  
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Syrian forces kill 8, government offers amnesty
Anti-government protesters carry the coffins of Sunni Muslims killed on Wednesday, in Hula near Homs
By Khaled Yacoub Oweis

  AMMAN (Reuters) - Syrian security forces killed at least eight people and wounded dozens as they cracked down on protests after Friday prayers, activists said, casting doubt on whether an Arab League plan can end months of bloodshed.

  The government offered an amnesty to anyone with weapons if they reported to police within a week, " as long as they did not commit any crimes of killing," state television reported.

  The gesture did not appear to be part of the Arab League plan, accepted by Syria on Wednesday, under which the army would leave turbulent cities, political prisoners would walk free and a dialogue with the opposition would begin within two weeks.

  Violence has, if anything, intensified since the agreement was announced, amid reports of sectarian killings.

  Troops fired on protests that erupted after Friday prayers in many towns, killing at least two people in Kanaker, south of Damascus, two in the city of Homs, where tanks were again in action, and one in Saqba, near the capital, activists said.

  " Lots of people fell on the ground with bullet wounds and we are afraid some will not make it," Mohammed, a Kanaker resident, said by telephone.

  Tough media curbs have made it hard to verify events in Syria since protests against President Bashar al-Assad began in March, inspired by revolts against Arab autocrats elsewhere.

  Syrian state television denied any killings, and aired footage it said were from areas where protests were reported, showing crowds calmly leaving mosques after prayers.

  But YouTube footage, purportedly from many towns and cities, showed thousands of people waving flags, with some shouting: " Mother do not cry, Bashar's days are numbered."

  One clip, from the town of Taybet al-Imam, near Hama, showed crowds marching along a main street where huge Syrian flags from the pre-Baathist era were draped over buildings, along with the Libyan flag adopted by those who overthrew Muammar Gaddafi.

  Homs has emerged as a protest flashpoint and a centre for emerging armed resistance to government forces. Activists said tank and sniper fire killed at least 22 people in the central city on Thursday, mainly in the old Bab Amro quarter.

  The violence in Homs, where tanks were bombarding for the second straight day, illustrates how difficult it will be to implement the Arab League plan in a country locked in a deadly struggle between Assad and foes of his 11-year rule.

  Diplomats who have seen the agreement say it lacks any timeline for implementation.

  " UGLY SCENE"

  Fears that unrest is taking a sectarian turn have mounted this week amid reports of killings of members of Assad's minority Alawite community and counter-killings of Sunni Muslims, who form a majority of Syria's 20 million people.

  State news agency SANA quoted several Homs residents describing attacks by gunmen on shared taxis on Thursday.

  One woman, named Ikhlas Ashour, said gunmen forced passengers out of the taxi and robbed them of their money and identity cards before killing all the men.

  " It was an indescribably ugly scene, I felt like I was living a nightmare," she was quoted as saying.

  Another resident, Ghayath Darwish, told SANA gunmen killed some male passengers at random and dragged away their corpses.

  SANA also said the bodies of 13 soldiers killed by " armed gangs" in Homs, the city of Hama and the northwestern province of Idlib were returned to their families for burial on Thursday.

  The opposition has so far rejected talks with Assad as long as violence continues and has said the only way to restore peace is for the president to step down immediately.

  " We have already seen the regime's bloody response to the Arab initiative today in the form of intensified shelling on Homs," Ahmad Ramadan, spokesman for the opposition Syrian National Council, said on Thursday.

  Security forces arrested dozens of people in the early hours in some northern Damascus suburbs, activists said.

  In Maarat al-Numaan, a town on the Damascus-Aleppo highway, one resident said troops manned roadblocks and snipers lurked on rooftops. Nevertheless, crowds were shouting " Freedom, freedom, despite you, Assad," he said.

  The United Nations says more than 3,000 people have been killed since the uprising against 41 years of Assad family rule began in March. The authorities accuse Islamist militants and foreign-backed armed gangs of killing 1,100 security forces.

  Western sanctions and growing criticism from Turkey and Arab neighbours have raised pressure on Syria to end the bloodshed.

  The United States said on Thursday it saw no evidence that Syria was taking steps to fulfil the Arab League deal.

  " This Assad regime has a long deep and continued history of broken promises and it has significant blood on its hands," State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said.
 

 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 22:26  
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Gold eases after U.S. jobs, euro worries lift dollar
Gold Bars
(Updates with U.S. jobs data, refreshes prices)

  By Amanda Cooper

  LONDON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Gold fell on Friday after data showed the U.S. economy generated fewer than expected jobs last month but enough to send unemployment to its lowest in six months, which boosted the dollar and other risk-linked assets.

