Latest Posts By elfinchilde
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About elfinchilde
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| 15-Jan-2008 20:05 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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hey sporeguy, will swop the discussion to the gold thread. :) |
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| 15-Jan-2008 17:37 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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yea sama sama. holding only cash and gold now. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 16:51 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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market breaking down. careful last 10 min dip. haha sohguan, i do not believe there's a single person here who's not lost money in these past months from aug 17. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 14:57 |
SGX
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SGX
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beautiful rebound. BBs really handling this baby well. from 986 to 1012. if you're on, time to get off the ride. this counter's good for intraday scalp if you have the time to watch. dang. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 14:17 |
SGX
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SGX
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haha, don't count on too many 80 bucks, kiddo. damn, i wish i had a cfd acct. altho, this kind of climate, better to stay out. dang, i missed the ste range i called for you by some cents. :( need to improve... well, sgx appears to be making a brief attempt at rebounding...hope he clears it off in time. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 14:11 |
COSCO SHP SG
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CoscoCorp
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cosco: support at 4.78, then at 4.32. be careful, selling appears to be gaining momentum. not an inducement to buy or sell. fyi. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 14:00 |
SGX
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SGX
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lol. how nice of you. *ties huatah back up* hm....mebbe i shd tie asterisk up too...that lil bro of mine....  you all stay safe now....how's idesa? no sound from him...dunno what px he bought, too... hope he's ok...
ya know, charts-wise, this looks worse than the aug 17 drop. talking abt general market. cos it's a long, slow decline. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 13:57 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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well. if you're talking about individual counters, then the best time to buy is when williams is oversold (-90 to -100), and MACD shows bottoming. ie, catch it on the slight upturn. of course, if you dare to try and catch the falling knife, that may reap huge returns. but do take care to make sure you don't whack all in at one shot...go by DCA (put in a portion only). money management: only play with what you can afford to lose. esp in this kind of market. g'luck folks! |
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| 15-Jan-2008 13:44 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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just stay out. the selling is not done yet. for those tempted to go in today, see the charts for what it is already. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 13:41 |
SGX
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SGX
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huatah, don't touch. tie your hands and eyes if you have to, but don't touch this counter. you were very lucky to scalp it once already, don't tempt fate twice. it's falling faster than even my worst-case calculations (think that means margin calls today), which if you know how to read charts, means it's very, very bad. look to aug 17 low as a guide already. too fast a drop. cmi. (-_-").... |
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| 15-Jan-2008 11:56 |
YZJ Shipbldg SGD
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One of China's largest shipyard
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hm yea. but it's linked. and ok, a quirk of psychology perhaps (which again shows how markets are emotive and not rational by nature): when ppl think yzj, they think shipping. hence, if shipping goes down/up, yzj moves accordingly. it's like how SPC is actually more of an oil refinery (hence, if crude px goes up, it should by right go down, since margins are squeezed), but in ppl's minds, SPC = oil. that's why SPC tracks the price of crude, although rationally, it should not. of course, SPC is more complicated since it has many biz, but roughly, that's abt it. psychology. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 11:50 |
SGX
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SGX
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knightrider, the sti is not representative of broad market lah. very easy to manipulate: buying up the telcos or banks or capland alone would shore up the index and mask the genuine fall. that's why i'm no more in index warrants. kbbkbkkbkb. sgx should hold at 10.10 for today. next support is 9.7. it's tanking faster than i can calculate man.... 4 sessions, three red overhang candlesticks. not good. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 11:35 |
SGX
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SGX
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eh well, assuming you were on the forum, even if you didn't manage to run at 0927 hrs, my post at 0934 shd have made you run anyway.... yah. i didn't even dare to touch this baby tho i knew got tech rebound. working so can't always see. but haha, you're really huat ahhhh.
how's idesa....a bit worried for him... |
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| 15-Jan-2008 11:32 |
YZJ Shipbldg SGD
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One of China's largest shipyard
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eh well, if you're a techie, then you're not bothered so much about the why it is falling, other than to acknowledge that it is falling, and so, play accordingly. but reasons why...elf interned with one of the BBs before...so by their psychology or market principles--as you like it--why fundamentally you'd call a sell: 1) yzj is a growth stock--believe i mentioned this some mths ago--growth stocks have high PE ratios, and rise fast, but crash just as fast. in a volatile and recession-prone market, the preference is for value and 'safe' stocks, not growth stocks. ie, Its growth phase may be over. 2) baltic dry index. yzj tracks it since it's in shipping. 3) asia has not decoupled from the US. that's a myth of fund managers--i have an internal report that directly says as much--so if US growth slows down, global growth slows down: for every 1% drop in US economy, china loses 3-4% of growth. THe US is the largest export market: that's why you need to track US consumer spending, of which 2/3 of US economy is based upon: consumers buy less, other countries export less. yzj is in shipping; they ship commodities. if exports drop, naturally, shipping goes down too, since less need for export. hence, fundamentally, that is why a fund would call a sell on yzj. don't quote me on the above. heh. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 11:13 |
SGX
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sigh..don't enter...the real support is the aug 17 close...upside is now capped at 11.2. not worth if you ask me...no point being a hero and martyring yourself on the altar of the BBs. haha. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 11:07 |
YZJ Shipbldg SGD
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One of China's largest shipyard
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...elf will just be very direct: if you're thinking long term, don't buy yet! 1.41 support; doesn't seem like it'll hold though. not vested. caveat emptor. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 09:34 |
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lol. good boy. i was gonna tell ya both in two words: siam ah!
in this current market, if money's on the table, take it and run; can't be too greedy. too volatile to predict, except very short term and very long term. |
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| 14-Jan-2008 22:31 |
Entertainment
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Fellowship of the Shares
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lol. i have a second id too, but i never post using it. mainly cos SJ limits us to 20 counters in watchlist. what am i gonna do? trade the markets. have time for the arts (which is where my genuine interests lie): poetry, music, painting. do what i love, when i want to. don't havta follow 9-5 routine, don't havta see petty politics. don't havta work with ppl who are unkind (i just can't comprehend the concept of fighting for survival, to my detriment). travel the world. like the cirque du soliel performance, 'O' (french: eau, for water)--live in water, on water, and above water. breathe freely. grow a garden. elf loves plants and animals lots. i want a garden. i'd grow red roses and white lilies, and all the rare, temperate orchids--cymbidiums (esp the one called golden elf! lol), cattleyas, vandas. oh. and have time to give to those who have less, and who are in need. yeayea, i'm a dreamer and an absolutely unrepentant one. "If Heaven I cannot Bend, Hell I will Arouse." so shoot me!
lol. hey, what's life without a little elfin dream? 
seee....this is why i can't ever be normal singaporean. *wail* |
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| 14-Jan-2008 22:01 |
SGX
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lol. huatah and idesa, hats off to you two man. nice catch, huatah. hehe. be careful tho, it's a tech rebound: short up on a long down. if dow is positive tonight, then technically, your ride should end max at 11.4 tmrw. if it gaps up at opening, the max will likely be ~20c from the opening px. don't quote me on the above figures. targets are fluid, remember. follow the trend. g'luck ya two cowboys! keep me posted! keke. 
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| 14-Jan-2008 16:14 |
SGX
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SGX
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sgx doesn't look like its going to stop downing anytime soon. renewed downtrend. support at 10.3, then 9.7. may experience a short rebound now/soon tho. |
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