Latest Posts By elfinchilde
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About elfinchilde
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| 18-Jan-2008 10:45 |
SGX
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SGX
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(-_-")... long doesn't mean you enter like, now. it means you WAIT first....discipline...only at strike prices you enter, and SLOW. eg, ocbc first strike is 7.5. perhaps 1/3 your funds only. it's not hoping for a rebound, i'm talking long term, as in 3-5 years down the road, collect divvie along the way. if you trade, it's at least 3 mths to a buy/sell. (-_-")....i perceive i'm speaking to a wrong audience. lol. elfie ain't touching anything now with a ten foot pole man. except hunting ke and gold. hehe. |
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| 18-Jan-2008 10:40 |
SGX
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SGX
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sigh. recalcitrants! if you can't beat them, join them. haha. i won't be playing this myself (since i gotta take care of my shareholders too): but eh huatah, if you're thinking fast intraday scalp, then the signal to enter SGX is NOW. 9.22 strike. 9.25 first resistance. if it can break that, your upside goes much higher (can't see yet). will tell when to run. let's play. hehe. |
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| 18-Jan-2008 10:28 |
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lol. yea idesa, relax lah. elf doesn't get mad that easily. i know a joke when i see one. haha. 
dow, strictly speaking, has entered a bear market. it began the year 2007 on 12,200. so the signal to run was 12,400. 12,200 indicates the beginning of a bear market (a bear market is when the market gives up all its gains of the previous years). i do think tho that there MAY be a rebound soon, for some counters. am starting to see large lots bottom fishing. select counters well. unfortunately not this baby tho. go long term. that's the way to survive in this market. and while we're at it, consider some of hte high div yields. this kind of market is the best chance to build up a solid portfolio for years to come. go slow and think long term. really. |
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| 18-Jan-2008 10:02 |
SGX
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lol. man, i'm gone for a day and this thread seems to have become like a family affair. lol. asterisk, thanks very much, sunshine! :) huatah--eh. dead fish seems to be still flopping about leh. :P recalcitrant gambler! altho, as long as you have fun, and know that money isn't everything, that's the key thing. :))) idesa, sigh. typical male. give them an inch, they want a yard. *tsk* :P gold is retracing nicely to the levels i called (see the gold thread 'is gold a good buy')--but wait for RSI 45-50. currently 58. strike first at RSI 50. Go slow, and DCA. THe deeper the retracement, the better it'll be, cos then it means 1,000 per troy ounce is likely. You're in the best position, all cash. So take time to hunt, and hunt well. elfie's certainly on the hunt too. hehe. kim eng's divvie last year was 17c in all. at current px 1.82, that's ~9% ROI. but hold off first. FA is sweet: PAT increased 95%, EPS increased 105%--and good market or crash market, they aren't gonna go down since ppl need to sell anw--NAV is 1.52 (so that's the lowest support). but yep. hold off buying first: what appears cheap today may very well be expensive tomorrow. and in this kind of market, you either play very short term (intraday), or long term. elf is going for the latter, since i can't monitor everyday. cheers! fyi only ah. |
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| 17-Jan-2008 10:25 |
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yoz, bad rating no prob lah, as long as the ppl involved understand. haha. kim eng formed a morning star doji. may like to try. i'm juz in it. vested 1.96; stop loss 1.91. upside shd be to at least 2.15 (conservative 2.08) if it can hold up. pls don't blame me if loss or gain tho. standard line: you fire the gun, you bite the bullet. :P no contra; unless you have T+5 or 7.. may just hold it to fed cut. fyi caveat emptor. yea, good attitude. money isn't everything. health and friends, family are. :) |
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| 17-Jan-2008 10:21 |
Kim Eng
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Brokerage Stocks. A sure bet!!
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morning star doji. vested 1.96. stop loss: 1.91. not an inducement; buy/sell at own risk. cheers. |
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| 16-Jan-2008 23:44 |
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geez, even a private joke gets a bad rating? LOL. cos i had specifically told asterisk and huatah to stay out (esp asterisk, smses!!). ok, mebbe the tongue emoticon may be misconstrued as arrogance; i had meant it more as tongue in cheek as an ironic angel. since those who know me personally will know that i'm definitely not angelic. haha. mebbe i shd have taken the devil horn emoticon instead. hmm... geez. no humor no fun. anw, huatah, see if yzj is able to form a doji tmrw. if it can hold up jan 17, there may be a chance of tech rebound. lag indicator still shows down tho. be careful. |
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| 16-Jan-2008 22:58 |
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asterisk! 
huatah!
idesa! 
elf: 
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| 16-Jan-2008 00:28 |
Entertainment
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Fellowship of the Shares
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fav elfin songs... over the rainbow shadow of your smile autumn leaves if you go away (springfield) regres ami (il divo's version of unbreak my heart) sway!! keke. black orpheus (day in the life of a fool) anyone else wanna name their songs? :) |
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| 16-Jan-2008 00:24 |
Entertainment
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Fellowship of the Shares
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ooh, one of my favs. i love astrud gilberto too (the shadow of your smile). and dusty springfield (if you go away). and karen carpenter!! such lovely voices...they don't make 'em singers like they used to anymore... can;t sleep. hyper. sigh. |
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| 16-Jan-2008 00:13 |
GLD USD
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Gold going up this year?
