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29-Feb-2008 15:44

Tat Hong / Tat Hong Growing to a Global Player

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hi elf.. y dun u go open a cfd a/c?? its good to have 1 more tools with you.

ekekeg, yes its heart pain to mss the high but then its better u get some profit or sit with big paper losses..

something brewing in CHINA. BEWARE!!!

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29-Feb-2008 15:39

YZJ Shipbldg SGD / Massive selldown for Yangzijiang

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ya man.. people still thinking its time to bottom fish.. NOT YET!!! its not over yet.. its not shorting selling.. dun expect short covering...

elf.. i think people are just taking it too lightly.. haiz.. sad to see ppl drown with this ship..

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29-Feb-2008 15:34

Others / avoid china and palm related stock

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latest news.. try to avoid china counters.. unless u r ready to stomach the big volatility..

China overcapacity problem could surface in H2 - Lehman Bros
2/29/2008 3:10:00 PM

BEIJING (XFN-ASIA) - China's overcapacity problem is likely to become more evident in the second half of this year when exports ease as the global economy slows, Lehman Brothers said

China's booming exports - the export/GDP ratio jumped to 36 pct in 2007 from 21 pct in 2000 - have helped keep overcapacity at bay, but the problem will be exposed later this year as the export outlook darkens and China's economic growth slows, Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said

"China may not appear to have a serious overcapacity problem now, but multiple indicators suggest that one could be looming. We would expect the problem to start to be unmasked in the third quarter when we forecast GDP growth to fall to 9.6 pct year-on-year," Sun said in a note

He said the new export orders component of China's Purchasing Managers' Index fell below the "boom-bust" line of 50 in January for the first time in three years, suggesting the export outlook is worsening

"About a quarter of China's industrial production is exported, so the weakening of these export leading indicators raises the risk of overcapacity surfacing later this year," Sun said

He also noted that sales growth could slow, causing an abrupt spike in the inventory/sales ratio, while there are signs that capacity utilization is falling, as are retail prices of many manufactured products

"The increase in China's production capacity in the manufacturing sector has been so fast that it could easily prove excessive when demand weakens significantly," he added. will.davies@afxasia.com MMMM

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29-Feb-2008 15:07

YZJ Shipbldg SGD / Massive selldown for Yangzijiang

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**CAUTION** i see more real selling than shorting.. likely to break the 4000lots wall at 1.06 soon.. more action at 3.30pm...

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29-Feb-2008 15:02

SGX / SGX

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sorry.. i mean $8.00 long term support..

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29-Feb-2008 14:59

Tat Hong / Tat Hong Growing to a Global Player

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FYI ekekg, Citigroup just cut Tat Hong's TP from $4.15 to $3.15 becos of weaker earning outlook.

Wise to take profit when there is still any.. but the choice is urs..

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29-Feb-2008 14:54

SGX / SGX

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For buyers, I rather wait for 8.10 the long-term support if i wan to enter a long position.. $8.10 is just a temporary support formed during the recent sell-down.. got to be careful and stay alert for any drastic movement. I think it will be tested and break easily.. as wat elf had say, strong resistance is at $8.50.

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29-Feb-2008 13:59

JES Intl / JES International Holdings

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oh today its tested its support at 0.38 formed on 6/2/08. Hope it will be breached.. if not, free falling into the bottomless pit. however, it still trading within the general downtrend with trading resistance of 0.42..

any rebound will be a good time to cut loss or take profit.

caveat emptor applies to all the above

wish all those vested all the best!

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29-Feb-2008 13:41

Others / avoid china and palm related stock

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but something to take note. Palm oil is taken as alternative fuel or substitute to vegetable and corn oil.. High plam oil cost will reduce demand of it.. as it make no $$ sense to pay higher price for something alternative..

recently china govt also implemented price curb which may also affect these counter too.. since china is the price setter being the biggest consumer.

just my 2cents worth.

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29-Feb-2008 13:36

JES Intl / JES International Holdings

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this counter is suffering the same fate as YZJ cos they r in the same industry.. read my explanation on yzj post.

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29-Feb-2008 13:33

YZJ Shipbldg SGD / Massive selldown for Yangzijiang

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Yes elf.. same sentiments.. been calling for sell too if u can see from my previous replies..

