Latest Posts By elfinchilde
- Elite
About elfinchilde
|
|
| 28-Feb-2008 10:15 |
Keppel
/
Keppel Corp
 Go to Message
|
 x 0
 x 0
|
update on techs: may consider a sell if it doesn't break 11.2. increasing buy vol is the key. a lot of married trades today; one large trade of 700 lots. don't konw if it's buy or sell. o/w, can actually hold this counter for long term. buy if below 10.1. (the lowest then was 9.xx...) |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 28-Feb-2008 00:28 |
Others
/
DOW
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
america. the land of make believe, indeed. haha. we're within range of 12,800. touch that and let's see how. haha. be forewarned, all the independent experts (you can read the articles all over SJ, courtesy of the other forumers. :) ) have warned of a near term pull back. unbelievable though. the more bad news, the higher the hopes for a March rate cut, the higher the DJIA goes. meanwhile, gold and oil follow and shoot up. seatbelts on, folks. do you see what the signal is? wheee. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 28-Feb-2008 00:07 |
DBS
/
DBS
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
concur with shplayer. based on fundamentals and techs, i personally prefer ocbc too. it's more constant for charting. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 22:53 |
Ferrochina
/
Ferrochina
Go to Message
|
|
x 1
x 0
|
by technicals: below 1.37, cut. support at 1.2, then again at 1.04. take care: need to watch the dow and SCI. ferrochina is an S stock. if shanghai tanks, managers will be tempted to sell asia. rebound not likely yet: williams only at -40 (ie, still overbought levels). the good thing tho is that the intraday range of FC is quite large: abt 10c. if you're not fully in, the other strategy (apart from cutting) is to stomach the fall, and buy in when it's oversold, so you square up. do take note that the mid term uptrend (from start of feb) appears to be coming to an end though. caveat emptor applies to all the above ah..... i'm not always right, nor do i profess to be so. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 22:43 |
Entertainment
/
Jemahh Islamiyah leader escapes from Whitley Rd!
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
"But more likely, some lower level officers will be the scapegoat." 
|
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 22:39 |
Ferrochina
/
Ferrochina
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
hm. additional info: yes, chaikin/a/d can sometimes allow you to see if selling/buying is going on, while the price range is still constant. that's what we call a breakout (be it up or down) signal. (chaikin abbreviated as c/o, btw). so for eg of breakout upwards: see UIC charts (on SJ....yoohoo, keejang!! free SJ advert!  )
22nd jan, williams hit -100 oversold. chaikin still dipping though. So not a buy signal, but cue to watch. 3 days of constant increasing chaikin til 30th jan, williams also increasing, but px is more or less constant (2.68 to 2.71). So strike px ~2.7. stop loss would be 2.65. wouldn't sell even now. breaking upper bollinger. --the one day dip did not touch stop loss. (alt if you were nervy/fast, would have sold out on 19th/20th feb at 2.8 above, enter again at ~2.7, continue holding now.) (not vested tho. hypothetical eg. heehee.) cheers! |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 22:20 |
Entertainment
/
Jemahh Islamiyah leader escapes from Whitley Rd!
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
erm...i just hope people recognise the right guy and don't go about reporting every 'suspicious-looking' malay guy.... bad for racial ties... >~< |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 22:19 |
Ferrochina
/
Ferrochina
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
hey... you can get chaikin on SJ charts. chaikin is a lead indicator: ie, it moves before the stock price moves (presumably). accumulation/distribution (abbr: a/d, the other lead indicator) measures buying/selling pressure, chaikin does the same thing, but it leads a/d. the other buy/sell indicators are RSI and Williams. because ours is a volatile market/trending market, i prefer to use chaikin and Williams during this period, as opposed to A/D and RSI. I don't use bloomberg; i only use SJ charts and iocbc. So set up on SJ for FC (short term trading): barchart for first chart. chaikin for second. williams for third. if you draw a trend line, then the resistance for FC is 1.7. ie, if FC can break it, it'd be uptrend sustained. Meanwhile, the support is 1.45, since that was the start of the gap up. However, if you look at the recent narrow range since the gap up, it's been hovering between lowest of 1.44 (today) to highest 1.66. ie, did not manage to clear the previous high. cue to sell comes from chaikin and williams. 1) Price range from 19th to 25th held constant, however, williams was 0 overbought already: when a stock is overbought, it is likely to go down. However, in some cases, stocks may actually still go higher. 2) The proof confirmative comes from chaikin: sharp dip as i pointed out earlier. Way too strong, and on increasing sell vol. A break below 1.45 is the signal to run. i stopped loss earlier though, by watching the busd. be careful of break below 1.37. An easier way: when a counter runs up 60% of its value in a week, it'd likely head back down for a while. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 22:07 |
Entertainment
/
Jemahh Islamiyah leader escapes from Whitley Rd!
