Hi Alex,

I like your posting.

Thanks.

There is really no standard to determine when the Bull has return.

I'll share with you how I do this, but please note that other people has their own ways of doing this and can be very different from mine.

Basically, I look at the MACD chart and the SMA (20).

1. When the MACD line goes below the 0 mark and make reversal to trend upward, that is the 1st Bull. This is only a 25% confirmation.

2. After you find the 1st Bull, you look for the 2nd Bull. That is a surge above the 1st Bull, but it must happen more than 3 days after the 1st Bull; because we must make sure the 1st Bull is not some contra play. The appearance of the 2nd Bull is a 50% confirmation.

3. Once you see the 2nd Bull, you look for the 3rd and Final Bull. This is either a 3rd Surge or when the price crosses the SMA (20) line. Once the 3rd Bull appears, this a 75% confirmation.

Please note that once MACD line continue to trend downwards, this cancel the Bull signal and you start all over again.

As for buying shares, I'll start buying a little when the 1st Bull appears, a bit more on the 2nd Bull and go full force on the 3rd.

This is just my little contribution. Anyone is welcome to comment and post their own view.