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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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Andrew
Master |
21-Sep-2008 01:25
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I think our gahmen should ban shorting. After US government ban shorting, the market rise 800 pts in 2 days. Shorting maybe good for making money in a downtrend, but short until banks start to collapse one-by-one is really out of the line. Worse, while they are shorting, they are also spreading rumour of its prey....Is this the way to make money ? |
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Livermore
Master |
20-Sep-2008 23:38
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If one is not into shorting, at least ride on a brief rally. Otherwise hard to make any money. Market is unlikely to keep going down and there should always be a rebound rally. So if a true a rebound rally happens, then is it a dead cat bounce? | ||||
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singaporegal
Supreme |
20-Sep-2008 23:06
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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I agree with you. I think this is only a temporary relief. The crisis is deep, systemic and of global proportions. Subprime crisis in the US has been for more than a year. Europe has just started to feel the effects. China is similarly affected. Singapore will not be spared too. The Fed bailout, while refreshing, may not be enough to turn the tide. The market already ASSUMES that the proposal will be approved AND successfully implemented. But that remains to be seen. Like how the wise saying goes - Pray for the best, Prepare for the worst. I'm sorry if I sound like a wet blanket. But this may be the great grandmother of all dead cat bounces.
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elfinchilde
Elite |
20-Sep-2008 16:01
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concur. same reading for me via techs and macros. :)
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idesa168
Elite |
20-Sep-2008 15:09
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To think harder again at the current mkt situation, the rally is just a temporary relieve for all. The mkt now is very fragile. The meltdown started last November with the mortgage woes and credit crunch and lasted 12 mths now, that brought all (investors, punters) to their knees. It becomes very sensitive to any news, good or bad, and go up or down in large leap. The bailout by FED on the failed securities and Central Banks in the world are injecting funds into the mkt is to stabilise the mkt...there is no guarantee they will succeed. If they succeed in stablising the mkt, at least till Oct with no short selling, the mkt will react and perform according to the fundamental of the companies, especially the financials. So I think we are not out of the woods as yet. Meantime, the rally is just to pull up the oversold mkt, and nothing more than that. I would say the short term, 1-2 weeks, it's positive. But beyond that, it's the fate of the companies. Like many analyst saying, if one day the housing problems in US is not solved, the mkt will still be underwater. I am leaning more to this story and decided to stay sideline till picture is clearer. |
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OneSharer
Veteran |
20-Sep-2008 13:40
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LOL - "cow mkt" But, with the current milk powder problem,....sigh.
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soloman
Master |
20-Sep-2008 13:28
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Of course after bear mkt, will be bull mkt in 1-3 years cannot be cow mkt |
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des_khor
Supreme |
20-Sep-2008 13:12
Yells: "Tell me who is the God or MFT from this forum??" |
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The Bear always attack only when Bull hit new height , After Bear market the next will be BULL ! |
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soloman
Master |
20-Sep-2008 12:53
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How to have bull run in ongoing sub prime mess ? Mkts up because oversold and good bailout plan After that, will level off again |
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Livermore
Master |
20-Sep-2008 12:47
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I was listening to 93.8FM on Friday morning and world famous investor, Marc Faber (Dr Doom) said, "If you think last night's Dow rally is the start of a bull run, you are in fantasy land." For investors, they will sit tight. For others, we just play along with the trend. |
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Stupidbear
Senior |
20-Sep-2008 10:55
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Shared my view on the recent jump @ www.bear-analysis.blogspot.com Do leave your critcs, if any. Thanks! |
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investsgx
Member |
20-Sep-2008 09:24
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The size of 'bottoming' is similar to capitulation principle and hard to dismiss it as an ordinary technical rebound. http://investsgx.blogspot.com/2008/09/asian-stocks-soar-on-news-of-us-plan.html The tour of bargain hunting begun! |
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SupremeA
Veteran |
20-Sep-2008 01:00
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Just curious, what was the volume like before the subprime crisis? | ||||
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lookcc
Master |
19-Sep-2008 22:39
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cover shorts first wud b wise 2 do tis coming mon........cud b the start of uptrend [historical odds r in favour of rally of dj in election yr]. |
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CWQuah
Master |
19-Sep-2008 22:30
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It will take some time for stabilisation; but the key risks of a meltdown have been averted. The rebound last 2 days is on surprisingly high volume. Odds are, after a bit more of consolidation, should see a mid-term uptrend from here onwards. | ||||
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aleoleo
Master |
19-Sep-2008 22:04
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Think is not a BULL nor CAT here. What ever all the central banks doing is just trying to stabalise the current situation. It just a rebound, after that it might happen with normal up or down....
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des_khor
Supreme |
19-Sep-2008 21:31
Yells: "Tell me who is the God or MFT from this forum??" |
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Just bear in mind the damage has been done and today rally won't sustain long ! investors see longer term will get handsome rewards ! | ||||
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idesa168
Elite |
19-Sep-2008 20:31
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It looks to me that it's not a dead cat rebound. Look at last night's DOW's gain of 400+ and take a look of the DOW Futures now, it's +320pts. FED is claensing the financial sytem, world central banks are injecting fund to arrest the financial crunch...all these are 'sadly' pointing to a bull run, my view. And sadly, I am not in the mkt, just sideline...
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HLJHLJ
Veteran |
19-Sep-2008 19:41
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Anyone knows the investor gurus like Oey HL, Warren Buffet etc investing. If they have not, then worst might not be over yet. Anyone knows? |
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aleoleo
Master |
19-Sep-2008 18:10
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Is this consider a "BULL" run or "Dead cat Bounce" ??? 
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