  Spot gold fell 0.3 percent to $1,758.34 an ounce by 1337 GMT, but was set for a gain of 1 percent this week.

  The U.S. Labor Department said 80,000 workers were added to non-farm payrolls in October, below forecasts for a rise of 95,000, but the U.S. monthly employment report also showed the jobless rate fell to 9.0 percent from 9.1 percent, its lowest in six months.

  " Gold would benefit from the idea of a euro zone break-up. We don't think this is going to happen, but it's certainly not a zero-probability event," said Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Lewis.

  " The risk for us is we start to see more euro weakness over the next few months, that is probably our main concern," he said.

  U.S. stocks opened down, Treasury prices edged higher and the dollar rose nearly half a percent against a basket of currencies on the back of the uncertain outcome of Greece's sovereign debt crisis.

  Gold's inverse relation to the dollar makes it more profitable for non-U.S. holders of the metal to sell it.

  Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou faces a knife-edge confidence vote later on Friday, with the fate of the nation's bailout in the balance.

  Meanwhile, Italy agreed to allow the International Monetary Fund and the European Union to monitor its progress in achieving structural reform as yields on Italian debt stayed near levels believed to be unsustainable for Rome's existing finances.

  The European Central Bank delivered a surprise rate cut on Thursday citing slowing growth and raised the chances of the euro zone entering a mild recession towards the end of the year.

  RATES HELP

  With the prospect of rates in the euro zone set to ease further, gold should gain more competitive advantage over assets that bear yields or dividends which can suffer in an environment of loose monetary policy.

  Real interest rates, those which strip out the headline rate of consumer inflation, are in negative territory in more than half of the Group of 20 richest nations, Reuters data shows.

  " There are still more rate cuts to come and the interest rate environment looks pretty constructive towards gold and risk aversion and equity risk premia, which are rising rapidly, continue to be constructive," said Deutsche's Lewis.

  " So on the margins, we hold the view that gold would benefit from tail-event protection," Lewis said, referring to events that are considered to be unlikely, such as the breakup of the euro zone, but that nonetheless should they come to pass, would favour an asset such as gold.

  According to the U.S. options market, traders are increasing their bets on the price of gold moving lower in the near term, as evidenced by a rise in holdings of put options.

  Open interest in put options at $1,550 has more than doubled to over 13,000 lots, accounting for more than 13 million ounces of gold, in the last six weeks.

  However, the bullish bets put on in September that the gold price would have hit $2,000 or more by Nov. 22, the date of the upcoming options expiry, have only been modestly scaled back and most open interest in call options is centred at $2,000, according to data from exchange owner CME Group.

  Adding to the firmer tone of the gold market was more evidence of central bank purchases of the metal. Data from the IMF this week showed Thailand, Russia and Bolivia bought gold in September. Thailand bought over 15 tonnes, making it the third largest official purchaser of bullion this year.

  The price of gold hit a record $1,920.30 an ounce in September before subsiding to current levels.

  " Gold's price correction in late September probably encouraged more buying, but we do not think price is a very significant factor for central banks who decide to increase their gold holdings - after all, they were also willing takers even when prices were near all-time highs in August," said UBS strategist Edel Tully in a note.

  " As gold continues to take its cues from the euro and risk assets, consistent official purchases offers some comfort to investors, as they help provide the yellow metal with underlying support," she said.

  Silver was down 0.5 percent on the day, trading around $34.27 an ounce, platinum was off 0.4 percent to $1,627.74 an ounce and palladium flat on the day at $652.97. (Reporting by Amanda Cooper Editing by Jason Neely)
 
 
tanglinboy
    04-Nov-2011 22:12  
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Dow will be down tonight
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 21:14  
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Crude extend the bullish run into third session this morning

Crude oil futures are trading with an upside bias into the European session with continued focus on the debt-laden Greece, the progress among the G20 leaders, and U.S. jobs report all supported by relief that the Greek referendum will not take place.

Crude oil built on yesterday’s gains when the contracts rallied 1.7% on news that Greece will not hold the referendum and Prime Minister Papandreou stepped back from the call with agreement that the opposition will back the new EU bailout.

December futures are currently trading higher by 0.17% at $94.22 rebounding from the low of $93.60 and off the high set at $94.49 a barrel.

Investors are closely watching the developments in Europe with one eye on Greece and the other on Cannes. The progress seen is that Greece might avert default for now and go back to the only accepted path, which is the EU support and bailout and avoid falling out of the euro. Papandreou said that it was never about the referendum and backing from the opposition for the new bailout and the consensus negates the need for the referendum, and finance minister Evangelos Venizelos also said to lawmakers in Athens yesterday that the referendum will not be held as he lead the opposition in the part against the premier.

