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25-Mar-2010 15:34

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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x 0

STi is nOw  One NiGHT STAND

cannOt lOvE thEm anymOrE

TiGER neO aLiKE shOOt shOOt   hErE

                                 shOOt shOOt thErE

TiGER wOOd aLiKE F### F###   hErE

                                     F### F### thErE

takE prOfit Off thE tablE nOw

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25-Mar-2010 15:28

Keppel Land / Kepland

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STi is nOw a One NiGHT STAND markEt

cannOt   lOvE thEm anymOrE

TiGHT wOOd aLikEs   F### hErE F### thErE

TakE my prOfit Off thE tablE [tO PiCK Up nEw BiRD]

F### KepLand.

cOmE   back AGAiN whEn iTs dOwn

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25-Mar-2010 15:22

Golden Agri-Res / GoldenAgr

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STi is nOw a One-NiGHT STAND markEt.

cannOt lOvE thEm anymOrE

TiGER nEo is shOOting hErE shOOting thErE

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25-Mar-2010 14:39

Others / 24 Mar 2010 Market Scan

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fOr gOOd illqUid cOunters,

cannOt gEt thE vOlume yOu want

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25-Mar-2010 14:35

Chemoil Ene USD / CHEMOIL

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Global oil demand grew by 1.2% already in 4Q 2009
The growth engines are the world’s emerging economies (with China in the lead). They staged a sharp V-shaped economic recovery – which pushed non-OECD oil use up 6.4% YoY in 4Q. And they’re on track for 5.5% growth this quarter. For the year, non-OECD growth of 4.4% YoY shines through much better once OECD oil demand is no longer declining (it should grow this year by 0.8%).

MRE expects 2010 oil demand growth of 2.4%, materially above consensus.
MRE is not just applying yet another China growth story here. MRE looked deeper into the data about the large and diversified group of smaller, non-BRIC emerging economies. As a group they account for 20% of global oil demand (the OECD accounts for 56% and China for 10%). Most feature strong economic growth already, or will soon. MRE projects their oil demand to grow by 3.5% this year and 4% in 2011, which in barrels per day exceeds the volume growth of China.

OPEC claims it is far less optimistic
That is important, because the producer group seems ready to use a weak fundamentals base-case scenario as an excuse not to raise oil production this summer. MRE is no longer convinced that Saudi Arabia and others will do their utmost to keep prices at or below US$80/b. They may instead revert to pleading innocence and pointing at “speculators” when prices rally above their comfort zone.

OECD oil inventories are high, but falling
Oil inventories fell materially in 4Q 2009. Though stocks remained very high and were added to in January, they then came down further in February again. In parallel, oil prices rose very fast around the turn of the year and pulled back, as MRE expected, in late January. But that pull back did not last long.

Inventories should normalize by 4Q2010
Big draws are in store for the second and third quarter, unless Saudi Arabia raises its supply materially, and very soon. At the Opec ministerial meeting in Vienna last week, not one minister publicly expressed worries that oil prices could rise well above the supposedly-desired narrow range around US$75/b. Instead, the Saudi oil minister pointed out that fundamentals are tightening nicely and that oil was in a happy place.

The huge surplus of oil held for storage in tankers at sea may be gone by summer
Since November, these floating inventories have been falling steadily. Middle distillate stocks had looked especially burdensome, but are falling between 10-15m barrels per month from
November onward – and their surplus could disappear by May/June at this pace.

Futures markets signal emerging fundamental strength
Don’t take the data’s word for it! Market-structures are better leading indicators of prices. It is significant that the contango in Brent oil futures is flattening out.

Oil prices have broken out to the upside
The unusually tight, inverse correlation with the US dollar crumbled this winter, but oil still seems joined at the hip with equity markets, though even that correlation is working less predictably, and an $80/b floor appears to be holding for now. A pull-back of prices is still likely in the shorter-term, the trend is decidedly bullish.

In short, MRE expects to see a simple fundamentals-driven market rally developing this year. Next year, producers will likely scramble to keep prices in check and, crucially, will still have enough spare capacity to do so with ease.

Further out, however, MRE believes that prices will break out of this new US$80-90 range as early as 2012, when scarcity looms that much closer.

MRE re-worked both sides of their medium-term oil balance and still arrive at a base case in which supply trends cannot grow fast enough to meet the most plausible demand trends. In other words, our base case trends still project toward scarcity in 2013.

