Semiconductor : Aug chip sales Up 1.8% mom but slowing down yoy Neutral
Sector Update
Unisem : Maintain forecasts, fair value of RM2.31 Outperform
JCY : Maintain forecasts, fair value of RM1.32 Outperform
MPI : Maintain forecasts and fair value of RM6.35 Market Perform
Notion Vtec : Maintain forecasts, fair value of RM1.54 Underperform
- Aug chip sales growth continues with its tenth month of growth on yoy basis. However, growth continued to narrow to 32.6% vs. 37.0% in Jul and a high of 58.4% in Mar. Mom, Aug chip sales of US$25.7bn grew 1.8%, higher than Jul’s gain of 1.2%, but lower than the high of 5.2% in May. Geographically, Aug sales grew on a mom basis for US (+2.0%), Europe (+0.1%),
- Separately, capex growth in 2011 is expected to moderate to 10% in 2011 (vs. 122.1% in 2010). Already, we understand Siliconware Precision Industries Co Ltd (SPIL) and Advance Semiconductor Engineering Inc (ASE) will spend cautiously for 2011 and have pushed back several purchases of advance machinery.
- In the near term, we remain cautious on the sector and reiterate our Neutral call due to risk arising from: 1) persistent weak demand for PCs; 2) Overcapacity that will put downward pressure on average selling prices and ultimately margins; and 3) weaker-than-expected consumer spending due to the austerity measures in the Euro zone and uneven economic recovery in the U.S.
Regards
Rohizal Moktar
RHBuBank SHARE TRADING
T-07-3344760
F-07-3344854
M-012-7701202
Semiconductor:
¨ Aug chip sales Up 1.8% mom but slowing down yoy.
Unisem -
Maintain forecasts, fair value of RM2.31. Outperform
JCY - Maintain forecasts, fair value of RM1.32. Outperform
MPI - Maintain forecasts and fair value of RM6.35.Market Perform
Notion Vtec - Maintain forecasts, fair value of RM1.54. Underperform
¨ We remain cautious on the sector and reiterate our Neutral call.
Fri: 1 OCT 2010 CLOSING
| UNISEM (M) BHD | 5005 | i | -- | MYR | 1.910 |
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-0.070 | -3.5 | 1,339,000 | 22,600 | 1.910 | 1.920 | 93,000 | 1.950 | 1.980 | 1.950 | 1.900 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005 | UNSM.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM (M)-WR | 5005WR | i | -- | MYR | 0.000 |
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0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.445 | 0.000 | 0.000 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005WR | UNSMw_r.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM BHD-W15 | 5005WA | i | -- | MYR | 0.555 |
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-0.005 | -0.9 | 2,498,600 | 60,000 | 0.550 | 0.555 | 64,900 | 0.560 | 0.560 | 0.560 | 0.545 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005WA | UNSM_tb.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM-CW11A | 5005CA | i | -- | MYR | 0.065 |
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-0.005 | -7.1 | 4,701,500 | 40,000 | 0.065 | 0.070 | 270,000 | 0.065 | 0.070 | 0.065 | 0.060 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005CA | UNSM_t.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM-CW11B | 5005CB | i | -- | MYR | 0.000 |
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0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 200,000 | 0.165 | 0.170 | 200,000 | 0.000 | 0.165 | 0.000 | 0.000 | -- |
Daily Technical Watch: Unisem
¨ Must penetrate 40-day SMA and RM2.10 to turn med-term outlook positive
¨ Immediate Support at RM1.80
¨ Immediate Resistance at RM2.10
Tuesday: 28 SEPTEMBER 2010 CLOSING
| UNISEM (M) BHD | 5005 | i | -- | MYR | 1.900 |
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+0.100 | +5.6 | 10,919,200 | 43,800 | 1.900 | 1.910 | 27,100 | 1.800 | 1.800 | 1.900 | 1.780 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005 | UNSM.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM (M)-WR | 5005WR | i | -- | MYR | 0.000 |
