
Phillip Securities on M1
http://sg-shares.blogspot.com/2012/01/m1_18.html
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Monday, Jan 16, 2012
AsiaOne
M1 net profit up 4.5 per cent
Net profit for Singapore telco M1 Limited (M1) for the year ended 31 December 2011 increased 4.5 per cent to $164.1 million.
In the unaudited group financial results, operating revenue grew 8.8 per cent to $1,064.9 million, driven by higher service revenue and handset sales. Service revenue grew 2.4 per cent to $750.5 million, benefiting from growth in mobile customer base, as well as higher contribution from fixed services.
Revenue from non-voice services rose by 3.7 percentage points to make up 35.6 per cent of service revenue, driven by continued growth in smartphone customer base. This customer base now accounts for about 67 per cent of total postpaid customers.
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At the end of December lsat year, its total mobile customer base grew by 104,000 in 2011 to reach 2.015 million customers. It also has 44,000 fixed services customers and out of which, 22,000 were fibre customers.
" The coverage of the Next Generation Nationwide Broadband Network (NGNBN) is expected to be nationwide by mid-year and take-up of fibre services is likely to gain momentum. With our newly launched NGNBN active network and soon to be completed nationwide LTE network, M1 is well placed to capture data growth in both the fixed and mobile segments," said Ms Karen Kooi, Chief Executive Officer of M1.
" Based on the current economic outlook and our state of readiness to address the growth segments, we are likely to maintain stable performance for the year 2012," she added.
The Board of Directors has recommended a final tax-exempt dividend of 7.9 cents per share, taking full year payout to 80 per cent of net profit after tax for 2011.
Business Times - 17 Jan 2012 M1's Q4 profit inches up 0.4% Operating expenses eat into strong sales final dividend of 7.9 cents By JOYCE HOOI M1's net profit edged up 0.4 per cent to $37.6 million for its fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2011, while revenue surged 21.3 per cent to $317.1 million. For the full financial year, net profit rose 4.5 per cent to $164.1 million. Revenue for the same period increased 8.8 per cent to $1.06 billion from $979.2 million. M1 has proposed a final dividend of 7.9 cents per share. Including the interim dividend, the total dividend was 14.5 cents per share, representing an 80 per cent payout of net profit. Earnings per share for the quarter and full year were 4.1 cents and 18.1 cents respectively, compared with 4.2 cents and 17.5 cents in the year-earlier period. Though Q4 revenue was driven up by higher service and handset sales, the bottomline only rose slightly because of higher operating expenses, which increased 26 per cent over the year to $272.7 million. Q4's higher expenses were partly due to higher acquisition cost per post-paid customer, which shot up to $423 after hovering below the $300 mark in the two preceding quarters. This was attributed to the high demand for the iPhone 4S that was launched in the quarter. For the full year, however, customer acquisition cost fell 2.6 per cent to $342. Smartphone users make up about 67 per cent of M1's total post-paid customer base. In 2011, M1 added 45,000 new post-paid mobile subscribers, bringing the total to 1.05 million. Including prepaid customers, M1's total mobile customer base for the year was 2.02 million, an increase of 104,000 subscribers. M1, which was the first to introduce specific price segmentation based on usage of 3G mobile data plans last year, will reinforce the same pricing principle with the Long Term Evolution (or 4G) data bundles by repackaging them according to customer usage. 'We believe it's fairer to our customers to make them pay for what they use so that the experience of the majority is not impacted by the minority who hog the bandwidth,' said M1 CEO Karen Kooi. Last month, SingTel revealed that 11 per cent of dongle and tablet users take up 60 per cent of data traffic, a consumption pattern made possible by generous 3G data caps. Ms Kooi said the data usage pattern that M1 has seen is 'similar' to its competitors'. '10-15 per cent of our base are hogging the bandwidth. With the revised pricing, we hope to rebalance that,' she said. Even as the telco moves to further monetise data, the uncertain economic outlook for the year might have an impact on roaming revenue, especially if travel is curtailed, Ms Kooi said. 'What we are seeing is the trend of people, instead of roaming with their mobile phone, they ... buy a local prepaid card for either voice or data. Sales of our prepaid cards at our airport outlet grew by some 200 per cent over last year. Whether or not this trend is going to continue, we are watching it very closely,' Ms Kooi said. The telco said it expects a 'stable performance' for 2012. M1 shares closed one cent higher at $2.56 yesterday before its earnings were released. |
Results for the yearended 31 December 2011
Net profit increased 4.5% to S$164.1 million
  The Board of Directors has recommended a final tax-exempt dividend of 7.9 cents per share
  FY11ResultsPressRelease.pdf
May be could share more about
"   Expects a sustained regulatory focus on competition but does not anticipate any significant developments within the near-term. Overall, views the sector's operational outlook as challenging and would be cautious from a fundamental perspective.  "
Telco /M1 / Starhub: Deutsche notes the telco sector has outperformed over the past 6 mths, as expected given the difficult markets. But highlights that telco share prices have increased, vs in 2008 when the outperformance was driven by telcos declining less than other stocks. Believes this has made telcos relatively expensive, and the majority of them is now trading at a premium to their own three yr and fives yr historic average valuations.
The house has a high conviction Sell on M1. Remains unconvinced that the National Broadband Network (NBN) significantly alters M1’s competitive positioning or growth profile, as it believes M1 will face an uphill task in gaining scale as a late new entrant into the mature fixed market. With a limited service offering, Deutsche believes M1 will need to compete on price which may be margin dilutive.
Deutsche’s top pick is Starhub for the relatively stable (albeit slowing) operations and dividend yield. Notes competition within the fixed-line sector is expected to intensify as the fibre-enabled NBN approaches 100% coverage, and increased operator emphasis on service bundling will drive competition across all products and result in more aggressive retention/acquisition activities, with potential margin implications. Expects a sustained regulatory focus on competition but does not anticipate any significant developments within the near-term. Overall, views the sector's operational outlook as challenging and would be cautious from a fundamental perspective.
The house has a high conviction Sell on M1. Remains unconvinced that the National Broadband Network (NBN) significantly alters M1’s competitive positioning or growth profile, as it believes M1 will face an uphill task in gaining scale as a late new entrant into the mature fixed market. With a limited service offering, Deutsche believes M1 will need to compete on price which may be margin dilutive.
Deutsche’s top pick is Starhub for the relatively stable (albeit slowing) operations and dividend yield. Notes competition within the fixed-line sector is expected to intensify as the fibre-enabled NBN approaches 100% coverage, and increased operator emphasis on service bundling will drive competition across all products and result in more aggressive retention/acquisition activities, with potential margin implications. Expects a sustained regulatory focus on competition but does not anticipate any significant developments within the near-term. Overall, views the sector's operational outlook as challenging and would be cautious from a fundamental perspective.
M1: Citi maintains Buy, with TP $2.90. House maintain positive outlook with the Co. progressing in fiber subscriber deployment and limited risk on mobile margins in the medium-term. iPhone sales strong, but not a drag on profits. Remains the cheapest amongst the SG telco names at 11.3x FY12E P/E. Yield remains firm at 6% and could rise over time with special pay-outs.
http://www.ocbcresearch.com/Article.aspx?type=research& id=20111014091441_92499
 