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25-Mar-2010 14:22

AusGroup / AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m

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MRE Turns Bullish on Oil

25 Mar 10

On the back of improving oil fundamentals, Macquarie Research Equities (MRE) has turned bullish and is now confident that fundamentals can drive oil prices materially higher and can push oil into high US$80s, and beyond, post 2011. In a note released on 22nd March 2010, MRE stated the specific data and developments that have made them turn bullish…

Global oil demand grew by 1.2% already in 4Q 2009
The growth engines are the world’s emerging economies (with China in the lead). They staged a sharp V-shaped economic recovery – which pushed non-OECD oil use up 6.4% YoY in 4Q. And they’re on track for 5.5% growth this quarter. For the year, non-OECD growth of 4.4% YoY shines through much better once OECD oil demand is no longer declining (it should grow this year by 0.8%).

MRE expects 2010 oil demand growth of 2.4%, materially above consensus.
MRE is not just applying yet another China growth story here. MRE looked deeper into the data about the large and diversified group of smaller, non-BRIC emerging economies. As a group they account for 20% of global oil demand (the OECD accounts for 56% and China for 10%). Most feature strong economic growth already, or will soon. MRE projects their oil demand to grow by 3.5% this year and 4% in 2011, which in barrels per day exceeds the volume growth of China.

OPEC claims it is far less optimistic
That is important, because the producer group seems ready to use a weak fundamentals base-case scenario as an excuse not to raise oil production this summer. MRE is no longer convinced that Saudi Arabia and others will do their utmost to keep prices at or below US$80/b. They may instead revert to pleading innocence and pointing at “speculators” when prices rally above their comfort zone.

OECD oil inventories are high, but falling
Oil inventories fell materially in 4Q 2009. Though stocks remained very high and were added to in January, they then came down further in February again. In parallel, oil prices rose very fast around the turn of the year and pulled back, as MRE expected, in late January. But that pull back did not last long.

Inventories should normalize by 4Q2010
Big draws are in store for the second and third quarter, unless Saudi Arabia raises its supply materially, and very soon. At the Opec ministerial meeting in Vienna last week, not one minister publicly expressed worries that oil prices could rise well above the supposedly-desired narrow range around US$75/b. Instead, the Saudi oil minister pointed out that fundamentals are tightening nicely and that oil was in a happy place.

The huge surplus of oil held for storage in tankers at sea may be gone by summer
Since November, these floating inventories have been falling steadily. Middle distillate stocks had looked especially burdensome, but are falling between 10-15m barrels per month from
November onward – and their surplus could disappear by May/June at this pace.

Futures markets signal emerging fundamental strength
Don’t take the data’s word for it! Market-structures are better leading indicators of prices. It is significant that the contango in Brent oil futures is flattening out.

Oil prices have broken out to the upside
The unusually tight, inverse correlation with the US dollar crumbled this winter, but oil still seems joined at the hip with equity markets, though even that correlation is working less predictably, and an $80/b floor appears to be holding for now. A pull-back of prices is still likely in the shorter-term, the trend is decidedly bullish.

In short, MRE expects to see a simple fundamentals-driven market rally developing this year. Next year, producers will likely scramble to keep prices in check and, crucially, will still have enough spare capacity to do so with ease.

Further out, however, MRE believes that prices will break out of this new US$80-90 range as early as 2012, when scarcity looms that much closer.

MRE re-worked both sides of their medium-term oil balance and still arrive at a base case in which supply trends cannot grow fast enough to meet the most plausible demand trends. In other words, our base case trends still project toward scarcity in 2013.

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25-Mar-2010 14:00

Genting Sing / GenSp starts to move up again

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Genting Sp is LiKE an ElEctronic gamE

it is nOt a stOck

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25-Mar-2010 13:54

Others / How does Company borrowing fund affect share price

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appEaring harmlEss

bOnds can bE dEadly

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25-Mar-2010 13:53

Others / How does Company borrowing fund affect share price

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x 1

bOrrOw Other peOple's mOney tO makE mOney

sharE PRiCE gOes Up

bOrrOw Other peOple's mOney tO lOse mOney

sharE PRiCE cOmes dOwn

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25-Mar-2010 13:49

Mermaid Maritime / Mermaid

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this is anOther ROCK & ROLL

bEtwEEn S$0.680 and S$0.710.

gOOd tO makE sOme pOckEt mOney

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25-Mar-2010 13:46

AusGroup / AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m

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this is also ROCKING & ROLLING

between S$0.595 and S$0.615.

gOOd tO make sOme pOcket mOney

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25-Mar-2010 13:42

PineAgritech / handon trading...

