Remember the third leg of the trio of monsters that Washington was confronted with at the end of last year? That was the fiscal cliff, the sequester and the threat of a government shutdown on March 27.
As we known, the cliff has been sailed over while the sequester has been implemented, in what can reasonably be described as a 1-1 draw on political victories. But the third leg, the possibility of a government shutdown if what’s called a continuing resolution is not passed, seems likely to be averted.
That’s according to a research note from Goldman Sachs, which pointed to the 63-35cloture vote Monday evening which paves the way for the Senate to vote as early as Tuesday on the continuing resolution. So long as the bill doesn’t get messed with too much, the Goldman analysts expect the House to pass it with little fanfare, and for President Barack Obama to then sign it.
Under the legislation, the level of spending will stay at sequester levels, but some of the domestic agencies will get more flexibility to implement the spending.
The Goldman analysts say the next opportunity to reverse the sequester won’t come until the summer, when the debt ceiling will need to be lifted, and when a funding for the October 1-starting fiscal year will need to be passed.
Oh, and despite this particular shutdown being reached, the Goldman analysts assign a “very unlikely” probability that the Democrats and Republicans can come together on a 10-year budget that each side has introduced.