bsiong ( Date: 14-Oct-2011 10:26) Posted:
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DJ MARKET TALK: M1 Down 1.2% Vodafone News A Negative - CIMB
Dow Jones Newswires | 20 Sep 2011 10:50am
0250 GMT [Dow Jones] M1 (B2F.SG) is down 1.2% at S$2.49, with news it and Vodafone (VOD.LN) will allow their roaming partnership agreement to expire at the end of 2011 a negative development, CIMB says. " We are negative on this news as we believe roaming revenue from Vodafone and its partners forms a substantial part of M1's inbound roaming revenue which contributes an estimated 8%-10% to its total revenue." Assuming the partnership contributes 20%-30% to M1's inbound roaming revenue, the house reckons ending the pact " could shave about 2%-3% and 5%-10% off M1's revenue and core net profit respectively." It adds Vodafone also supplies business products (such as Blackberrys and dongles) at lower prices, and provides M1 users preferential roaming arrangements on Vodafone and partner networks. CIMB reckons Vodafone " will soon ink a new partnership with SingTel (Z74.SG) or StarHub (CC3.SG) for roaming and mobile telephony services in Singapore." The house keeps its Neutral call, " thanks to its fairly attractive dividend yield of 6-7%" despite downside risks to its forecasts and S$2.63 target. (matthew.allen@dowjones.com)
2 month's laborious climb erased in just 3 days...

 
2 month's laborious climb erased in just 3 days...

 
This counter dived so much today!
Any bad news ?
I thought telecommunications counter are the most resistant among all.
M1 Ltd – Update (Derrick Heng)
Recommendation: Hold
Previous close: S$2.56
Fair value: S$2.52
 
·                              Biggest beneficiary of developments in the industry
·                              Retail broadband could be the game changer for M1
·                              Excellent yield play for uncertain times
·                              Resume coverage with a Hold recommendation and target price of S$2.52.
 
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Rule #1 -
      Never love your stocks... 

alexchia01 ( Date: 21-Jul-2011 11:38) Posted:
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Did anyone shorted M1 as stated on my blog?
http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.com/2011/07/m1-bull-is-exhausted.html
M1 still sleeping.
When are you going to wake up and move.
Hello..... Good Morning....