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12-Mar-2008 22:48	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	lol. congrats scotty. just in time for idesa to put his hex on the counter. :P
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12-Mar-2008 22:44	Entertainment / Fellowship of the Shares Go to Message
x 0 x 0	haha, what a coincidence! i'm leaving for a short holiday tomorrow too!
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12-Mar-2008 16:10	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	idesa!!! you have vested interests to agree, hence, opinion not unbiased. next!!! hey, hondastream: may not be tomorrow, but yes, after the fed rate cut, i'm expecting a sell on news phenomenon. The 400 pts dow rally last night was on euphoria on the US$200bil lending programme, plus expectations on a rate cut. If you look at the previous cuts: only the first led to a rally after. The other rate cuts had a sell on news phenomenon: particularly for the previous few. Briefly: if you look at the macro picture, the direction is downward. Hence, the april 2800 put as a 'safety' measure, while the real punt is the march 2900 put. 2800 is the support, we're hovering above 2900. So that's the range of the pivot point.
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12-Mar-2008 15:28	Others / ah moh remiser sms me bottom fishing day,,,cheers Go to Message
x 0 x 0	just a neutral observation that in this thread, those who posted contrary to louis leecs all got negative ratings. the rally yesterday was hardly a surprise: there would have been a rally before the Fed cut, as people buy on rumor and sell on news. The surprise is that the rally started earlier than necessary for a real rebound.
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12-Mar-2008 15:14	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	bear trap set up from yest. strike: sti put warrants: STI2900bnpePW080328 @ 10-10.5 STI2800bnpePW080429 @ 14. Targets by tmrw: 13-13.5. 15.5-16 resp. caveat emptor. am vested at the above listed prices.
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11-Mar-2008 12:13	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	hey, yep, tech rebound. wasn't expecting it today tho; thought tmrw. shows how one can never predict the market fully. :) idesa/arowana: yeps. i get what you both mean. certainly not going for those hocus-pocus cure. Yep, i was medically trained; i know there's no cure for lupus, and that they're at the end of their lives already. I pretty much know they'll die by end of this year, although i haven't told them that yet: you can't kill a person that way. Plus, as part of a twin myself, i know that when one dies, the other will lose the will to live. so yea. there's stuff that you can't even tell them. (btw, the twins are not from S'pore. they're from the US. but all their lives spent against the odds: grew up with alcohol, violence, abuse, below the poverty line. They're so poor, and so sick that right now, they can only eat rice with applesauce.--never thought that the US would be like this, huh?) So yea. the $$ isn't for hocus pocus cures. It's for proper medication-NSAIDs, and food, and doctors--for the congestive heart failure they're experiencing. Very matter-of-factly, it's not even to life i'm looking--i know there's no cure: the only hope lies in clinical trials--what are known as autologus stem cell transplantations--but i do not think they'd be able to get to that: the odds of socio-economic background are against them--what i am looking to, is to try and make life more comfortable for them before they die. Broken family: the father (an alcoholic, abusive and no-gooder) had refused to let them go to the hospital; instead had asked them why they costed so much money, til both were spasming up from the progressive heart failure for weeks: mini-strokes, breathing problems, digestive problems, and the mother was spending days and nights rushing from one twin to another at home: no medication, no proper food, nothing. Until we had insisted that they got to a doctor. Man is a human. Even if we have animal instincts, we are not supposed to die like animals. That's what friends do. You stick by each other no matter what. So yes, arowana: it is quality, not quantity. and haha. ok, better not take up space. there's your elfin story for the day. cheers and happy trading! :)
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11-Mar-2008 03:42	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	may be a bit premature to say it's turning. wld stick with this for intraday/short term play only. depends a lot on the US and general sentiment now. tanglinboy: nope. trying to raise $$ for a pair of twin friends, who are dying of an auto-immune disease, lupus. medical bills. they're so beautiful...no one should havta go through what they're going through. and can't imagine their mother. imagine your twin daughters, both dying.
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10-Mar-2008 18:40	Others / DOW Go to Message
x 1 x 0	oh. scotty, fyi, i just resigned less than a month ago from a govt job. the trouble with singaporeans is the play safe mentality. often, that cripples us from being all we can be. fears are all in the minds. if you never dare, you'll never achieve.
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10-Mar-2008 18:38	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	oh dear. hadn't realised the regulars here were still holding onto sgx. apologies for that comment. but i'm really desperately trying to raise funds for my friends. anyhow: scotty: the mid and long term prognosis for sgx is frankly not good. both via TA and FA. if you wish to recoup, my advice is to scalp the counter. regular patterns: dip on opening bell, then up in morn, then down in afternoon (~3 pm), then up again. That's what i mean when i say you can ride both directions in a day. fyi. Intraday crosses. Use SMA at 3 and 8. it should eliminate most of the false signals, though you will not get the exact troughs and peaks. (only for youuuuuuuuu! ;) ) PS: standard caveat applies even then.
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10-Mar-2008 17:35	Entertainment / Fellowship of the Shares Go to Message
x 0 x 0	tabbykat: bwahahhahahha!