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mOst Of ALL

this wOrld nEEds CREDIT TRUST

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25-Mar-2010 13:38

Others / RWS Casino

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this can be a GOOD Weekly Business or Job with S$3,000 income per week.

How many plays and hours are required to make the S$3,000?

(Best and Worst Cases?)

What are the Odds?

What was the Hit Rate for S$3,000 income per trip?

What was the MiSS Rate for nOt earning the S$3,000?

What was the Failure Rate for lOsing the Capital of S$10,000?

Is the System consistent?

Is the System repeatable?

Is the System sustainable?

tchoonw ( Date: 15-Mar-2010 08:18) Posted:

I played mostly in baccarat and bet between $500 to $1K per game.

If I feel very confident, I'll wager $3K!

Each trip I bring around $10K!

So what about yourself? :)

StarLine ( Date: 14-Mar-2010 23:34) Posted:

Just curious what game did you play ?

How much did you bring there ?

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25-Mar-2010 13:26

S i2i / MediaRing

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Is there a similar System fOr FREE BROAD BAND?

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25-Mar-2010 13:07

Others / Google vs China

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Is there any BoX or Website or anything that let one surfs the internet withOut subscribing tO Broadband?

I hatE the ISP letting through all the JUNK EMAILS everyday.

knightrider ( Date: 25-Mar-2010 10:36) Posted:

Did you read yesterday StraitsTimes, our censorship board no longer do that on Internet gate liao, is only the IDA who do the block, the censorship claim they cannot play catchup with so many new sites keep floating up. I have friends even link using "SlingBox" to hook on to his relatives in US to access Playxx and PentHxx website, now no big deal. People can now buy Mediaplayer box from Sim Lim and download HD movies from "Sunlei" and "PPS" sites to see movies online. And who care whether Singtel or Starhub cannot bid the broadcast right World Cup, all can see live or download online !

des_khor ( Date: 25-Mar-2010 10:28) Posted:

You always surf porn

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25-Mar-2010 12:57

Keppel Land / Kepland

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Upper Channel at S$3.70

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25-Mar-2010 12:51

R H Energy / Booming oil & gas sector

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hOlds kEy rElatiOnship WiTH kEy cUstOmErs iN kEy sEctOr.

managEmEnt iS CINE

cOmplancEnt iNcOmpEtEnt nEgligEnt ExUbErant

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25-Mar-2010 12:46

Healthway Med / healthway, healthy?

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S$0.165 bUying / sElling mUsical chairE

GAME playEd by samE grOup Of peOple

what dO thEy want?

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25-Mar-2010 12:41

Others / COE Up Up Up - Car Price Up Up Up

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Shun Zi says,

"tO WIN,

One mUst nOt lOse."

tEll EvEry car dEalEr,

"I Only bUy yOur car with COE at S$1

dOn't BiD mOre than S$1."

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25-Mar-2010 12:35

Others / COE Up Up Up - Car Price Up Up Up

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this is the gamE playEd

by thE car dEalErs.

it is a mistakE to lEt car dEalErs bEat thE COE On yOur bEhalf.

car dEalErs nEEd a QUOTA Of COE

to sEll thE numbEr Of cars thEy want tO sEll.

this iNdirEctly iNcrEasEs the sEcOnd-hand car PRiCES as wEll.

nOw E-bidding sO simplE.

EvEry car bUyEr jUst E-Bid On thEir Own at S$1 EvEry mOnth.

ALL thE COEs STiLL mUst bE allOcatEd EvEry mOnth.

dOn't lEt thE car dEalEr makE car bUyErs sUckErs.

lOOk at thE I.T. bUyErs, thEy arE SMARTEST.

iNsist On tO yOur car dEalEr that yOu wOuld Only

pay S$1 fOr sUch a piEcE Of papEr.

S$1 is just fOr the cOst Of PRiNTiNG thE papEr.

Andrew ( Date: 24-Mar-2010 22:03) Posted:

Simply INSANE to pay this kind of money for a piece of ePaper.....lor.

BTW, buying a new car log into GDP......so.....maybe it is good for the economy

wishbone ( Date: 24-Mar-2010 21:28) Posted:

Will the COE for 1600cc and below car be back to around $45~$50K.

Jialat man!!

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