I heard rumours going round that some smaller shipbuilders are having cancellations of orders.. and recently have become more rampant.. So with the slowing of US economy resulting a slowdown in global trade. Definitely, shipping and shipbuilding industries will be badly hit.

And considering the current PE of 20X is consider very high and unattractive.. and moving forward, earning and orders should come down.. this baby is definitely overvalued.

I personally will only look at this counter when it come down to its IPO price or better.

Any potential tech rebound will be a good time to cut loss or take profit..

caveat emptor applies to all the above

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29-Feb-2008 12:23

YZJ Shipbldg SGD / Massive selldown for Yangzijiang

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the SGX version of "TITANIC"... hope those vested earlier on have already unloaded b4 the sinking...

now its trading 1.07/1.08..

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29-Feb-2008 12:20

YZJ Shipbldg SGD / Massive selldown for Yangzijiang

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Yes.. those staying sideline better keep your hands off this falling knife.. it going to cut deep... Alot of massive unloading happening.. i reinterate SELL. It on the path to IPO price soon... Buyer beware!!

Buy and sell at your own risks..

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29-Feb-2008 11:13

Biosensors / Is Biosensors a good buy?

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I know that i will get attack by some ardent supporter of BIG when i post the reply but i just wan to inform those sideline who intend to go into BIG. Of cos, its up to them to make their own decision. Online forum is a place for ppl to share their views and info.. be in favourable or unfavourable..

FYI, the CEO din bought the share, its offered by the company to him and have not been exercise yet. most company give their CEO share options too.. BIG is not the only one.

Anyway, I am not vested. I just feel that this counter is highly traded by short-term traders, so long-term buyers beware.. its a highly speculative stock. wat for buy at high when you can get lower..

wish all those vested good luck!

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29-Feb-2008 10:47

Biosensors / Is Biosensors a good buy?

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this counter is died.. how to cheong when no insti interest?? and the news of emloyee share option is no good news at all... its dilutive by nature and its definitely not good news for existing shareholders.. lesser EPS and anyway BIG is not profitable yet..

I dun think it will stay above 80c

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28-Feb-2008 19:32

Entertainment / Fellowship of the Shares

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haha.. wow not bad elf.. u can even know which house i m from just by my disclaimer?? you sure u got the right one? lolz.. anyway for mi to know, for you to find out.. lolz..

you intend to join foreign or local house? Its okie. I am leaving my current one for better pasture soon anyway.. Smiley

yea.. its okie for us to share our views but then its up to individual to make their own decision based on their own analysis. Smiley

yep i am sure there are many experts ard for us to learn from.. kudos to all of ya..

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28-Feb-2008 18:45

Entertainment / Fellowship of the Shares

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haha.. no prob.. i understand. sometimes we have be careful with wat we say too.. Smiley

better put my official disclaimer too..

yep i m from this industry.. but i think its not convenient to say where i am from. hee.. So i presume you are in same industry as me too.. Smiley

Disclaimer
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You may from time to time be provided with investment and financial related information and reports, including but not limited to research reports and market or securities specific analysis. Please note that the information is provided for you by way of information only. All of the information, report and analysis were and should be taken as having been prepared for the purpose of general circulation and that none were made with regard to any specific investment objective, financial situation or the needs of any particular person who may receive the information, report or analysis (including yourself). Any recommendation or advice that may be expressed in or inferred from such information, reports or analysis therefore does not take into account and may not be suitable
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28-Feb-2008 17:34

Ferrochina / Ferrochina

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yep.. sure!

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28-Feb-2008 17:32

Aqua-Terra / Marine stocks

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Ynot! they use CFD to short and buy back today.

if not.. well there is some trade secret they can go abt doing so too... Smiley

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28-Feb-2008 17:05

Ferrochina / Ferrochina

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hi eldarchen, you are in this trade as well??

y so secretive?? nothing to hide.. lolz.. not zombie in the closet ah.. lolz...

well, there are namely 5 types of dealers/traders

1.) Remiser (own biz, get your own clients, help them execute etc)

2.) retail execution dealer (work for a securities firm, help company's clients execute trades)

3.) insti execution dealer (help institutional client execute trades)

4.) sales trader (need not execute, just need to give trading ideas and canvas sales etc)

5.) proprietary trader (company give you a trading limit to trade, make profit and profit share)

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