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yep. you need to see its ticker name tho. i trade on ocbc, the ticker is gld 10USD. yep, just like a normal stock: you'll see buy vol and sell vol. bid and ask px. take note tho: one lot is 10 shares, not 1000. so the px you see: 90.65--means one lot will cost you 906.5 USD. there'll be the exchange rate to factor in; but generally, if you're buying it, means you expect the px in gold to go up beyond the exch rate. (S$ to USD support at 1.42 and 1.39. we're about 1.44 now.) supply: depends on who's willing to sell. px can be erratic throughout the day, so i'd advise to go in bit by bit. generally have to buy from seller; very few sellers is what i've observed from a couple of months back; of course, sellers have increased now, but even then, the buy demand is there. consistently it's buy ups. at some points, you'd even see all buyers no sellers. oh and got some *@&)*@& ppl who like to potong queue. they'll queue one cent lower than you. hmph. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 23:38 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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dang. link doesn't work. it's the topic titled 'is gold going up this year', under the forum title gld 10US$. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 23:32 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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yo, hope this works: http://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/listMessage.htm?topicId=2454&searchString= (if you see 30 posts down it shd be there) |
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| 15-Jan-2008 23:18 |
Allgreen
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Allgreen - Can buy ?
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(-_-")....does that qn even need to be asked... AG hasn't broken below its range yet though...will likely gap down on opening tmrw. hazard a guess at 1.28-1.35. depending on how much the dow tanks. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 23:10 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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sporeguy, i found the chart once (believe some of the other previous posts here gave the link), calculated the support at 3,150 then at 2,800. wld be good to have your opinion? djia is down ~140 pts now. support at 12,450. think will break by thurs... |
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| 15-Jan-2008 23:04 |
Kim Eng
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Brokerage Stocks. A sure bet!!
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lol. just broke below the range support, mike. i actually entered today at range bottom 2.06, but techs took a turn for the worse, so stopped loss at 2.03 in the afternoon. kbkbkbkkbkb. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 23:01 |
Others
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YEAR 2008
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yo 178investors (why this nick?), dca = dollar cost averaging. think i explained it quite in depth in one of my previous posts, but can't rem which thread. sorry, blur elf. but basically, you go in a portion at a time, and average it out. mostly, i'd prefer to average up (same like livermore), but sometimes if one gets caught and not worthwhile to cut loss, may be better to average down. tricky thing tho, since some stocks don't come back up. mike, if you're into fengshui (yeayea, i'm a pantang kantang haha): it's not just the year of the rat, it's the year of the earth rat. ie, like the 36th hexagram of the I Ching, Ming Yi: things of value go into hiding. so what hides in earth and what is basic is what will survive. mostly i think of gold.
not an inducement to buy/sell. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 21:21 |
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YEAR 2008
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geez. may be good to NOT be alarmist. it only affects rationality. ups and downs are a natural part of the market. 'hell breaking loose'? If it's a sharp dip, then the tech rebound will likely be as sharp. One can scalp it either way. Realistically, what traders fear is a long, slow decline. Bears do not get 'unleashed' in just a single day. It's momentum over the days, and months. The news swirl about way before then. This downtrend was more or less clear from start of jan already. definitive last week when a lot of the blues broke below the lower low formation. If you're out, stay out: don't go catching a falling knife now. If you're caught, don't panic. Wait for low and DCA it out. Stay calm. Markets are not for the faint of heart. Relax. cheers! |
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| 15-Jan-2008 21:17 |
Kep Infra Tr
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CitySpring
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B&B. NAV = 88c, div yield at this px is >10%. FSL trades in USD i believe? in which case there's the exchange rate to factor in. |
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| 15-Jan-2008 20:18 |
GLD USD
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Gold going up this year?
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hey sporeguy, am not new to gold, since i've actually tracked it since oct 06, when it was about 593. didn't enter then tho, cos as females, my sis and i wanted the real gold bars, but the front load fees and all made it prohibitive (then). *bimbo moments...regret.. haha* streettracks gold fund made it easy tho, no load fees and all that; trade just like a stock. so: as per my nov 11 and 12 posts. i had actually entered gold at sub-80 then. had put 1/3 of my portfolio into it. recently sold out (it hit high of 92) but slowly getting back in again. it's too strong. if my count is right, this retracement should go to lowest 86-87, thereafter the 100 is the target. if we do not retrace, then it's 95 as target. What was interesting (and what made me go into gold) was the charts: cos if you look at the 'downtrend' (nov 12 to dec 21) MACD, the px differential is 80.9 to 78.8--actual buy signal on RSI came on 24th dec, at 79.6. compare the prices and the MACD chart. what this means is that the 'retracement' was essentially not a retracement: it instead began a strong new uptrend within a 2 dollar range. think it is likely to repeat the pattern this time around. consistent charting patterns. in which case, may be good to catch the rebound, cos upside will then be to 100. can consider buying... cos if you look at macro factors, the only way for gold to go is up. i have a feeling it may break the 1,000 per troy ounce level this year. Use RSI for gold; this is its traditional indicator. 80 overbought is when it is likely going to retrace. cheers! :) |
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