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0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.445 | 0.000 | 0.000 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005WR | UNSMw_r.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM BHD-W15 | 5005WA | i | -- | MYR | 0.560 |
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+0.015 | +2.8 | 6,753,500 | 13,000 | 0.560 | 0.565 | 145,600 | 0.545 | 0.545 | 0.570 | 0.540 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005WA | UNSM_tb.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM-CW11A | 5005CA | i | -- | MYR | 0.075 |
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+0.015 | +25.0 | 21,587,200 | 179,300 | 0.075 | 0.080 | 1,157,500 | 0.065 | 0.060 | 0.085 | 0.060 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005CA | UNSM_t.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM-CW11B | 5005CB | i | -- | MYR | 0.150 |
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+0.025 | +20.0 | 275,100 | 900 | 0.145 | 0.150 | 174,900 | 0.145 | 0.125 | 0.150 | 0.145 | -- |
| UNISEM (M) BHD | 5005 | i | -- | MYR | 1.700 |
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-0.010 | -0.6 | 4,178,900 | 114,900 | 1.700 | 1.710 | 14,800 | 1.710 | 1.710 | 1.750 | 1.680 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005 | UNSM.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM (M)-WR | 5005WR | i | -- | MYR | 0.000 |
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0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.445 | 0.000 | 0.000 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005WR | UNSMw_r.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM BHD-W15 | 5005WA | i | -- | MYR | 0.520 |
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-0.005 | -0.9 | 2,697,200 | 14,300 | 0.520 | 0.525 | 33,000 | 0.520 | 0.525 | 0.540 | 0.510 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005WA | UNSM_tb.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM-CW11A | 5005CA | i | -- | MYR | 0.050 |
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0.000 | 0.0 | 2,123,800 | 2,021,700 | 0.045 | 0.050 | 44,100 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.055 | 0.050 | -- | -- | KLS | 5005CA | UNSM_t.KL | -- | -- | -- |
| UNISEM-CW11B | 5005CB | i | -- | MYR | 0.000 |
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0.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 200,000 | 0.120 | 0.125 | 200,000 | 0.000 | 0.155 | 0.000 | 0.000 | -- |
TOPGLOV (7113)
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No. 1, Persiaran Pulai Jaya 9
Kawasan Perindustrian Pulai Jaya
31300 Ipoh, Perak Darul Ridzuan
Phone: 605-357-2800 begin_of_the_skype_highlighting 605-357-2800 end_of_the_skype_highlighting
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Listed Since: 30.07.1998
Market: MAIN
Sector: TECHNOLOGY
Par Value: 0.50
Major Industry: Electronics
Sub Industry: Parts & Components
SIC Industry Code: 3674 - Semiconductors And Related Devices
Thursday: 23 SEPTEMBER 2010
ELCANE LOONG
elcanology@hotmail.com;
RE: [RHBInvest-Yahoo!] FBM KLCI is falling > 1%
Hi all!
History is repeated!
After PM Najib's announcement in April 2010 on
Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) & NKEA,
KLCI fell throughout May!
Now [September 2010] after yet again of another ETP briefing,
KLCI show similar patterns!!
If tomorrow market falls, you should be able to make $$
by shorting the FKLI futures!!
At 4.30pm,
KLCI is down around 17pts and spot month FKLI is down 22pts
both are more than 1%.
In October 2010 there'll be another ETP breifing again by Idris Jala, Pemandu CEO!
History could well again be repeated!!
BEWARE!


| pharoah88 ( Date: 22-Sep-2010 20:36) Posted: |
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| UNISEM |
| 08:22:17 PM (5005 ) |
| Last Done | : | 1.790 |
| Change | : | 0.040 |
| Day High | : | 1.830 |
| Day Low | : | 1.790 |
| Best Buy | : | 1.780 |
| Best Sell | : | 1.800 |
| Vol (lots) | : | 42985 |





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