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
i wouldn't have thought it would have been so easy to escape from our detention centres..... hmm....scary thought. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 22:02 |
Others
/
AWAKENING OF BEAR
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
"getting out early when one's bet is wrong"....gotta agree with ipunter there. or in our local terms: "siam ahhhh!" hehe. for FA people though, the technique usually is not to buy everything at one shot, so they do have spare to go in when the stock goes up/down. I'd believe most would prefer averaging up than down, though. Averaging down is a risky business. One really needs to know what he/she is doing before adopting that strategy. Otherwise, may just be throwing good money after bad. well, let's watch the dow tonight. Amazing how it can keep going up when all the news are bad. lol. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 21:58 |
Entertainment
/
Jemahh Islamiyah leader escapes from Whitley Rd!
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
o_0 ....is this for real? |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 21:57 |
Ferrochina
/
Ferrochina
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
...because once JPM issues buy, it means the BB have sold. haha. seriously though, i vested earlier this week in this counter, because a breakout looked likely. stopped loss at 1.52 because the selling looked fishy. see chaikin: steep drop since 20th feb. From +16mil to -600k. i.e, while price held constant, they were selling. Masked selling by doing one/small lot buy ups, in between distributing large lots. besides, remember that just beginning of feb, this counter was only 1.02 lowest. to high of 1.66 on 20th feb, that's about 60% returns already. more than enough for a BB to sell. SCI not doing too well either. Would suggest avoid china stocks for this period of time. just my opinion... |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 17:46 |
YZJ Shipbldg SGD
/
Massive selldown for Yangzijiang
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
careful, don't buy yet. too many large lots selling still. the FA count holds for this baby. Too many retail buy ups (likely to square up), but large lots still selling. Don't go in yet. 1.19 close is not a good sign. farmer's right. if dow does a dip, you can expect this one to tank further. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 17:40 |
GLD USD
/
Gold going up this year?
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
ah. apologies, jalan_tiong, only just stumbled on this thread again. KC--well, it has hit above 11. :) be careful of the dow. 12,800 is the level to break. if it can't break that, it's down. KC: seems to be holding well. If you aren't eyeing other counters, could just sit in. will benefit as oil surges past 100. proxy play for oil. be careful close to 11.5 (or more precisely, 11.3 now) though: needs to break that on increasing buy vol. if it can't, it'd likely be down for the short term. long term, it's a good counter though. so if you aren't in a hurry to buy any other counter, may be alright to stay in. follow the charts though. :) whee! gold! 
|
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 14:36 |
Koon
/
Koon Holdings - Profit warning
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
anyone knows what's going on with this counter? large married lots at 50c. something's up. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 01:54 |
Others
/
DOW
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
haha. it's america. they don't call it the land of make-believe for nothing. ;) |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 27-Feb-2008 01:04 |
Others
/
DOW
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
technically for the dow: 12,500 was a strong resistance; now that it is broken, it's become the support. the next level is 12,800. Wld actually expect the market to hit it irregardless of bad news, since there's one other thing on the cards: Fed rate cuts for March. Market's pricing in a cut. so the more bad news, the more the cut is likely. perverse cycle. don't bother too much with the whys and wherefores. just follow the trend. repeat: either play fast (intraday to max 5 days) or play long term strategy. these are likely the only ways to survive these two quarters. Shorting, of course, if you're able; but be very careful with that. So much funds have flown out of Asia, you dont know when they may suddenly decide to hop back in. Do what you know. Good luck to all! :) |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 26-Feb-2008 20:22 |
Entertainment
/
Fellowship of the Shares
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
'ello. yeps, elfie prefers the nick of ipunter. easier to type. 
sick. trying to recover from a cough. usually spend whole day sleeping. apart from watching the market. ah well, free now since i'm jobless.
|
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 26-Feb-2008 20:11 |
Gems TV
/
Sparkling gemstones
Go to Message
|
|
x 1
x 0
|
most counters, if not all, are subject to play by BBs. Some more so than others. This happens to be one of the latter. Plus, fundamentally-wise, they are not sound at all. Loss making, and strong competition in the field. Add in the US/Europe recession (hence demand for consumer goods goes down), the future does look bleak. take care with this counter... for most stocks, if a rebound is not possible (cyclical pattern of ups and downs), then there'll come a point of no return, where it's likely to sit at that level for years til something fundamentally changes. |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| 26-Feb-2008 13:43 |
YZJ Shipbldg SGD
/
Massive selldown for Yangzijiang
Go to Message
|
|
x 0
x 0
|
ha. idesa, since you're getting fat, can i charge you for an answer? :P the short answer, is no. yzj has a history of hitting -100 oversold. that's when you buy. -89 is not a buy call. note the rebound is likely shortlived tho. read my post below lah! geez... haha. cheers. :) |
| Good Post Bad Post | |
| First < Newer 921-940 of 2759 Older> Last |