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Latest Posts By elfinchilde - Elite      About elfinchilde
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12-Mar-2007 02:40 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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hi sporeguy, what was the base of the a wave?

my earlier calculations was for rangebound 2,850 to 3,150 for mar/april, assuming all conditions remain the same. wld like to check if it tallies with your calculations?
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12-Mar-2007 00:49 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Dow spring it trading time is early by an hours indicating forward looking, any effect on world trading patten ?? and it implication on STI and esp Nikkei and Shanghai ??. Will it boost STI back to 3,000 plus plus or will it further boost it to next STI TP 3,500 ?? 
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12-Mar-2007 00:36 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Wave c may reach 2800.
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12-Mar-2007 00:22 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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FYI: ChannelNewsAsia-Money Mind by Vasoo mentioned in CNA TV about investers investing into stocks, Stagger for d last two weeks and oso a possibilities over next few weeks. It may mean stocks trading can be volatile in nature, not a v.good sign.

Just trade with care 
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11-Mar-2007 21:08 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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We do have alot of S'pore Nick Leeson around, wordering their rich god father will bail them out or not in order to be a protective father.



Anyway this week stock trading will again seem to be volatile and likely range bound.
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11-Mar-2007 09:47 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Wow...

Is he some kind of Nick Leeson or what?...

Losing so much money while still so young? ... :(

But maybe he will recover it in the end... :)
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11-Mar-2007 09:29 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Who cares about a to z waves........ as long as the counters you are buying have good fundamentals, just buy if you have spare cash. Counters like Keppel Corp, OCBC, HL Finance, CG tech, Aztech, etc...........just buy and wait for them shoot back to their true market value. Have been picking them up since 2 weeks ago during the panic selling. Already sitting on good profits and think may be better in 1 months time.

Warning! Don't buy using margin or contra or you will end up like that chap who blew the 700k as reported in the New Paper today.
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10-Mar-2007 23:36 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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31.8% retracement for wave b should be at 3077 and 61.8% at 3137.  I take the Friday's closing of higher than 3137 as quite a strong recovery. Of course the c-wave will happen, but no time to study yet. If d-wave cannot overcome the base of a-wave, then it may the start of the bear.
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10-Mar-2007 20:28 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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i think the Volatility index seems to have subsided for now, the worst of the storm appears to be over.
watch the Japanese yen direction for any indication of trouble ahead.
if it starts dropping below again means furthur round of selling ahead.


just my thoughts
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10-Mar-2007 20:18 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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You may be right.
This could just be a technical rebound -a  'b 'wave in an on going abc downturn where the c wave is longer than the 'a' downturn wave.
This rebound lacks volume world wide.

                                       Time will tell
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10-Mar-2007 19:26 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Dear Newmoon,

It is not the rebound is over, but the correction is over!!!!!!!!
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10-Mar-2007 19:12 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Martin Armstrongs eonomic confidence model in 2.15 years intervals
2007.15...02/27/07...market top occurred due to confluence of several factors.Don't ask why but his turning dates are well known in asia as well as macro hedge funds in USA
2009.3...04/23/09-interrmediate  correction
2011.45...06/18/11
The next bottom ls 4.3 years away.
Each cycle is Pi x 1000=3141 days= 8.6 years.
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09-Mar-2007 22:18 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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A preview of today's trading in NY.



09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +9.3. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +16.3.  Early sentiment continues to improve as today's jobs data silencing concerns of a recession clears the way for investors to build on the foundation it established Tuesday. While the stage appears set for stocks to finish the week on a strong note, it is highly unlikely the market will recoup all that was lost last week. As of yesterday?s close, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are up 1.2%, 1.1% and 0.8%, respectively, over the last four sessions; but those gains pale in comparison to sharp declines of 4.2%, 4.4% and 5.8% last week.  
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09-Mar-2007 22:12 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Straits Times Index    Last:3143.71   Vol:1,498.4mil    +21.22
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09-Mar-2007 15:45 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Weakest hiring in two years seen, and it could be worse
Median forecast calls for 100,000 more jobs in February

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09-Mar-2007 12:52 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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4th day of rebound.
If the volume is weak and the STI gain is small the rebound is over.
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09-Mar-2007 12:13 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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alevpenal, I agree with you about  not getting into any position today  because of the the weekend. I am a long term investor so I don't worry about the up and down market.
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09-Mar-2007 11:14 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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I agree... seems like there is a minor pull back now
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09-Mar-2007 10:50 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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I think should wait for a while more for those thinking of going in now. Look like STI going to come down and it is a weekend ahead, so most ppls play safe 1st dun take up new position bcos dun know what things will lie ahead
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09-Mar-2007 10:21 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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I think most retail players are sitting on the sidelines now... trading volume is so very low!
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