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10-Mar-2008 17:25	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	feeling damn lousy. couldn't short it in the morn cos my acct was down; and my other broker had told me not to short it. trying to raise funds for a pair of friends (twins) who are dying from lupus. @)#_@&#_(@&#(@&.......... intraday patterns for SGX is very easily predicted actually. you only need one tool. nickyng is right about it being a high beta and being able to move two directions in one day. esp now when vols are thin. $&%(#&%&#%.....grumpy elf*
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10-Mar-2008 17:10	Centillion^ / E-waste recyling the Next Big Thing or already is? Go to Message
x 0 x 0	hey swingingsally, update on this counter since my previous post: the buy/selling has petered out. people are mainly sitting on the sidelines and holding onto the stock. It's retail action now; if you notice, the sells to 2.5c are small lots throwing. No real BB action here anymore. ie, can expect it to remain about this level til the BBs get in. technically speaking, if you bought at 3c, it shouldn't be much of a problem getting out. cheers!
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09-Mar-2008 21:51	SGX / SGX Go to Message
x 0 x 0	hey winstontkl, concur with singaporegal. add in one more point for FA: with reduced vols, their profits will be drastically reduced: by at least half. The run up to 16.5 end last year was on hopes of high vol when the QDII funds came in. that is not materialising as yet. So expect fair value rerating, downward. TA pic is as singaporegal says. i put a 6.6 target for tmrw-wed. May even go lower, depending on margin calls. expected large margin calls across the board. you can see the money flow. It's likely going to be a vicious cycle. Call: short mother stock, or put warrants. intraday scalp. do not hold beyond the end of day. caveat applies as per usual. You pull the gun, you bite the bullet. ;)
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09-Mar-2008 21:48	Others / No more hopes for China QDII fund investing in STI Go to Message
x 0 x 0	S stocks in spore: look at charts. Not time for buying yet; hasn't bottomed out. Besides, in a volatile market, it makes more sense to buy AFTER the bottoming (ie, on the turn up), than to risk trying to catch a falling knife. Case in point: yzj, yanlord. Ferrochina. Those who tried to average down yzj since it was 2.4+ will be crying now. It simply does not make sense to keep averaging down and hoping for a rebound. One does not play the market on hope. You play it on reality. M formation in place: longterm downtrend is confirmed. The rebound after will be to FA fair valuations. ie. 2-3x NAV. all the S stocks are above that, even now. Some are way above. caveat applies to all the above. Repeat same advice i've been saying since Jan: either go very long term, or very short term. Newbies looking to go long, may be wiser to stay out this coming week. What looks cheap today may very well seem expensive tomorrow.
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08-Mar-2008 16:37	Biosensors / Is Biosensors a good buy? Go to Message
x 0 x 0	haha. arbitrager, very zhun on the closing call. hats off to you man. this baby isn't easy to call indeed. very volatile. wld advise newbies to stay out. either for long term holders, or experienced traders. 66c is a very good support. specially for JJ and novena: if you're a short term player, ya only need one indicator to play this stock. grin yr rebound next week (if it occurs) will be worth ~11c from whatever the low it drops to is. ;) cheers! PS: caveat applies as usual. not vested; and don't intend to.
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08-Mar-2008 16:25	Gems TV / Sparkling gemstones Go to Message
x 1 x 0	actually, when a major shareholder dumps stocks, that's the surest sign to stay out of the counter. be careful of it languishing in the low prices for years before seeing the sunrise again. After all, if BBs don't buy, the stock has no way to go but sideways. tech pic: downtrend since May last year. Be careful because the selling has recently accelerated. Bottom can't be calculated; it's breaking all the supports; uncharted territory. Wld advise newbies to stay out of this counter. any rebound is not worthwhile to catch; there are better counters to put your hard earned money in, pls.
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08-Mar-2008 16:21	First Resources / First Resources Go to Message
x 0 x 0	(-_-")....considering that citi is one of those selling this baby..... long term is downtrend. See MACD, bar chart, momentum, RSI. The pic is clear. Selling has been consistent since 26 feb. short term, yea, you may get a bit of a tech rebound; but that's just mathematical, and the intraday volatility of this counter. not for newbies. caveat applies.
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08-Mar-2008 16:17	COSCO SHP SG / CoscoCorp Go to Message
x 0 x 0	3.44 is the first technical support. be careful because if there is no rebound from there, the next support is a steep drop to 2.98. anyhow, M formation has been formed. Long term downtrend is a high likelihood. in fact, i'd say it is a given. For the short term players (ie, next week or so), a rebound would be worth ~60c to you, from whatever the lowest px it drops to is. If one occurs, that is. Be careful of a long slow slide.
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08-Mar-2008 16:12	Others / DOW Go to Message
x 0 x 0	haha. new M formation formed on the dow. nickyng is gonna be one happy guy next week. ;)
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08-Mar-2008 16:10	Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message
x 0 x 0	2,800 is a temporary support. the more firm support is at 2,600, actually. i'm still holding out a call for the STI call. but will see when to enter, as according to the above. there'll either be a brief rebound from 2,800, or else just regularly dip to 2,600. if the latter is the case, don't buy calls. short market all the way. means the foreign funds are leaving. it is wise to follow the trend. i'll need to do wave calculation to see long term; haven't done it yet since i've been very short term on the market in order to survive. yea. as for yzj. i can't remember which thread i posted on; but kinda hinted just as much: that there will be a rebound, but not to what levels people are hoping it will go to. Valuations go back to fair value: ie, PE of <10x. it depends on the specific industry tho. on the bright side: it is only this 1H of the year that will be down. things should improve in the 2H. if only cos of beijing olympics and US elections. Expect major manipulation then. "Face" being the only reason.
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