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Latest Posts By elfinchilde - Elite      About elfinchilde
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10-Jan-2008 22:30 Banyan Tree   /   Banyan Tree       Go to Message
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...hm...jackjames...from the looks of it, 1.65 may not hold (longterm)....wld expect a dead cat's bounce anytime soon tho...
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10-Jan-2008 22:21 Entertainment   /   Fellowship of the Shares       Go to Message
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hullo singaporegal! Smiley 

busy with work? don't see ya online as much anymore. weh. altho, i'm kinda swamped too. sigh.
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10-Jan-2008 22:17 First Resources   /   First Resources       Go to Message
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eh wait lah. don't be in a rush to chiong into firstres yet. it has just chionged up past few sessions. give it time to settle down first...williams at -25 only. if you're lkg at commodities, it's wilmar, firstres, golden agri and indo agri. the middle two are in my watchlist. not yet tho; they track the px of crude, which is currently retracing. but long term, yes, for this  year, commodities are one main theme. cheers! :)
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10-Jan-2008 22:13 Ossia Intl   /   Ossia       Go to Message
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hm yea. i'll let my wise older bro comment on its FA. keke. but technically-wise, you'd play this counter like FJBen. there are parallels in its techs and FA.

FJBen had a 13c capital reduction last mth. thereaft, its price naturally dipped, greater than the amt XD (expected in this climate). 70c XD to 58c low. But it's climbed back up now to 70c. consistent accumulation.

am expecting ossia to do the same. ie, wld drop to abt 25c range in the next few sessions (that's the chance to DCA in and sq up), and thereafter rise to pre-XD level.

so all in all, likely to be gain. just patience will do. you can see the comparative chart of FJBen from 11 dec (CD) to now as a guide.  :)

 
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10-Jan-2008 22:07 Jiutian Chemical   /   JiutianC       Go to Message
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just saw this thread. don't know its fundamentals, but technically, it's a sell:

MACD shows long term downtrend, sharper dip ahead, the more sensitive chaikin shows that it has been slowly distributed since 6th dec; distribution momentum increased from 2nd jan. no end in sight yet.

may however have a short-term tech rebound soon; williams at -100. likely worth ~4-6c from whatever px it rebounds from.

may be better to cut on tech rebound.  lower high, lower low breached already. support at 26c.

fyi caveat emptor. not vested.
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10-Jan-2008 21:43 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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not sure if it's just me, but i think the new STI is not going to be fully representative of the general market. with only 30 component stocks, it becomes much easier to manipulate. and for ppl to check the general health of the market (sti as weathervane), it's not going to be fully relevant anymore; would do better to check the component index of your sector perhaps?

on the plus side, it also means you have a sectorial guide as to which industry is doing better and which should be avoided...

yah. troublesome; brokerage site didn't give index, had to go sgx site. hope they settle it soon...
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10-Jan-2008 21:40 Ossia Intl   /   Ossia       Go to Message
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quite natural for every counter to drop by same amt XD. hardly think there's anything to be sad about. This stock is not for trading. FA counter; by value rules (NAV), you would buy and just sit in. It's below NAV. DCA at drop. Quite standard rules of engagement. No need to panic or be sad.
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10-Jan-2008 15:07 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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yea, quite frustrating. but if you track individual counters it's quite clear tho. they're breaking lower low/at that level already. index appears to be holding up due to singtel and capland--but these were oversold a couple of days before.

generally, market depth shows buy support is thin; need to be careful of sudden movement (ups or downs) by one large transaction.  

<3300 close more likely tmrw. today perhaps around the 3310 region....follow and see. no pt guessing. dangerous grounds. dow futures down. we're actually slowly taking the lower-middle of bollie range already (ie, lower high) and appear to be slowly slipping down. nd to watch jan 17. MS or merril releases their results that day. cfm shock down the US market.
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10-Jan-2008 14:43 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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careful. the down is here, rebound was done yest/this morn. bear trap. sci, yl, sgz watch out. the last two had hit technical sell yest/a couple of days ago already. sci breach is at 5.1.

fyi.
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09-Jan-2008 10:36 Others   /   DOW       Go to Message
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well, some sectors are likely to do alright, and second half of year shd be ok. but property? the internal fund houses directive is to sell props already...

(-_- ")....
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09-Jan-2008 09:52 SGX   /   SGX       Go to Message
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broke below long term support. technical rules say cut already. ordinarily would expect a tech rebound since williams is oversold; but long term trend seems to be forming a double dip. look to aug 17th as lowest possible. trade with care.
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09-Jan-2008 09:49 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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likely to have shortterm tech rebound but be careful; cashiertan is right: the trend is established as down already.
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08-Jan-2008 17:54 Others   /   Market is dead.......       Go to Message
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aww...there, there lazyhorse....don't cry...after all, tears won't solve anything, ain't it? so why waste it.

cheer up... market isn't downtrend (yet); it's actually range bound. i'm expecting a rebound thurs and friday. we're oversold already. let's see how it goes. hang in there! :)
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08-Jan-2008 11:42 Yanlord Land   /   Yanlord       Go to Message
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careful yanlord; appears to be being distributed now. large lots selling.
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07-Jan-2008 14:00 Yanlord Land   /   Yanlord       Go to Message
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yl: counter being sold down. be careful of break below 2.94. from market depth, very thin buy support below this.

if this px can hold, there may--repeat, may--be a tech rebound. williams is -97 oversold alr. not likely to be long lived tho. longer term: lower low and lower high definitive for third time alr.

caveat emptor. not vested.
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07-Jan-2008 10:34 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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cyjjerry, two words: closed market.

KLSE isn't so easily tradeable; quite a lot of rules for foreigners--don't kwno the exact details. plus, currency limit on what you can bring out. so funds don't like to play bursa malaysia cos you need to keep the $ inthe country for a lock in period. not worth for traders. plus, they have a history of just changing the rules (remember CLOB?); so bad rep amongst funds.
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07-Jan-2008 10:14 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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may be a better idea not to jump in yet. europe opens in the afternoon; likely to drag sti down further as the managers from there sell asia. plus, dow futures are starting to dip.

drop today shd be ~100 pts by my count.
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06-Jan-2008 23:13 Others   /   8th Jan - Open and close green?       Go to Message
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heylo,

i track HSI on iocbc.com. dow futures can be found on the following website. surf around it; you can also see the dow chart (can click on one year data to see the trend), gold prices, nasdaq etc.

http://money.cnn.com/data/afterhours/

at night (spore time), it's live prices ticking on the chart page.

cheers!
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06-Jan-2008 21:46 Others   /   Oh My God, what had happen?       Go to Message
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angpow! i want! :P
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06-Jan-2008 18:41 Others   /   8th Jan - Open and close green?       Go to Message
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may be a better idea to watch HSI opening and dow futures to decide buy or not, rather than jumping straight in the morning. impossible to predict, and to catch the peaks and troughs after all. rather buy slightly higher on the upturn and sell slightly lower before/after the turn, than try to catch a falling knife.

elfin philosophy 101: think live chicken, not dead tiger! hehe.

hunt the blues. cheers!
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