Still, the eyes remain on a confidence vote in parliament in Greece, where reports said that if the government wins the confidence vote Papandreou agreed to step-down to make way for a coalition government to secure the political stability and avoid political vacuum or early elections for now. The government should secure the agreement for the new bailout and that is the paramount importance before they take the decision to hold new elections.

Markets found the news positive, and the race to contain the crisis a positive indication that might save the global economy from landing into a deep harsh recession. They also welcomed the ECB’s decision to cut rates for now to ease the economic downturn, especially as Draghi said that Europe might be heading to a mild recession.

The developments in Greece and continued efforts from the G20 leaders to contain the crisis are supporting hope in the market and continued crude gains. The leaders ended their first day of meeting with the debt crisis still dominating the agenda, as they feel the recent setback in Greece forced European leader to miss the deadline given and talks focus on utilizing global support to ease the strain and protect systemic nations by expanding the fire power of the IMF.

We see the markets struggling still amid the high uncertainty over the outlook and with the never ending Greek drama. So far the progress is supporting the market and the final event will be a break or make for markets, the infamous jobs report from the United States.

Investors have been eyeing good macroeconomic data from the US economy which eased the woes of recession. The data today can have the support for crude’s rally to continue or reverse again south.

The market expects 95 thousand jobs gain and unemployment to linger at 9.1% and any better than expected data will have for sure a positive impact on the market while weak numbers on the contrary can erase the rally seen the past sessions, especially as we come to the end of the week and uncertainty is still governing the final call from the G20 which will surely come after markets close for the weekend today.
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 20:57  
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Republicans: We Don't Care About The Cain Scandal

A majority of likely Republican voters in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll say that the sexual harassment allegations against Herman Cain are 'not serious' and an even larger majority say it will make no difference in who they support for the GOP nomination.

 

The poll, conducted from Monday to Thursday, has Cain in a statistical tie with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney for the lead — with Romney at 24 percent and Cain at 23 percent.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry is a distant third, with 13 percent — in a statistical tie with former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, who is at 12 percent.

Fully 55 percent of likely GOP voters say the charges are 'not serious' — a number that increased throughout the week as no victims came forward, according to the poll. Just 23 percent say the scandal would make them less likely to vote for Cain, while 69 percent say it will have no difference.

The race for the nomination is still in flux, with 69 percent of GOP voters — and 71 percent of Romney backers and 66 percent of Cain supporters — saying there is a chance they will change their minds before the nomination.

The poll has a margin of error of ±5 percent.

Read the full poll results here >
 
 
krisluke
    04-Nov-2011 20:52  
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These Are The Ten Most Powerful People In Europe Right Now

Forbes has just published its annual list of the world's most powerful people which is sure to cause no little debate.

 

There's sure to be plenty of arguments over who did and didn't make the list. Maybe, just maybe, there might be one or two eyebrows raised at Barak Obama's resurgence at the top of the list. Obama previously fell to second behind China's Hu Jintao last year.

You can see the full list here.

But enough of other continents, let's have a look at the continent on the tip of everyone's tongues.

#10 Dmitry Medvedev

#10 Dmitry Medvedev
Age: 46

 

Country: Russia

Role: President of Russia

SOURCE: Forbes

#9 Recep Erdogan

#9 Recep Erdogan

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Image: AP

Age: 57

 

Country: Turkey

Role: Prime Minister of Turkey

SOURCE: Forbes

#8 Christine Lagarde

#8 Christine Lagarde
Age: 55

 

Country: France

Role: Managing Director of IMF

SOURCE: Forbes

#7 Silvio Berlusconi

#7 Silvio Berlusconi

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Age: 75

 

Country: Italy

Role: Prime Minister of Italy

SOURCE: Forbes

#6 Nicolas Sarkozy

#6 Nicolas Sarkozy
Age: 56

 

Country: France

Role: President of France

SOURCE: Forbes

#5 Mario Draghi

#5 Mario Draghi

Image: AP/Riccardo De Luca

Age: 64

 

Country: Italy

Role: President of European Central Bank

SOURCE: Forbes

#4 David Cameron

#4 David Cameron
Age: 45

 

Country: UK

Role: Prime Minister of UK

SOURCE: Forbes

#3 Pope Benedict XVI

Age: 84

 

Country: Vatican (Born in Germany)

Role: Head of the Roman Catholic Church

SOURCE: Forbes

#2 Angela Merkel

#2 Angela Merkel

Image: AP

Age: 57

 

Country: Germany

Role: Chancellor of Germany

SOURCE: Forbes

#1 Vladimir Putin

#1 Vladimir Putin

Image: AP

Age: 59

 

Country: Russia

Role: Prime Minister of Russia

SOURCE: Forbes

Want More? Click here for a beginner's guide to Putin >

 
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